June 30, 2014 – Weather report. Gusty winds and some showers through Tuesday; Much cooler temperatures Tomorrow.

/Issued 3:34 PM CDT, Monday, June 30, 2014/

Here’s an infrared satellite image centered on the Great Lakes at 3:45 PM Today.  A massive MCS or mesoscale convective system is plowing east-northeast through parts of Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin late This Afternoon with widespread wind damage – some of which has been significant.  Source, NWS.















Temperature & precipitation report for Duluth, MN (Airport location)

June 22-28

High temperatures:

6/22:  63F/10 degrees below normal
6/23:  82F/9 degrees above normal
6/24:  63F/10 degrees below normal
6/25:  60F/13 degrees below normal
6/26:  67F/7 degrees below normal
6/27:  71F/3 degrees below normal
6/28:  80F/6 degrees above normal

Low temperatures:

6/22:  49F/2 degrees below normal
6/23:  52F/Normal
6/24:  46F/6 degrees below normal
6/25:  48F/4 degrees below normal
6/26:  48F/4 degrees below normal
6/27:  52F/1 degree below normal
6/28:  60F/7 degrees above normal

Total precipitation:  0.82″
Normal:  1.09″
Departure:  -0.27″

Last week’s temperature departure map.  Persistent east wind off Lake Superior kept it a lot cooler near the big lake last week compared to inland locations.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.




















Last week’s precipitation departure map.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.























Local storm reports for June 29, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*6:51 PM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  4 W of Clam Lake, WI (Bayfield County)

*7:25 PM CDT:  1.50″ HAIL.  Montreal, WI (Iron County)

*7:27 PM CDT:  1.25″ HAIL.  Gile, WI (Iron County)

*7:30 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  Montreal, WI (Iron County)

*7:37 PM CDT:  0.88″ HAIL.  1 S of Mercer, WI (Iron County)

*7:41 PM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  Mercer, WI (Iron County)

*7:55 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  Squaw Lake, MN (Itasca County)

*8:00 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  Mercer, WI (Iron County)

Storm reports map for June 29, 2014.  Numerous sub-severe hail reports around the Northland on Sunday with a handful of severe hail reports (green dots on the map) across Northwestern Wisconsin.  Note:  Red dots are tornado reports.  Blue dots are damaging wind reports.  Source, Storm Prediction Center.
















Rainfall report for June 29, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  0.35″
International Falls, MN:  0.22″
Brainerd, MN:  0.23″
Hibbing, MN:  0.24″
Finland, MN:  0.18″
9 N of Bayfield, WI:  0.41″

Weather Summary for June 30, 2014
Location:  NE Minnesota & NW Wisconsin

A very strong area of low pressure averaging 982mb was centered along the Manitoba-Ontario border Today.  To get a low pressure this deep at this time of year is quite rare. Winds aloft of 100 knots or greater were found from South Dakota to Minnesota Today with impressive height falls on the order of 30-60 meters moving east out of the Northern Plains This Afternoon.

Powerful southwesterly winds occurred over the Northland Today or to the S/SE of the deep low to our NW with wind gusts in the 30-50 mph range.  Winds were strong enough to knock down trees and power lines which then resulted in scattered power outages over some parts of the area This Afternoon.

High temperatures Today were in the 70s and 80s with partly to mostly cloudy skies.

Here’s Today’s weather setup per midday water vapor satellite image.  Source, COD website.
















Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota & NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 30)

Low pressure will move into Ontario Tonight.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies will cover the Northland with the possibility for some scattered showers which will develop to the northwest and then spread south/east during the night.  Isolated thunderstorms are also possible mainly This Evening.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s with southwest winds turning west or northwest.  Wind speeds will range from 10 to 20 mph with wind gusts of 30-50 mph continuing especially during the Evening hours.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night (July 1)

July will begin on a cool note with mostly cloudy skies covering the Northland with a few showers possible as well.  Deep low pressure over Ontario will draw a fairly chilly airmass south into our area with 850mb temperatures in the +2 to +6C range during this period. Daytime highs are forecast to only be in the 50s and 60s with lows Tomorrow Night in the 40s and 50s.  Winds will be out of the northwest at 10-20 mph with higher gusts likely.

