June 29, 2015 Weather Report – Lots of storm reports around the Northland Today; Archived radar images from Today included in this post; Quieter weather through mid-week with a lake breeze

/Issued 7:40 PM CDT, Monday, June 29, 2015/

Radar archive of the severe thunderstorm that rolled southeast into Duluth and Superior late this morning.  The images below is the VIL radar product which is helpful in determining where hail could fall.

10:46 AM CDT:











*11:05 AM CDT:











*11:23 AM CDT:











*11:32 AM CDT:











*11:46 AM CDT:











Local Storm Reports for June 29, 2015
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*7:58 AM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  Kabetogama, MN (St. Louis County)

*9:10 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Gheen, MN (St. Louis County)

*10:03 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Mountain Iron, MN (St. Louis County)

*10:30 AM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  5 N of Cotton, MN (St. Louis County)

*10:30 AM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Melrude, MN (St. Louis County)

*11:12 AM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  39 MPH.  Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*11:25 AM CDT:  1.00″ HAIL.  Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  West Skyline Parkway.

*11:35 AM CDT:  MARINE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  50 KNOTS.  Superior, WI (Douglas County)

*11:51 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Pattison State Park, WI ( Douglas County)

*11:53 AM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Iron River, WI (Bayfield County)

*11:53 AM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  55 MPH.  Iron River, WI (Bayfield County)

*11:55 AM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  40 MPH.  South Range, WI (Douglas County)

*11:22 AM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.  West Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)  Large tree down.

*11:22 AM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  West Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*12:55 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Spirit Mountain, Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*1:07 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  6 E of Hayward, WI (Sawyer County)

*1:07 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Gary New Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*12:52 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  37 MPH.  Hayward, WI (Sawyer County)

*1:17 PM CDT:  0.88″ HAIL.  Gary New Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*1:27 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Spooner, WI (Washburn County)

*1:27 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  30 MPH.  Spooner, WI (Washburn County)

*1:27 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  1 W of Sawyer, MN (Carlton County)

*1:16 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  8 S of Hayward, WI (Sawyer County)

*1:40 PM CDT:  0.88″ HAIL.  Cromwell, MN (Carlton County)

*11:40 AM CDT:  1.75″ HAIL.  4 NW of Amnicon Falls State Park (Douglas County)  At Northland Camping and RV Park.

*1:41 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Park Falls, WI (Price County)

*1:20 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Gary New Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)

*1:51 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  2 E of Barnum, MN (Carlton County)

*1:44 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Pleasant Valley, MN (Carlton County)

*1:40 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  40 MPH.  Shell Lake, WI (Washburn County)

*2:40 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Kettle River, MN (Carlton County)

*1:40 PM CDT:  THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST.  60 MPH.  2 E of Butternut, WI (Ashland County)

*2:58 PM CDT:  0.75″ HAIL.  4 S of Bruno, MN (Pine County)

*3:06 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Willow River, MN (Pine County)

*3:09 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  Willow River, MN (Pine County)

*3:11 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  11 NW of Spooner, WI (Burnett County)

*3:24 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  Hertel, WI (Burnett County)

*3:29 PM CDT: 0.25″ HAIL.  Webster, WI (Burnett County)

*4:53 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  1 N of Hinckley, MN (Pine County)

*4:53 PM CDT:  0.50″ HAIL.  McGrath, MN (Aitkin County)

*4:53 PM CDT:  0.25″ HAIL.  SW Hinckley, MN (Pine County)  Lots of pea sized hail…Covering the ground.

