/Issued 4:50 PM CDT, Thursday, May 30, 2013/
-Here’s a 7-day plot of rainfall totals, ending the Morning of May 30, 2013. Iowa has been hit repeatedly by round after round of heavy rain and thunderstorms with rain totals anywhere from 1.50″ to over 8.00″! Far Southern Minnesota has also seen quite a bit of rain, but lesser amounts have occurred farther north. (Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center)
Drought update for Minnesota
Source: Climate Prediction Center
As of May 28, 2013:
*19% of the state is in Moderate Drought, down from 23% last week.
*3% of the state is in Severe Drought, down from 6% last week.
Note: 59% of Minnesota is now drought-free which is up from 19% last week. Big time improvement in just 7 days.
*So far this month there’s been 5 days with a high temperature of at least 70F at Duluth, Minnesota and 1 day with a high temperature of at least 80F. May 2012 had 6 days with highs in the 70s and 3 days with highs in the 80s.
*48.8 degrees the average temperature for May thru the 29th. This is 2.3 degrees colder than average.
*3.15″ of rain in Duluth this month (thru the 29th) This is 0.15″ wetter than average.
Rainfall report for May 29-30 (ending around 7 AM Today)
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, MN
Duluth, MN: 0.60″
Brainerd, MN: 0.50″
Hayward, WI: 0.48″
Ashland, WI: 0.35″
3 NE of Nisswa, MN: 0.67″
3 E of Wright, MN: 0.60″
Dixon Lake, MN: 0.37″
12 N of Grand Rapids, MN: 0.60″
Grand Portage, MN: 0.44″
2 S of Tower, MN: 0.56″
9 N of Bayfield, WI: 0.61″
Sarona, WI: 0.69″
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
A strong area of low pressure averaging 992mb was over Northwest South Dakota as of 4 PM with a stationary front across Northcentral Minnesota and a cold front heading east out of the Western Dakotas. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies were found in our area Today with some fog near Lake Superior. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms have also occurred Today in parts of the Northland but with limited instability and shear in place none of the storms were very organized. Highs were in the 40s near Lake Superior and in the 60s and 70s elsewhere with dew points away from Lake Superior in the 50s and 60s. Winds Today were out of the south or east at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight through Friday Night (May 30th-31st)
A deep area of low pressure will move slowly east through the Northern Plains and into the Upper Midwest by Tomorrow Night. A stationary front will be over Northern Minnesota through Tomorrow with a cold front/occluded front sweeping through the Northland from SW-NE Friday Afternoon and Night. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected this period with occasional showers and a few thunderstorms. A lack of wind shear and generally marginal amounts of instability should keep any thunderstorm from turning severe Tonight and Friday but locally heavy downpours are possible along with a slight chance for some gusty winds and small hail especially Friday Afternoon/Evening in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.
Low temperatures Tonight will be in the 50s and 60s. Highs Tomorrow in the 60s and 70s. Lows Tomorrow Night in the 40s and 50s. Note: It will be cooler near Lake Superior where areas of fog will also persist at times.
-Rainfall forecast valid until 7 PM CDT Friday. Note the 2 areas of heavier rain totals, one north of Minnesota, the other south of Minnesota. (Source, Weather Prediction Center)
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Saturday through Monday (June 1st-3rd)
Some rain showers are possible on Saturday as low pressure and an upper level trough move through the Upper Midwest and Western Great Lakes. High pressure returns and brings dry conditions to our area for Sunday and Monday. Highs in the 50s and 60s Saturday-Monday with lows Saturday Night and Sunday Night in the 30s and 40s. Note: Patchy frost is possible Saturday Night and Sunday Night.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
Another system looks like it could bring some showers to NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin next Tuesday-Thursday (4th-6th) Doesn’t look like a real big system however as high pressure to our north/east results in a very cool/stable environment here in the Northland. Might get into a drier weather pattern from the 7th-9th. Near to below average temperatures are forecast during this period.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Areas of fog. Considerable cloudiness. Scattered showers possible. Low 50 to 55 and in the 40s near Lake Superior. Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Friday… Areas of fog possible near Lake Superior. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered showers possible, mainly late in the Afternoon. High 68 to 73 but cooler near Lake Superior. Wind south to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Friday Night… Scattered showers possible. Mostly cloudy. Low 45 to 50. Wind east to northeast at 5 to 15 mph.
.Saturday… Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. High 50 to 55.
.Saturday Night… Becoming partly cloudy. Low 38 to 43.
.Sunday… Partly sunny. High 57 to 62.
.Sunday Night… Mostly clear. Low 38 to 43.
.Monday… Partly cloudy. High 60 to 65.
Normal temperatures for Today
Sunrise Friday: 5:19 AM CDT
Sunset Friday: 8:55 PM CDT