Sure is a lot of blue color on this 850mb temperature map for Tuesday PM.  Blue simply means cool temperatures as we kick off July.  Source, 18z NAM via COD website.















Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Wednesday through Friday (July 2-4)

Mainly dry weather is expected from mid to late week as high pressure passes over the Upper Midwest.  High temperatures are forecast to be in the 60s and 70s on Wednesday with mainly 70s on tap for Thursday and Friday.  Lows Wednesday Night and Thursday Night will be in the 40s and 50s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

(July 5-10)

Computer models continue to show a westerly, perhaps southwesterly upper level flow pattern developing from the 5th-8th which could lead to near or above average temperatures in our area along with the possibility for some showers or thunderstorms at times.

*Flood Warning information statement per NWS*  http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=flood%20warning

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Windy.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  A few showers possible.  Low 57 to 62.  Wind southwest at 15 to 25 mph with gusts over 40 mph mainly This Evening.

.Tuesday…  Breezy and cooler.  Considerable cloudiness.  A few showers possible.  High 63 to 68.  Wind west to northwest at 15 to 25 mph.

.Tuesday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Low 47 to 52.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Wednesday…  Partly sunny.  High 67 to 72.

.Wednesday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 47 to 52.

.Thursday…  Partly cloudy.  High 70 to 75.

.Thursday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 50 to 55.

.4th of July…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 70 to 75.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  75
Low:   53

Sunrise Tuesday:  5:18 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim




June 29, 2014 – Weather report. Storm reports included in this post. Nice Monday ahead, gusty SW winds, highs around 80.

/Issued 4:30 PM CDT, Sunday, June 29, 2014/

Local Storm Reports for June 29, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*1:47 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Bayfield, WI (Bayfield County)

*11:53 AM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Knife River, MN (Lake County)

*11:28 AM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Woodland, MN (St. Louis County)

*11:59 AM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)

*12:31 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Hermantown, MN (St. Louis County)

*11:25 AM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  Woodland, MN (St. Louis County)

*12:51 PM CDT:  0.88″ HAIL.  Superior, WI (Douglas County)

*1:06 PM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  Oulu, WI (Bayfield County)

*1:04 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Bayfield, WI (Bayfield County)  Standing water on Highway 13.  Winds estimated at around 50 mph.

*12:53 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Brule, WI (Douglas County)

*12:51 PM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  Superior, WI (Douglas County)  Report from the courthouse

*12:47 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Superior, WI (Douglas County)

*12:41 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Superior, WI (Douglas County)

*12:27 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  Proctor, MN (St. Louis County)

*12:25 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Carlton, MN (Carlton County)

*12:25 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Gary New Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*12:29 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  5 S of Herbster, WI (Bayfield County)

*11:55 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)

*11:30 AM CDT:  0.88″ HAIL.  7 NW of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  Hail duration of 2 minutes

*11:48 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Barnum, MN (Carlton County)

*11:17 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Hermantown, MN (St. Louis County)  Hail duration of 30 seconds

*10:56 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Cloquet, MN (Carlton County)

*3:05 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Isabella, MN (Lake County)

*2:50 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Floodwood, MN (St. Louis County)

*2:52 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  NWS report

*2:45 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Hermantown, MN (St. Louis County)

*1:47 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Bayfield, WI (Bayfield County)

*3:43 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  West Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*3:39 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Proctor, MN (St. Louis County)

*3:05 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Isabella, MN (Lake County)

*3:54 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Finland, MN (Lake County)

*3:37 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Virginia, MN (St. Louis County)

*3:50 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)

*3:47 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  West Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*3:54 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  7 N of McGregor, MN (Aitkin County)

*12:45 PM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  Red Cliff, WI (Bayfield County)

*4:20 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  5 NW of Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)

Local Storm Reports for June 28, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*4:30 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  Outing, MN (Cass County)  Boat shelter roof torn off due to a thunderstorm.

*5:30 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  1 W of Marcell, MN (Itasca County)  8″ diameter living tree down, 35 feet tall.