Rainfall report for June 28, 2015
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Hibbing, MN:  0.83″
Hayward, WI:  0.34″
Ashland, WI:  0.14″
12 N of Isle, MN:  0.53″
3 E of Wright, MN:  0.19″
Togo, MN:  0.45″
Floodwood, MN:  0.50″
4 E of Island Lake, MN:  0.27″

Butternut, WI:  0.53″
Gordon, WI:  0.21″
Spooner, WI:  0.14″


Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Date:  June 29, 2015

An active day in parts of the Northland as low pressure, cold front, and an upper level system dropped south into the Upper Midwest.  Decent heating and moisture were in place with temperatures in the 70s and lower 80s with dew points in the 50s and lower 60s.  The atmosphere became unstable with CAPE of around 1000-1500 j/kg and Lifted Indices of -2 to -6C.  Mid level winds were up around 30 knots with an upper level wind maximum of 90 knots over the Red River Valley region.  Effective Bulk Shear and 0-6 KM Shear were generally in the 30-40 knot range today.  All of these ingredients combined with cold temperatures aloft (500mb temps around -13C) were favorable for the development of scattered thunderstorms over parts of the Northland today.  Quite a few of these storms were on the strong side with isolated severe storms as well.  Large hail and gusty winds along with torrential rainfall and dangerous lightning strikes were common with the storms today.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 29)

Low pressure and cold front will continue to push south/east and away from the Northland tonight.  Widely scattered showers or thunderstorms will dissipate this evening otherwise look for partly to mostly cloudy skies tonight with patchy fog.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s to lower 60s with winds out of the north, northwest, or east at 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night (June 30)

The last day of June 2015 will end on a quiet note as high pressure builds south from Ontario.  Partly cloudy skies are forecast this period with highs in the 60s and 70s but it will be cooler near Lake Superior.  Lows Tuesday Night will be in the 40s and 50s.  Winds will be out of the east at 5 to 15 mph.

Note:  Smoke from fires in Canada has found its way into the Northland due to a northwest flow aloft.  There is a chance that this smoke will linger in Northland skies over the next few days as the winds aloft stay out of the northwest or north/northwest.  Low level flow will turn east however, and this may help to produce less smoky conditions in parts of the area Tuesday and Wednesday, will just have to wait and see.

Note:  Easterly flow coming off Lake Superior may lead to some fog and low clouds Tuesday and Wednesday near the lake.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Wednesday through Friday (July 1-3)

Looks mainly dry on Wednesday with highs in the 70s  but cooler temperatures will continue near Lake Superior, lows Wednesday Night will mainly be in the 50s.  A few spotty showers or thunderstorms are possible on Thursday and Friday as low pressure passes through Central Canada while a cold front trailing southwest of this low moves into the Upper Midwest later this week.  High temperatures on Thursday and Friday are expected to be in the 70s and maybe even a few 80s with lows Thursday Night in the 50s and 60s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

(July 4-9)

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on the 5th-6th and possibly again around the 9th.  Near to above average temperatures on the 4th-5th followed by near average temperatures from the 6th-9th.  Note:  Computer models remain in poor agreement for next week in regards to temperatures.  GFS has rather warm temperatures over most of the Upper Midwest while the EURO is cooler but really just seasonable temperatures instead of the warmth that the GFS is showing.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Clear to partly cloudy.  Hazy.  Low 57 to 62.  Wind north at 5 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday…  Cooler.  Partly cloudy.  High 65 to 70 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.

.Tuesday Night…  Mostly clear.  Low 45 to 50.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.

.Wednesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 67 to 72 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Wednesday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 50 to 55.

.Thursday…  Partly sunny.  High 74 to 79.

.Thursday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 57 to 62.

.Friday…  Partly sunny.  High 73 to 78.

Normal temperatures for Tuesday

High:  75
Low:   53

Sunrise Tuesday:  5:18 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday:   9:06 PM CDT

Tim

June 28, 2015 Weather Report – Scattered showers/t-storms ending This Evening with patchy fog late; 70s and low 80s on Monday with a risk for strong to severe t-storms. Future radar and local storm reports included in this post

/Issued 7:28 PM CDT, Sunday, June 28, 2015/

Monday’s severe weather outlook.  Source, WSI.

