/Issued 3:30 PM CST, Thursday, November 7, 2013/
*The big weather story Today is Super Typhoon Haiyan which is moving toward the Philippines. Sustained winds are at 195 mph with gusts to 235 mph. Storm surge is as high as 60 feet. Unreal!
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
A northwest flow covered the Upper Midwest Today. Skies ranged from mostly cloudy to mostly sunny. A few snow and rain showers have also occurred in spots Today. Highs were in the 30s and winds were out of the west or northwest at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (November 7)
Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected with lows in the teens and 20s. Winds will back into the south during the night at 5 to 15 mph.
Friday and Friday Night (November 8)
An area of low pressure which was moving into the Pacific Northwest late This Afternoon will track east and through the Northern Plains and into the Upper Midwest during this period. This system will bring some precipitation to the Northland especially from Friday Afternoon into Friday Night.
Snow is expected to be the main precipitation type over far Northern Minnesota, or roughly along and north of a Bigfork to Isabella line. South of that line the potential exists for either rain or snow while far Southern parts of the Northland including most of Northwest Wisconsin see mostly rain.
Snowfall accumulations of 1-3″ are possible by early Saturday Morning in far Northern Minnesota with little to no accumulation for areas farther south.
Highs Tomorrow will be in the 30s to lower 40s. Lows Tomorrow Night will be in the 30s. South or east winds on Friday will turn westerly late Friday Night. Wind speeds will range from 10 to 20 mph.
*Water vapor image from late This Afternoon showing the next system that’ll be moving into the Upper Midwest on Friday. (Source; http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/)
*Here’s my snowfall accumulation forecast for Friday Afternoon/Night.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Saturday through Monday (November 9-11)
Snow showers and flurries could fall on Saturday as low pressure exits to our east, not looking for much in the way of accumulation with a dusting possible at best. Looks dry on Sunday and then some light snow or flurries could return to parts of the Northland Sunday Night and Monday but only minimal accumulations are expected at this time. Highs on Saturday will be in the 30s. Highs on Sunday will be in the 30s and lower 40s. Much colder moves in on Monday with highs in the 20s. Lows Saturday Night and Sunday Night will be in the teens and 20s.
*Another shot of unseasonably cold air looks like it’ll move over the Northland next Monday/Tuesday. Shown below is the 850mb temperature forecast for Monday Morning, November 11, 2013 per 12z GFS model. Widespread -10 to -16C H85 temperatures dropping south out of Manitoba and Ontario. Impressive for this time of year. (Source; dupage model site)
*500mb forecast for next Monday, November 11, 2013. A cold setup for our area. (Source; Weather Prediction Center)
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
Still looks cold next Tuesday with below average temperatures. Some moderation could take place then from the 13th-17th with temperatures possibly climbing toward normal values. I’m not seeing any major snow/rain storms showing up in the long range computer models that would affect the Upper Midwest through this period.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Clear to partly cloudy. Low 18 to 23. Wind becoming southwest around 10 mph.
.Friday… Becoming mostly cloudy. Rain or snow showers possible during the Afternoon. High 35 to 40. Wind southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Friday Night… Mostly cloudy. Rain or snow showers possible. Low 30 to 35. Wind south to southeast at 10 to 20 mph becoming west after Midnight.
.Saturday… Flurries or snow showers possible. Mostly cloudy. High 35 to 38.
.Saturday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 20 to 25.
.Sunday… Partly sunny. High 35 to 40.
.Sunday Night… Mostly cloudy. Low 20 to 25.
.Monday… Mostly cloudy. High 25 to 30.
Normal temperatures for Today
Sunrise Friday: 7:02 AM CST
Sunset Friday: 4:43 PM CST