Rainfall report for June 28, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  0.79″
Brainerd, MN:  0.50″
Ashland, WI:  0.35″
Hayward, WI:  1.21″
3 NE of Nisswa, MN:  0.41″
Embarrass, MN:  0.53″
Butternut, WI:  0.32″
Gile, WI:  0.39″
Upson, WI:  0.36″
4 W of Clam Lake, WI:  0.61″
Webster, WI:  1.60″

Weather Summary for June 29, 2014
Location:  Northeast Minnesota & Northwest Wisconsin

A very strong area of low pressure averaging 982mb was over Central Manitoba late This Afternoon with a cold front attached to this low moving east through Minnesota Today.  A warm, moist, and unstable airmass combined with the approaching frontal boundary along with a couple of disturbances lifting NE through the area led to a rather active Sunday with numerous scattered showers and thunderstorms affecting the Northland Today.  The majority of these storms contained dangerous lightning, brief torrential downpours, hail generally less than 0.50″ in diameter and wind gusts of around 30 mph or so, but there were a few storms that turned severe from around 11 AM-1 PM Today.  High temperatures were in the mid 70s to low 80s with dew points generally in the 50s.  Winds were out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota & NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 29)

A strong area of low pressure will remain well to our northwest with gusty southwest winds occurring on the SE side of this powerful summer storm.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected in our area Tonight with a few showers and thunderstorms mainly over Northern Minnesota, Arrowhead, as well as in parts of Northwest Wisconsin – although the threat in NW Wisconsin should be confined to the Evening hours.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s with southwest winds at 10-20 mph with gusts over 30 mph.

Monday and Monday Night (June 30)

June will end on a windy note as deep low pressure moves across Ontario.  A surface trough/cold front will eventually sag southeast into the region by Tomorrow Night.  Moisture and cold air aloft wrapping around the low pressure center could help to produce a few showers and isolated thunderstorms in our area from Monday Afternoon into Monday Night.  Highs Tomorrow will be in the 70s and 80s with lows Tomorrow Night in the 50s and 60s.  West or southwest winds are forecast at 10-20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tuesday through Thursday (July 1-3)

Showers are possible on Tuesday as low pressure continues on its slow journey through Central Canada. Dry weather should return then for Wednesday and Thursday as high pressure settles into the Upper Midwest.  Cooler temperatures can be expected this period with highs on Tuesday in the 50s and 60s. Wednesday and Thursday’s high temperatures should be in the 60s and 70s.  Lows Tuesday Night and Wednesday Night will be in the 40s and 50s, but some spots might fall into the 30s come Wednesday Night.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium to High.

(July 4-9)

It appears that will see a transition in the upper level pattern as NW flow during midweek turns more westerly and possibly southwesterly from the 4th through 8th.  Confidence on this occurring isn’t the highest at the moment as computer models have been showing different scenarios playing out during the past few days.  Near to possibly above average temperatures are possible over our area during this period, and we could also see some showers or thunderstorms at times but again confidence isn’t very high on how things will setup later this week/weekend.  Stay tuned.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Breezy.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 59 to 64.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

.Monday…  Breezy.  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 78 to 83.  Wind southwest at 15 to 30 mph.

.Monday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 55 to 60.  Wind west to southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Tuesday…  Cooler.  Considerable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 65 to 70.

.Tuesday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 50 to 55.

.Wednesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 65 to 70.

.Wednesday Night…  Mostly clear.  Low 47 to 52.

.Thursday…  Partly cloudy.  High 70 to 75.

Normal temperatures for Tomorrow

High:  75
Low:   53

Sunrise Monday:  5:18 AM CDT
Sunset Monday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim

June 27, 2014 – Weather report. Fog with some showers Tonight; Muggy weekend ahead; 80s in Downtown Duluth on Sunday (Gusty SW wind)

/Issued 4:17 PM CDT, Friday, June 27, 2014/

Weather Summary for June 27, 2014
Location:  Northeast Minnesota & Northwest Wisconsin

A warm and muggy summer day for locations that are about 10-20 miles or so away from Lake Superior, highs were in the 70s to lower 80s with dew points in the 60s to around 70F.  Near Lake Superior it’s the same story different day as east winds continued with highs in the 50s along with occasional low clouds and fog.  The rest of the area saw partly sunny-mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms affecting mainly Southern portions of the area at times.  Winds Today were out of the south or east at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota & NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 27)

Low pressure along with a cold front will be over the Northern Plains Tonight.  Southerly flow persists ahead of this system, and this combined with an upper level disturbance tracking NE into the Upper Midwest will lead to some showers and a few thunderstorms over the Northland Tonight.  With the abundant moisture already in place – locally heavy rainfall will be possible.  Severe weather is not expected though with just marginal amounts of instability over our area.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s with south or east winds at 5 to around 20 mph.