Yellow=Slight risk for severe thunderstorms (Category 2)
Light green=Marginal risk for severe thunderstorms (Category 1)













Monday will be another day that features scattered showers and thunderstorms in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Future radar per 18z 4km NAM.  Source, OWxData.com

1 PM Monday:  Scattered convection begins to develop in Northern Minnesota.
















4 PM Monday:  Showers and thunderstorms will be scattered around the region.  These storms should be tracking toward the south or southeast.  A few of the storms could be strong to severe Monday Afternoon.
















7 PM Monday:  Still a risk for showers and thunderstorms Monday Evening.
















Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota – Airport location

June 21-27, 2015

High temperatures:

6/21:  80F/8 degrees above normal
6/22:  73F/Normal
6/23:  79F/6 degrees above normal
6/24:  79F/6 degrees above normal
6/25:  74F/1 degree above normal
6/26:  77F/3 degrees above normal
6/27:  82F/8 degrees above normal

Low temperatures:

6/21:  55F/4 degrees above normal
6/22:  57F/6 degrees above normal
6/23:  52F/Normal
6/24:  52F/Normal
6/25:  51F/1 degree below normal
6/26:  54F/2 degrees above normal
6/27:  53F/Normal

Total precipitation:  1.71″
Normal:  1.08″
Departure:  +0.63″ above normal


Last week’s temperature departure map.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.



















Last week’s precipitation departure map.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.





















Local Storm Reports for June 26 and 28, 2015
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*8:07 PM CDT 6/26:  0.50″ HAIL.  Chisholm, MN (St. Louis County)  Quarter to half inch diameter hail.  Duration of 15 minutes.

*12:15 PM CDT 6/28:  0.25″ HAIL.  11 N of Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)  

Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Date:  June 28, 2015

Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurred in parts of the Northland today as low pressure pushed off to the south/southeast while an upper level low and cold air aloft lingered over the Upper Midwest.  Thunderstorms remained below severe levels today but frequent cloud to ground lightning and very heavy rain did occur in a lot of the storms along with some gusty winds and small hail.  Note:  One person was struck by lightning this afternoon in Duluth, Minnesota; 2 others were struck by lightning in Cherry, Minnesota.  High temperatures today were in the 60s and 70s with a few Western areas up around 80 where showers and thunderstorms were much more isolated in coverage compared to areas farther east.  Winds today were out of the east or north at 5 to 15 mph.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 28)

Low pressure will be centered to our north and southeast.  Scattered showers or thunderstorms will continue in parts of the area this evening with a chance for a few more showers or thunderstorms overnight mainly in Northern Minnesota.  Patchy fog could form tonight otherwise expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with lows in the 50s to lower 60s.  Winds will be out of the west at 5 to 15 mph.

Monday and Monday Night (June 29)

A cold front along with an area of low pressure will drop south/southeast through the Northland during this period.  Instability looks higher tomorrow compared to what we saw today with CAPE of 1000-2000 j/kg along with lifted indices from -3 to -6C.  Mid level winds will generally be around 30 knots with stronger upper level winds approaching 100 knots over the Red River Valley region.  As the cold front approaches we should see scattered showers and thunderstorms erupt over the Northland on Monday with precipitation continuing Monday Evening before ending late Monday Night.

A few of the thunderstorms could become strong to severe in parts of the area Monday Afternoon and Evening with gusty winds and hail possible.  Heavy downpours and dangerous lightning is also likely.

High temperatures on Monday will be in the 70s and 80s with lows Monday Night in the 50s and lower 60s.  Winds will be out of the north or northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tuesday through Thursday (June 30-July 2)

Generally dry weather is expected for Tuesday but we could be dealing with a few showers or thunderstorms for Wednesday and Thursday but this doesn’t look like a real big deal at the moment.  High temperatures are forecast to be in the 70s to around 80 degrees from Tuesday through Thursday but it will be cooler near Lake Superior.  Low temperatures Tuesday Night and Wednesday Night will be in the 50s with a few spots possibly dipping into the 40s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium to High.

