/Issued 3:45 PM CDT, Tuesday, September 24, 2013/
-Preliminary severe weather reports map for 2013
Source: NWS/Storm Prediction Center
Note: 1st number represents this year’s total. 2nd number represents the 2012 total.
Tornado reports (red dots) 10 – 39
Large hail reports (green dots) 162 – 235
Damaging wind reports (blue dots) 266 – 308
Total: 438 – 582
Note: The 1st number represents this year’s total. 2nd number represents the 2012 total.
Tornado reports (red dots) 13 – 3
Large hail reports (green dots) 86 – 121
Damaging wind reports (blue dots) 270 – 233
Total: 369 – 357
-The high temperature reached 70 degrees Today at the Duluth Airport. This is the 94th day this year with a maximum temperature of at least 70F. Note: Last year saw a record 109 days with a high temperature of at least 70F. The previous record for most 70 degree days was 106 set in 1955. (Annual average is 85 days)
Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
A cold front has moved into far Western Minnesota This Afternoon, but this boundary continues to weaken more and more with each passing hour. In fact this whole system which looked very impressive 24 hours ago looks very weak now per satellite/radar data. Partly to mostly cloudy skies were found in the Northland Today with high temperatures in the 70s except for low to mid 60s along the North Shore of Lake Superior. Winds were out of the south or east at 5 to around 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (September 24)
Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue Tonight with areas of fog developing. A few brief light rain showers/sprinkles are possible This Evening mainly along and west of an International Falls to Brainerd line. Lows will be in the 40s and 50s with south or east winds at 5 to 15 mph.
Wednesday and Wednesday Night (September 25)
Areas of fog should burn off during the Morning but could return once again late Wednesday Night, in between expect generally partly to mostly cloudy skies. Highs Tomorrow will be in the 60s and 70s with lows in the 40s and 50s. Winds will be out of the south or east at 10 to 15 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Thursday through Saturday (September 26-28)
An upper level trough along with a cold front and area of low pressure is forecast to move into and through the Upper Midwest during this period. Should be plenty of moisture along and east of this system with PWATS of 1.00-1.50″ along with dew points in the 50s to around 60 degrees which are quite high for late September.
At the moment it looks like the greatest chance to get some rain here in the Northland will be from Friday into Saturday, but a few showers might even occur as soon as Thursday Night, mainly in Western/Northern sections of the area. Note: Timing differences are showing up in the model guidance Today so the day that holds the best chance for rain may change, stay tuned.
High temperatures will be in the 60s and 70s on Thursday and Friday with 50s and 60s on Saturday, although some 70s are possible on Saturday especially in Northern Wisconsin. Lows Thursday Night and Friday Night will mainly be in the 50s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(September 29-October 4)
A few showers might linger into Sunday mainly in Northwest Wisconsin and in the Arrowhead of Minnesota. A new system could bring showers back to the Northland sometime around the 1st-2nd of October (next Tue-Wed) Near normal temperatures are expected during this period.
-Here’s the NWS hazards map, note the purple/pink colors over Western Montana and parts of Idaho, those are winter storm warnings/advisories which are in effect into Thursday. It’s not unusual to see snow in the Northern Rockies at this time of year, as for accumulations with this particular storm…6-24″! And yes this is part of the same storm that will eventually bring rain to the Northland later this week.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly cloudy. Areas of fog developing. Low 48 to 53. Wind east to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.
.Wednesday… Areas of fog and low clouds during the Morning. Partly to mostly sunny in the Afternoon. High 65 to 70. Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.
.Wednesday Night… Partly cloudy. Areas of fog possible. Low 47 to 52. Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.
.Thursday… Partly sunny. High 67 to 72.
.Thursday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 50 to 55.
.Friday… Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. High 63 to 68.
.Friday Night… Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. Low 53 to 58.
.Saturday… Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. High 60 to 65.
Normal temperatures for Today
Sunrise Wednesday: 7:00 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday: 7:00 PM CDT