Saturday and Saturday Night (June 28)

An area of low pressure will track northeast out of the Northern Plains this period while a cold front moves east into the Upper Midwest.  Showers or thunderstorms will be possible at times across the Northland Saturday and Saturday Night with locally heavy rain and lightning being the main hazards.

Dew points will likely remain in the 60s and lower 70s on Saturday with PWS of 1.25-1.80″ along with 850mb td’s of around +10 to +14C.  So a lot of juice in the atmosphere to support a heavy rain threat where thunderstorms do occur.

CAPE values of 500-1500 j/kg are forecast over our area on Saturday with Lifted Indices of -1 to -4C. Shear looks weak with generally less than 30 knots of 0-6 KM and Effective Bulk Shear.  Mid level winds will be increasing though with speeds of around 30-40 knots possible.  I don’t think will see much in the way of severe weather in our area with this system Tomorrow, but isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are certainly possible especially over Western-Southwest sections of the Northland.  Gusty winds and hail would be the primary threats the way it looks now.

High temperatures on Saturday will be in the 70s and 80s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior. Lows Saturday Night will be in the 50s and 60s.  Winds during this period are expected to be out of the south, east, or southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Note:  Areas of fog are expected Tonight into Saturday near Lake Superior.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Sunday through Tuesday (June 29-July 1)

A powerful area of low pressure possibly falling below 990mb will be moving through Manitoba and Ontario during the Sunday-Monday time frame.  A cold front attached to this low will have exited the Northland by Sunday Morning, but a secondary boundary is forecast to move across the Upper Midwest Sunday Night.

The best combination of moist and unstable air and favorable wind shear appears to be setting up over Southern Minnesota and over adjacent areas of Wisconsin on Sunday and this is where the greatest risk for possible severe thunderstorms will be.  Moisture and instability is expected to be lower over our area which should limit the amount of convection we may see Sunday Afternoon/Night.

The way it looks now is that we may see a few to scattered coverage of late day and nighttime showers and thunderstorms in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin on Sunday but the severe threat looks pretty low until you get south and southeast of Interstate 94 in Central Minnesota.  Highs on Sunday will be in the 70s and 80s with lows Sunday Night in the 50s and 60s.

Monday and Tuesday could feature a few showers as moisture wraps around an area of low pressure which will be centered well to our north.  Highs on Monday will be in the 60s in far Northern Minnesota with 70s and lower 80s elsewhere.  Highs on Tuesday will mainly be in the 60s.  Lows Monday Night will be in the 50s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(July 2-7)

Dry weather is expected on the 2nd-3rd.  Showers or thunderstorms could return to the area from the 4th-6th the way it looks now.  Near to below average temperatures on the 2nd-3rd with near to possibly above average temperatures from the 4th-7th.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Considerable cloudiness with areas of fog.  Showers possible at times.  Low 53 to 58 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday…  Considerable cloudiness.  Scattered showers possible mainly during the Morning.  Humid.  Patchy fog possible mainly near Lake Superior.  High 71 to 76  but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Humid.  Showers possible at times.  Low 57 to 62 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind south to southeast at 10 to 15 mph.

.Sunday…  Partly sunny.  High 78 to 83.

.Sunday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 58 to 63.

.Monday…  Partly sunny.  Isolated showers possible during the Afternoon.  High 73 to 78.

.Monday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Isolated showers possible.  Low 55 to 60.

.Tuesday…  Considerable cloudiness.  High 67 to 72.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  74
Low:   53

Sunrise Saturday:  5:17 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim

June 26, 2014 – Weather report. Warmer and muggier weather ahead; Near 80 even in Downtown Duluth by Sunday; Rain chances return starting on Friday.