(July 3-8)

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on Friday (3rd) and again sometime around 5th-6th.  Near to above average temperatures are expected from July 3-8.  Note:  The 4th of July itself looks dry at this time with temperatures in the 70s and possibly even the 80s!

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  A few showers possible mainly before Midnight.  Patchy fog possible late.  Low 57 to 62.  Wind variable around 10 mph.

.Monday…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Scattered mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms developing.  High 78 to 83.  Wind west at 10 to 20 mph.

.Monday Night…  A few showers and thunderstorms possible mainly early.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 57 to 62.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Tuesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 65 to 70  but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Tuesday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.

.Wednesday…  Partly sunny.  High 67 to 72 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Wednesday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 50 to 55.

.Thursday…  Partly sunny.  High 70 to 75.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  74
Low:   53

Sunrise Monday:  5:17 AM CDT
Sunset Monday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim



June 27, 2015 Weather Report – Occasional showers, few t-storms late Tonight and Sunday; Back up around 80 on Monday with a risk for strong Afternoon t-storms

/Issued 7:20 PM CDT, Saturday, June 27, 2015/

A very small but potent thunderstorm developed this afternoon and was nearly stationary for a few hours, this storm dropped a couple inches of rain north of the Silver Bay and Little Marais areas along the North Shore of Lake Superior in Northeast Minnesota – Flash Flood Warnings were issued by the National Weather Service in Duluth but that warning was allowed to expire at 6 PM this evening.











Quite an interesting looking visible satellite image from late this afternoon centered on North Dakota.  Several tornadic supercell thunderstorms erupted this afternoon over Eastern North Dakota.  15 preliminary tornado reports so far today in Eastern portions of North Dakota per Storm Prediction Center.  Source, college of dupage website















Weather tidbits for Duluth, Minnesota – Airport location

*26 days so far this year with a high temperature of at least 70 degrees compared to 24 days by this time last year.

*4 days so far this year with a high temperature of at least 80 degrees compared to 7 days by this time last year.

Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Date:  June 27, 2015

A beautiful late June day in most of the Northland.  High temperatures today topped out in the 70s and lower 80s with comfortable humidity levels for the most part as dew points were only in the upper 40s and 50s although a few spots in Northern Minnesota had dew points up around 60 this afternoon.  Sky conditions varied from mostly cloudy to mostly sunny and there have been some showers and thunderstorms affecting parts of Northern Minnesota today.  Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms have occurred up in that area along with torrential rain.  Portions of Lake and Cook County in Northeast Minnesota were under a flash flood warning for a few hours this afternoon.  Winds today were out of the south or southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 27)

Low pressure which was over Eastern North Dakota late this afternoon will move southeast into Central Minnesota by daybreak.  Severe thunderstorms including a number of tornadoes developed this afternoon near the surface low in Eastern North Dakota but the bulk of the heavier thunderstorms tonight will be moving south or southeast and should for the most part stay west and southwest of our area.  Here in the Northland expect occasional showers and a few thunderstorms with locally heavy rain and lightning being the main hazards but a risk for gusty winds and hail is possible especially before Midnight in Western portions of the area.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected tonight with lows in the 50s and 60s.  Winds will be out of the south, east, or north at 5 to 15 mph.

Sunday and Sunday Night (June 28)

Low pressure along with an upper level trough will move slowly south/southeast through the Upper Midwest — Expect occasional showers and scattered thunderstorms in most of the Northland Tomorrow and Tomorrow Evening.  Brief heavy downpours are a possibility on Sunday but not expecting any severe thunderstorms due to minimal instability that will be in place.  High temperatures Tomorrow will be in the 60s and 70s with lows Tomorrow Night in the 50s to lower 60s.  Winds will be out of the north, east, or south on Sunday at 10 to 15 mph with south or north winds Sunday Night at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Monday through Wednesday (June 29-July 1)

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible on Monday as cold air aloft combines with a disturbance and cold front which will approach from the north.  Note:  If we get enough instability to build-up on Monday then we could see a few strong to severe thunderstorms in parts of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Mainly dry weather is expected for Tuesday and Wednesday the way it looks now.

High temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s on Monday with lows Monday Night in the 40s and 50s.  Highs on Tuesday will be in the 60s and 70s with lows Tuesday Night in the 40s and 50s.  Highs on Wednesday will be in the 60s and 70s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Low to Medium.

(July 2-7)

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible from time to time from the 2nd-7th of July, not looking for any all day rains on any one of those days though.  The computer models have been and continue to struggle a bit on the temperatures with the operational GFS and EURO models from today showing quite a bit of warm air building into the Upper Midwest including here in the Northland during the 4th of July weekend and into the following week, but the EURO ensemble model from today paints a cooler scenario for the area with temperatures near to slightly below average.  Stay tuned!

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Scattered showers developing late.  Isolated thunderstorms possible.  Low 58 to 63.  Wind south to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.

.Sunday…  Considerable cloudiness.  Occasional showers.  Isolated thunderstorms possible.  High 67 to 72.  Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.

.Sunday Night…  Scattered showers possible mainly early.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 55 to 60.  Wind becoming south to southwest around 10 mph.

.Monday…  Partly sunny.  Afternoon showers or thunderstorms possible.  High 75 to 80.

.Monday Night…  A few showers or thunderstorms possible early.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 50 to 55.

.Tuesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 65 to 70 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Tuesday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 45 to 50.

.Wednesday…  Partly sunny.  High 67 to 72.

Normal temperatures for Sunday

High:  74
Low:   53

Sunrise Sunday:  5:17 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim

June 25, 2015 Weather Report – Widely scattered showers and t-storms ending followed by areas of fog; Pleasant temps on Friday (Cooler near the lake) Spotty P.M. storms.

/Issued 7:31 PM CDT, Thursday, June 25, 2015/

Radar image from 7:32 PM CDT this evening.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue in parts of Northern and Northeast Minnesota early this evening, this activity is moving toward the south and should weaken during the next few hours.  Note:  I think the Twin Ports remain dry tonight as the showers currently to our north and northeast should dissipate before moving into the city.

Friday’s high temperature forecast.  Source, WSI.

Estimated rainfall map from 7 AM June 24 through 7 AM June 25, 2015.  Source, WSI.

Rainfall report for June 24-25, 2015 ending at 7 AM June 25
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN (Airport)  0.17″
Grand Marais, MN:  0.26″
Hibbing, MN:  0.48″
Ashland, WI:  0.16″
Cass Lake, MN:  1.00″
Togo, MN:  0.39″
Duluth, MN (National Weather Service)  0.20″
Embarrass, MN:  0.30″
Hurley, WI:  0.21″
Park Falls, WI:  0.43″

Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Date:  June 25, 2015

High pressure covered the Upper Midwest today but lingering moisture, warming from the sun, and colder temperatures aloft led to the development of a few showers and thunderstorms in far Northern Minnesota and also over the Arrowhead of Minnesota.  A lake breeze boundary probably helped to trigger today’s storm in the Arrowhead.  There is some instability in place with CAPE of up to 1000 j/kg this afternoon and lifted indices ranging from -2 to -4C.  Otherwise the Northland saw a mix of sun/clouds today with high temperatures in the 70s to around 80 degrees with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Winds were generally variable in direction at around 5 to 15 mph.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (June 25)

Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected Tonight with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms coming to an end later in the night.  A few of the storms could be on the strong side with torrential rain, hail, gusty winds, and lightning but again the coverage of the storms will be isolated to widely scattered.  Low temperatures will be in the 50s to lower 60s but 40s are possible in some locales.  Winds will be light and variable in direction at around 10 mph.  Note:  Areas of fog could develop Tonight especially near Lake Superior.

Friday and Friday Night (June 26)

High pressure will remain in control of our weather but much like Today will likely see a few spotty showers and thunderstorms develop during the Afternoon and Evening hours thanks to daytime heating, some cold air aloft, and a bit of instability and moisture which will be over the Northland.  Also like Today the convection should tend to stay away from Lake Superior.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast this period with areas of fog especially early in the day.  High temperatures will be in the 70s and lower 80s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Lows Friday Night will be in the 50s to lower 60s.  Winds will be out of the south, north, or east at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Saturday through Monday (June 27-29)

An area of low pressure along with a cold front and upper level trough will be digging into the Upper Midwest this weekend.  Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in the Northland from Saturday Afternoon through Sunday as this system moves through.  There should be enough instability that builds-up to produce a few strong storms this weekend.  A few lingering showers or thunderstorms are possible on Monday as this system pulls off to the south/east.

High temperatures on Saturday are forecast to be in the 70s and 80s with lows Saturday Night in the 50s and 60s.  Highs on Sunday will be in the 70s to around 80 with lows Sunday Night in the 50s to lower 60s.  Highs on Monday will be in the 70s.  Note:  It will be cooler near Lake Superior on Saturday and Sunday.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

(June 30-July 5)

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible from time to time between the 1st-4th of July.  Not looking at all day rains but the potential is there for a few showers or storms during the aforementioned time frame.  Near to below average temperatures are expected from June 30-July 5 but again as I mentioned in the past few posts there is a chance for above average temperatures on one or two days during the long range.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly cloudy.  Areas of fog developing.  Low 50 to 55.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.

.Friday…  Areas of fog mainly during the Morning.  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 70 to 75 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind variable to onshore at 5 to 15 mph.

.Friday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 52 to 57.  Wind variable around 10 mph.

.Saturday…  Partly sunny.  High 75 to 80.

.Saturday Night…  A few showers or thunderstorms possible.  Mostly cloudy.  Low 57 to 62.

.Sunday…  A few showers or thunderstorms possible.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 71 to 76.

.Sunday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  A few showers or thunderstorms possible mainly early.  Low 55 to 60.

.Monday…  A few showers or thunderstorms possible.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 70 to 75.

Normal temperatures for Friday

High:  74
Low:   52

Sunrise Friday:  5:16 AM CDT
Sunset Friday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim

June 24, 2015 Weather Report – Scattered showers/t-storms slowly ending Tonight followed by areas of fog; Spotty storms Thursday. Local storm reports and some pics included in this post

/Issued 7:47 PM CDT, Wednesday, June 24, 2015/

Radar rainfall estimates centered over the local Duluth and Superior area.  Rain totals varied greatly with the batch of thunderstorms that moved over the city around midday today.  Only 0.02″ of rain at the Duluth Airport while over a half inch of rain fell in spots below the hill in the Twin Ports.  Typical summer time rainfall distribution, some spots get a lot, others only get a light amount or nothing at all.


Local Storm Reports for June 23-24, 2015
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

*5:29 PM CDT June 23:  0.25″ HAIL.  1 E of Gheen, Minnesota (St. Louis County)

*1:40 PM CDT June 24:  0.25″ HAIL.  6 SE of Rice Lake TWP, Minnesota (St. Louis County)  Lots of pea sized hail.

*6:10 PM CDT June 24:  0.88″ HAIL.  16 N of Deer River, Minnesota (Itasca County)

I’ve been having some fun taking pictures lately.  By far one of my favorite things to do outside of my weather forecasting hobby.  Most of these pictures I’ve already posted on Facebook, but for those that don’t follow me on Facebook I’m re-posting the pictures for you to see.  Enjoy!

