/Issued 7:13 PM CDT, Saturday, September 14, 2013/
*Here’s how much rain has fallen so far Today per doppler radar out of Duluth, Minnesota. The legend can be found on the left hand side of this map. Note: These doppler estimated totals may be somewhat overdone as it shows widespread 1-2″+ amounts (yellow and red color areas) in Western portions of the Northland, but thru 7 PM Today, Brainerd MN has picked up 0.71″ instead of the 1.84″ which the radar shows.
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
A so-so mid-September day with some sun early in the day giving way to more clouds during the Afternoon. Rain and showers also moved into parts of the area This Afternoon thanks to a cold front approaching from the NW combined with a disturbance coming out of the Western High Plains. High temperatures Today were in the 60s and 70s with south or southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (September 14)
Areas of rain and showers should persist most of the night as a cold front and upper level disturbance continue to track across the Upper Midwest. Mostly cloudy skies are forecast with lows in the 40s and 50s. Winds will shift from the south/west to the north/east at 5 to 15 mph.
*Early Evening radar loop showing the widespread rain which is affecting a large part of Minnesota. Expect the rain area to end from NW-SE during the night.
*How much rain will fall Tonight? Per 20z (3pm) HRRR model run it looks like Duluth/Superior might get around 1/4″ of rain Tonight. 1/2-1.00″ totals are possible from Brainerd to Hinckley to Hayward and points south from there. Another stripe of locally heavy rainfall is possible Tonight in far Northern Minnesota and in the Arrowhead.
Sunday and Sunday Night (September 15)
A cold front exits to our SE on Sunday with strong high pressure nearing 1030mb building into the Northland through this period. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are on tap Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night. Could be some lingering drizzle or light rain showers Sunday AM otherwise it looks dry. Highs on Sunday will be in the 50s and 60s with lows in the 30s and 40s with some 20s possible in the traditional cold spots. Note: Areas of frost are possible Sunday Night. Winds will be out of the north or east at 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts near Lake Superior Tomorrow.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Monday through Wednesday (September 16-18)
Monday and Tuesday are looking dry at this time as strong high pressure moves across the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. By Wednesday moisture and warm air advection spreads into the Upper Midwest as a storm system develops over the Northern Rockies/Western High Plains. Could see some showers return to the Northland next Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s on Monday and in the 60s with a few 70s possible for Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows Monday Night will be in the 30s and 40s. Lows Tuesday Night in the 40s and 50s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Medium.
Potential exists for a fairly potent area of low pressure to move through the Northern Plains/Upper Midwest/Southern Canada late next week (19th-20th) The computer models disagree a bit on the timing and exact track of the low, but all the models show some sort of system affecting the area mid/late next week. Some rain is possible in our area Thursday-Friday (19th-20th) What happens to the upper level pattern is highly uncertain during the 21st-24th time frame with differing opinions showing up in the long range models Today. Temperatures through this period should be pretty close to seasonal averages in NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Light rain and drizzle. Mostly cloudy. Low 50 to 55. Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph becoming north to northeast.
.Sunday… Breezy and cool. Partly to mostly cloudy. Drizzle or showers possible during the Morning. High 55 to 60. Wind northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph possible near Lake Superior.
.Sunday Night… Partly cloudy. Patchy frost possible especially away from Lake Superior. Low 35 to 40. Wind north to northeast at 5 to 15 mph.
.Monday… Mostly sunny. High 60 to 65.
.Monday Night… Mostly clear. Low 40 to 45.
.Tuesday… Partly cloudy. High 60 to 65.
.Tuesday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 50 to 55.
.Wednesday… Partly sunny. Showers possible. High 68 to 73.
Normal temperatures for Tomorrow
Sunrise Sunday: 6:47 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday: 7:20 PM CDT