/Issued 4:33 PM CDT, Thursday, June 26, 2014/

Weather tidbits:
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

-For the 1st time this month Duluth, Minnesota has a temperature deficit by just 0.2 degrees.  The average temperature for June through the 25th at the Duluth Airport:  59.1F.

-Wettest June on record at International Falls, Minnesota.  9.93″ of rain has fallen so far this month which beat the previous record of 8.29″ which occurred in 2002.

-Note:  This also ranks as the wettest start to a calendar year to date at International Falls.  18.75″ of precipitation has fallen through June 25th, the previous wettest period was in 1985 with 17.31″ of precipitation.

Weather Summary for June 26, 2014
Location:  Northeast Minnesota & Northwest Wisconsin

Going in the right direction!  Finally a good deal of sunshine over most of the area Today, yes there were still periods that had more clouds than sun, but overall I’d say Today wasn’t too bad.  High temperatures warmed up as well with 70s and lower 80s common away from Lake Superior, but of course near the big lake it was much cooler with temperatures in the 50s to low 60s.  Dew points also increased Today away from Lake Superior with values in the upper 50s to mid 60s so the atmosphere is starting to juice up.  Winds Today were out of the southeast or east at 5 to 15 mph with gusts over 20 mph near Lake Superior.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 26)

Low pressure along with a warm front will be centered well to our west and south with high pressure to our east-northeast.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected Tonight with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms possible mainly over Western-Southern areas.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s with 40s near Lake Superior.  Winds will be out of the south or east at 5-15 mph.

Friday and Friday Night (June 27)

Not much will change this period as low pressure remains over the Northern Plains while a warm front moves slowly northeast into the Upper Midwest.  Away from Lake Superior it will be quite muggy with dew points mainly in the 60s along with high temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s.  Highs closer to Lake Superior will only be in the 50s to around 60.  Low temperatures Friday Night will be in the 50s and 60s with 40s near Lake Superior.  Winds will be out of the south or east at 10 to 20 mph.

We should see some showers or thunderstorms affect the Northland from time to time during the Friday/Friday Night time frame with locally heavy rainfall and lightning being the primary hazards since wind shear is lacking and the amount of instability over our area remains pretty low to support organized severe weather.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Saturday through Monday (June 28-30)

A strong area of low pressure will pass well to our northwest through this period.  A warm front and cold front will be moving through the Upper Midwest from Saturday into early Sunday.  A decent low level jet should be in place ahead of this system with plenty of moisture in place to support a heavy rain threat as a couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms move through the Northland.  The potential for severe thunderstorms on Saturday remains quite low with less than ideal shear in place.  Winds aloft will be increasing though, and if we can get enough sunshine/warming to occur to build up the instability then I suppose there could be an isolated severe storm or two but I don’t think this will be a widespread severe weather event on Saturday.  High temperatures on Saturday are forecast to be in the 70s to around 80 with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Lows Saturday Night will be in the 50s and 60s.

A secondary cold front and possibly an upper level disturbance is forecast to track ENE out of the Northern Plains on Sunday.  Better wind shear and stronger mid and upper level winds should be in place across the region late this weekend which could enhance the risk for severe thunderstorms in parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin from Sunday into Sunday Night.  I do have some concerns on timing as well as the amount of moisture and instability that will be left behind from Saturday’s cold frontal passage, if it’s a late arriving front with less moisture and instability, then the risk for severe thunderstorms would significantly decrease over the Northland, on the other hand if the front moves through sooner, then the main severe risk would probably be much further south.  High temperatures on Sunday will be in the 70s and 80s with lows Sunday Night in the 50s and 60s.

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on Monday as cyclonic flow develops around a deep area of low pressure which should move into Ontario by Monday.  Highs are forecast to be in the 70s and 80s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(July 1-6)

Near to below average temperatures are expected through this period.  A few showers are possible on the 1st, and then again toward the 5th-6th.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 47 to 52 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.

.Friday…  Considerable cloudiness with showers possible at times.  High 65 to 70 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.