June 22, 2015 – Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 – Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 – Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

Shane Sabraski – Wissota Modified at Amsoil Speedway Friday, June 12, 2015.

Late model heat race at Amsoil Speedway June 19, 2015.

June 17, 2015 Munger Trail Duluth, Minnesota.

June 17, 2015 – Munger Trail Duluth, Minnesota.

June 19, 2015 Bayhill Trail, Duluth, Minnesota

June 22, 2015 – Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 New Duluth, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 St. Louis River Fond du Lac, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 – Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

June 22, 2015 – Highway 23 overlook Wrenshall, Minnesota.

Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Date:  June 24, 2015

A cold front moving slowly south out of Ontario and into Northern Minnesota today combined with a few fast moving disturbances led to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms around the Northland today.  A few of the storms were on the strong side with gusty winds, small hail along with lightning and torrential downpours.  Outside of the scattered rains skies were partly sunny to mostly cloudy with highs in the 70s to lower 80s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Winds were variable in direction at 5 to 15 mph with a more pronounced easterly wind near Lake Superior this afternoon.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight through Thursday Night (June 24-25)

A cold front will push south and out of the Northland Tonight with high pressure taking over as it extends from the Northern Rockies to northeast of Lake Superior.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue in the area Tonight although the precipitation should gradually decrease in coverage and intensity during the night.  Patchy fog could form Tonight into early Thursday Morning, followed by partly to mostly sunny skies.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected for Thursday Night.

Although no frontal boundaries will be over the Northland on Thursday there will be lingering instability and moisture over the area and this combined with a lake breeze front could help to trigger a few pulse-type showers and thunderstorms for areas away from Lake Superior on Thursday and Thursday Evening.

Low temperatures Tonight will be in the 50s to lower 60s with a few spots possibly dropping into the 40s.  Highs on Thursday will be in the 70s to lower 80s with cooler temperatures near Lake Superior.  Lows Thursday Night will be in the 40s and 50s.  Winds will be out of the north, west, or east at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Friday through Sunday (June 26-28)

High pressure remains in control of our weather on Friday with highs in the 70s to lower 80s but it will be cooler near Lake Superior, lows Friday Night will be in the 50s and 60s.  Note:  A few spotty showers and thunderstorms could develop once again on Friday in parts of the Northland as some instability and moisture remain over the area.

This weekend will see an area of low pressure, warm front, cold front, and upper level trough dig southeast into the Upper Midwest — This system could bring some showers or thunderstorms to the area at times especially from late Saturday into Sunday.  High temperatures on Saturday and Sunday are expected to be in the 70s with a few spots possibly climbing into the 80s on Saturday.  Lows Saturday Night will be in the 50s and 60s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

(June 29-July 4)

A few showers or thunderstorms are possible on Monday (29th) A few more showers or thunderstorms are possible sometime around July 1-2.  The overall weather pattern becomes rather amplified next week with a huge heat dome to our west and a deep/cool trough in place from Central Canada through the Great Lakes region.  Near to below average temperatures are forecast in the Northland from June 29-July 4, although its possible we could have a day or two during the long range that features above average temperatures.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Considerable cloudiness.  Areas of fog possible.  A few showers possible.  Low 50 to 55.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.

.Thursday…  Areas of fog possible mainly during the Morning otherwise partly to mostly sunny.  High 69 to 74 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.

.Thursday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 50 to 55.  Wind east at 5 to 15 mph.

.Friday…  Partly sunny.  High 70 to 75 but cooler near Lake Superior.

.Friday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 52 to 57.

.Saturday…  Partly sunny.  High 75 to 80.

.Saturday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  A few showers or thunderstorms possible.  Low 57 to 62.

.Sunday…  A few showers or thunderstorms possible.  High 71 to 76.

Normal temperatures for Thursday

High:  73
Low:  52

Sunrise Thursday:  5:15 AM CDT
Sunset Thursday:   9:07 PM CDT

Tim