/Issued 3:22 PM CDT, Wednesday, July 24, 2013/
-A little scary to see widespread blue colors showing up in late July. The image below is from the 12z EUROPEAN forecast model from July 24, 2013.
This map is valid for Saturday Morning, July 27, 2013. This is the 850mb temperature map and yeah a pretty cold airmass for this time of year with H85 temperatures of +2 to +4C across much of the Northern Plains, Upper Midwest, Western Great Lakes, and Central Canada. An early taste of fall.
A dry July in parts of the Upper Midwest. Below is a list of rainfall totals for select cities in the Upper Midwest.
Note: Totals are thru July 23.
Eau Claire, WI: 0.51″. 2.34″ below normal.
Duluth, MN: 0.95″. 2.01″ below normal.
St. Cloud, MN: 1.14″. 1.35″ below normal
International Falls, MN: 4.64″. 1.74″ above normal.
Twin Cities, MN: 3.45″. 0.50″ above normal.
Marquette, MI: 3.17″. 1.09″ above normal
Duluth precipitation data
Source: National Weather Service
July rainfall total (thru the 23rd) 0.95″
Summer rainfall total (Since June 1) 5.49″
Annual precipitation total (Since January 1) 18.83″
Note: We remain above normal for the year, but for the summer and month of July were running below average in terms of rainfall. The yearly surplus is quickly fading though, if we continue to remain in a dry spell, then by early-mid August we could wind up below average. Wet trend, now a dry trend. Interesting how that works…
-July’s rainfall percent of mean map ending on the 23rd. Plenty of rain for some, very little for others during the month of July, pretty typical for summer. By the way Duluth has seen only about 25% of it’s normal rainfall this month. (Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center)
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
High pressure has slid south/southeast of the Northland Today with low pressure and cold front off to our northwest. Highs Today were generally in the 70s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. There’s also been a few showers here and there but none of these have been very heavy. Winds were out of the south or west at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight through Thursday Night (July 24-25)
An area of low pressure will remain northwest of our area while a cold front drops southeast and through the Northland. Expect scattered rain showers to develop at times from Tonight through Tomorrow Evening. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible, but overall the amount of instability and moisture is very poor, so if you do get a rumble of thunder during the next 24 hours consider yourself lucky. Low temperatures Tonight will be in the 50s and lower 60s. Highs on Thursday will be in the 70s with 60s possible in far Northern Minnesota and perhaps a few 80s around the Siren and Hayward Lakes area in Northwest Wisconsin. Winds will be out of the south/west Tonight and from the northwest Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Friday through Sunday (July 26-28)
An upper level trough is forecast to dig into the Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and Central Canada Friday and Saturday. A few showers are possible underneath this upper trough on Friday with mainly dry weather for Saturday and Sunday. Looks rather chilly on Friday with highs only in the 50s and 60s with lows mainly in the 40s. Temperatures do moderate a little bit over the weekend with highs Saturday and Sunday in the 60s and 70s with lows Saturday Night in the 40s and 50s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(July 29-August 3)
As we close out the month of July and head into the first couple days of August it appears that temperatures will be close to seasonal averages here in the Northland, in other words no heat waves and no major cold dumps are on the horizon. As for rain chances, not many of those showing up. Perhaps early next week (29-30) might be the only opportunity for a little bit of water to fall out of the sky.
-According to the Climate Prediction Center, this current dry stretch shouldn’t be a common theme during the next couple of months as all of Minnesota is forecast to be void of any drought through October 31, 2013.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. A few showers possible. Low 55 to 60. Wind south to southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Thursday… Partly sunny. A few showers possible. High 73 to 78. Wind west to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Thursday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 50 to 55. Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Friday… Mostly cloudy. A few showers possible. Cooler. High 60 to 65.
.Friday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 42 to 47.
.Saturday… Partly sunny. High 65 to 70.
.Saturday Night… Mostly clear. Low 42 to 47.
.Sunday… Partly cloudy. High 68 to 73.
Normal temperatures for Today
Sunrise Thursday: 5:41 AM CDT
Sunset Thursday: 8:49 PM CDT