.Friday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 51 to 56 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday…  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  High 67 to 72 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Saturday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 55 to 60.

.Sunday…  Partly sunny.  High 78 to 83.

.Sunday Night…  A few showers or thunderstorms possible.  Low 57 to 62.

.Monday…  Partly sunny.  High 77 to 82.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  74
Low:   52

Sunrise Friday:  5:16 AM CDT
Sunset Friday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim

June 25, 2014 – Weather report.

/Issued 4:32 PM CDT, Wednesday, June 25, 2014/

Rainfall report for June 24-25, 2014 ending at 7 AM Today
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

International Falls, MN:  0.89″
Grand Marais, MN:  0.34″
7 NW of Brainerd, MN:  0.29″
Cass Lake, MN:  0.82″
Cook, MN:  0.33″
Embarrass, MN:  0.45″
Butternut, WI:  2.00″
Sarona, WI:  0.71″

Additional storm reports from June 24, 2014
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*3:37 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  4 ESE of Sarona, WI (Washburn County)

*1:45 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  1 SSW of Webster, WI (Burnett County)

*2:00 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  3 ESE of Webster, WI (Burnett County)  Tree branches 8″ in diameter broken off and several 10″ diameter trees pushed over.  Catamaran sailboat stored onshore was overturned.

Weather Summary for June 25, 2014
Location:  Northeast Minnesota & Northwest Wisconsin

A chilly late June day but skies have been clearing a bit from NE-SW This Afternoon as dry air advects in off a 1020-1022mb high which covered Ontario and Hudson Bay Canada Today.  High temperatures ranged from the 40s and 50s near Lake Superior with 60s farther inland.  Winds were out of the east at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts near the big lake.  Areas of rain did affect portions of Northwest Wisconsin early Today with generally dry weather by the Afternoon.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota & NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 25)

Gonna be a crisp one, may wanna throw an extra blanket on the bed.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast with lows in the 40s to lower 50s, but some spots will likely fall into the 30s – possibly resulting in some patchy frost Overnight, but this won’t be a widespread frost threat.  Winds will remain out of the east at 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph near Lake Superior where patchy fog could redevelop during the night.

Thursday and Thursday Night (June 26)

High pressure remains to our east with low pressure covering the Northern Rockies/Western High Plains region with a warm front staying well southwest of Minnesota.  There could be a few showers at times especially Tomorrow Afternoon/Night across Western-Southern sections of the Northland as a warm and moist advection pattern gets underway.  High temperatures on Thursday will be in the 60s and 70s with 50s near Lake Superior.  Lows Thursday Night will be in the 50s and 60s with 40s near Lake Superior.  East or southeast winds are expected this period at 10 to 20 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Friday through Sunday (June 27-29)

Showers or thunderstorms will be possible at times during this whole period as a strong area of low pressure passes well to our northwest while a warm front and cold front move through the Upper Midwest.  Should be plenty of moisture available for a heavy rain potential and this could aggravate the flooding situation that continues over some portions of Minnesota.  Severe thunderstorm potential looks pretty low at the moment, so once again this looks to be more of a heavy rain setup vs. severe thunderstorm setup, but things could change in coming days so stay tuned.

High temperatures are forecast to be in the 70s and 80s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior especially on Friday and Saturday.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s both Friday Night and Saturday Night.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(June 30-July 5)

Showers are possible from June 30th-July 1st as an upper level low/trough dig into the Upper Midwest.  The period from July 2nd-4th looks dry at the moment.  Wet weather could return on July 5th.  Near to above average temperatures on June 30th with near to below average temperatures from July 1st-5th.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Patchy fog is possible late.  Low 41 to 46.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph This Evening.

.Thursday…  Partly sunny.  High 65 to 70 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.  Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.

.Friday…  Considerable cloudiness.  Showers possible.  High 65 to 70 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Friday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Showers possible.  Low 50 to 55.

.Saturday…  Showers possible.  High 67 to 72 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Saturday Night…  Showers possible.  Low 55 to 60.

.Sunday…  Partly sunny.  High 75 to 80.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  73
Low:   52

Sunrise Thursday:  5:16 AM CDT
Sunset Thursday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim