/Issued 4:08 PM CST, Sunday, November 10, 2013/
Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)
November 3-9, 2013
11/3: 48F/5 degrees above normal
11/4: 45F/3 degrees above normal
11/5: 38F/4 degrees below normal
11/6: 35F/6 degrees below normal
11/7: 37F/3 degrees below normal
11/8: 36F/4 degrees below normal
11/9: 36F/3 degrees below normal
11/4: 34F/6 degrees above normal
11/6: 23F/4 degrees below normal
11/7: 21F/6 degrees below normal
11/8: 17F/9 degrees below normal
11/9: 34F/8 degrees above normal
Total precipitation: 0.39″
-Last week’s temperature departure map. (Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center)
-Last week’s precipitation departure map. (Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center)
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
High pressure of 1028mb was centered along the Missouri/Illinois state line late This Afternoon with arctic high pressure of 1038mb over Western Saskatchewan. In between these highs was a cold front which was dropping south/east out of Northwestern Minnesota. Partly to mostly cloudy skies were found over the Northland Today with an area of snow showers and flurries in parts of Northern Minnesota This Afternoon in response to that cold frontal boundary. Highs Today were in the 30s to around 40 degrees with winds out of the west or southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (November 10)
A very cold airmass moves in Tonight and will last through Tuesday. A strong cold front will continue to drop south/east through the Northland Tonight. A 1-3 hour period of snow showers and flurries will likely occur over the area as this front moves through. Snowfall accumulations should generally range from a dusting to half inch with isolated spots picking up an inch. Lows Tonight will be in the teens and 20s with some single digits possible up north. Winds will shift to the north/west at 10 to 25 mph.
Monday and Monday Night (November 11)
Arctic high pressure averaging 1042mb builds into the Northern Plains during this period. Cold temperatures and dry weather will be the net result in our area. Highs will be in the teens and 20s with lows in the single digits and teens. Northwest winds are forecast at 10 to 20 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tuesday through Thursday (November 12-14)
Still cold on Tuesday with highs in the 20s with lows in the teens and 20s. Strong area of high pressure will be centered south/southeast of the Upper Midwest on Tuesday, once this high moves off to our east a southwesterly flow develops which will help to modify the temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs on both those days should get into the 30s with a 40 degree reading even possible. Lows Wednesday Night will be in the 20s. Looks mainly dry through this period.
Note: Wind chills (feels like temperature) should fall into the single digits below to single digits above zero in most of NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin from late Tonight through Tuesday Morning. Also, the light dusting of snow that falls Tonight could create some slick spots on area roads so use caution if you have travel plans Tonight or Monday Morning.
Note: NW wind coming off Lake Superior could generate some lake effect snow showers along the South Shore of Lake Superior beginning late Tonight and lasting into Monday Night with a few inches of snow (1-3″) possible mainly over Ashland and Iron County.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Medium to High.
Near to above average temperatures are expected from the 15th-18th with temperatures probably going below average once again toward the 19th-20th time frame. Gotta keep an eye on the 17th-20th time period as the long range models are showing a fairly strong trough moving into the Plains which could support storm development with possible rain or snow over the Upper Midwest/Western Great Lakes.
-Finally Tonight before I get to the 5-day forecast, a very scary satellite image from Super Typhoon Haiyan which tore thru the Philippines late last week. The pressure of Haiyan may have dropped to 858mb (25.33″) before reaching the Philippines based on satellite derived data. If this is verified, then this would be the “strongest storm ever observed on the face of the earth” (Source, Paul Douglas St. Cloud Times)
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Breezy and turning colder. Snow showers and flurries especially from 8 PM to Midnight. Snowfall accumulations under 1″. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 12 to 17. Wind west to southwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest. Winds could gust to 25 mph.
.Monday… Breezy and cold. Partly cloudy. High 18 to 23. Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Monday Night… Cold. Mostly clear. Low 7 to 12. Wind northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
.Tuesday… Mostly sunny. High 23 to 28.
.Tuesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 13 to 18.
.Wednesday… Partly cloudy. High 32 to 37.
.Wednesday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 20 to 25.
.Thursday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 35 to 40.
Normal temperatures for Tomorrow
Sunrise Monday: 7:06 AM CST
Sunset Monday: 4:39 PM CST