February 29, 2016 Weather Report – Very cold tonight and a chilly first few days of March followed by a major warm-up and possible rain for next week. Peak wind gusts and snowfall report from last night and a look at March climate averages for Duluth included in this post

/Issued 4:22 PM CST, Monday, February 29, 2016/

Most of the weather action this week will stay south of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin but next week could be a different story — The image below is the forecasted 500mb pattern valid for Monday, March 7, 2016.  This type of pattern that is shown on this map is often a stormy one for the Upper Midwest as deep troughing sets up over the Rockies (Note how the green lines on the map dip) One or more low pressure systems may affect the Upper Midwest next week but with a lot of warm air expected to be in place by that time the majority of what falls should be in the form of rain and not snow or ice.  Stay tuned.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Tonight’s low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Tuesday’s high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Heads up if you have travel plans to Central/Eastern South Dakota, Northern Iowa, far Southern Minnesota or Southern Wisconsin — Snow accumulating to several inches tonight and Tuesday.  Source, 20z RAP model.  Note:  Winter weather headlines are in effect tonight and tomorrow including a winter storm warning for parts of Southern Wisconsin.

24-hour snowfall map ending the morning of February 29, 2016.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.

Snowfall report for February 29, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

1 NW of Kabetogama, MN (St. Louis County)  3.5″
4 S of Tower, MN (St. Louis County)  3.2″
Embarrass, MN (St. Louis County)  3.0″
Ashland, WI (Ashland County)  2.3″

3 E of Orr, MN (St. Louis County)  2.0″
Ely, MN (St. Louis County)  2.0″
Gile, WI (Iron County)  2.0″
2 E of Celina, MN (St. Louis County)  2.0″

Winton, MN (St. Louis County)  2.0″
3 NNE of Finland, MN (Lake County)  1.9″
4 NNW of Arnold, MN (St. Louis County)  1.5″
3 SE of Superior, WI (Douglas County)  1.5″
5 NE of Grand Portage, MN (Cook County)  1.5″

Peak wind gusts from February 29, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Devils Island:  53 mph
2 SE of Bayfield:  45 mph
1 N of Knife River:  44 mph
Duluth Airport:  44 mph
Grand Rapids:  44 mph
Chisholm-Hibbing Airport:  44 mph
Ashland:  43 mph
Brainerd:  43 mph
Cloquet:  40 mph
Northome:  40 mph
Pine River:  40 mph

March climate averages for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

Temperature:  26.0 degrees
Precipitation:  1.49″
Snowfall:  13.2″

*Warmest:  39.2 degrees set in 2012
Coldest:  13.5 degrees set in 1923

*Wettest:  5.12″ set in 1965
Snowiest:  48.2″ set in 1917

Astronomical data for March:

Sunrise on the 1st:  6:47 AM CST
Sunrise on the 31st:  6:49 AM CDT

Sunset on the 1st:  5:55 PM CST
Sunset on the 31st:  7:37 PM CST

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  February 29, 2016

A very cold last unofficial day of winter 2015-16.  Cold front which produced a coating to a few inches of snow across the Northland early this morning has moved well off to the east this afternoon and is being replaced with high pressure which is building southeast out of Manitoba Province — A mix of sun/clouds this morning with generally sunny or mostly sunny skies this afternoon with temperatures only in the single digits in far Northern Minnesota with teens to near 20 degrees elsewhere.  Note:  Afternoon temperatures are running 15 to nearly 25 degrees colder than average on this final day of February.  Winds today were out of the north or northwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 29)

High pressure moves into the Northern Plains tonight.  Clear to partly cloudy skies in the Northland with low temperatures ranging from the single digits, teens and possibly a few 20s below zero in Northern Minnesota to the single digits and teens above zero in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Winds tonight will be out of the north or west at 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday and Tuesday night (March 1)

March comes in like a lamb — High pressure will move over the Upper Midwest resulting in a mostly sunny to partly cloudy sky tomorrow with highs in the teens and 20s.  Partly cloudy skies for Tuesday night with lows in the single digits below to teens above zero.  West or northwest winds tomorrow at 10 to 20 mph with a variable wind direction tomorrow night at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Wednesday through Friday (March 2-4)

Low pressure moves southeast out of the Northern Plains on Wednesday, most of the snow associated with this system looks like it’ll remain to our south but a few flurries could sneak into Southern portions of the area on Wednesday — Highs will be in the teens and 20s with lows Wednesday night in the single digits below to teens above zero.

Mainly dry on Thursday with highs in the 20s to around 30 degrees, lows Thursday night will be in the single digits and teens.

Light snow or flurries are possible on Friday as another area of low pressure approaches from the west.  Highs on Friday will be in the 20s and 30s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium to High.

(March 5-10)

A minor snow event is possible on Saturday (5th) after that it looks like will have a pattern change as a trough develops over the Western U.S. while a ridge takes hold over the Eastern U.S. — The Upper Midwest should get into a southwesterly flow aloft which could lead to a more active weather pattern for next week.  A significant warming trend is also expected next week with above to well above average temperatures expected…So with these warmer temperatures and a more active pattern possibly developing, precipitation that does fall would be in the form of rain.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Mostly clear.  Low 0 to 5 below.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Tuesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 17 to 22.  Wind west at 10 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 5 to 10.  Wind variable around 10 mph.

.Wednesday…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 17 to 22.

.Wednesday night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 10 to 15.

.Thursday…  Partly sunny.  High 22 to 27.

.Thursday night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 13 to 18.

.Friday…  Partly sunny.  High 28 to 33.

Normal temperatures for Tuesday

High:  29
Low:  11

Sunrise Tuesday:  6:47 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday:   5:55 PM CST

Tim

February 28, 2016 Weather Report – Snow arrives late tonight (1-3" of accumulation by Monday morning with locally higher amounts possible) Gusty northwest winds causing blowing and drifting snow late tonight-Monday AM; Winter weather advisory in effect in parts of the Northland; Future radar included in this post

/Issued 6:08 PM CST, Sunday, February 28, 2016/

Winter weather advisory is in effect for the area shaded in purple on the map.  Source, Aerisweather.com  More information at the link below.

Winter weather advisory – http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=winter%20weather%20advisory

Future radar for tonight and early Monday morning per 21z HopWRF model.

Note:  Darker green colors on the maps below indicate moderate to heavy snowfall with visibility as low as 1/2 mile or less.

Total snowfall accumulation map for late tonight through early Monday morning per 21z HopWRF model.

Tonight’s low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Monday’s high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Last week’s temperature departure map.  A warm week in the Northland.

Last week’s precipitation departure map.

High temperature map for February 27, 2016.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.

Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)

February 21-27, 2016

High temperatures:

2/21:  28 F/+2 degrees above normal
2/22:  28 F/+2 degrees above normal
2/23:  34 F/+7 degrees above normal
2/24:  34 F/+7 degrees above normal
2/25:  28 F/+1 degree above normal
2/26:  36 F/+8 degrees above normal
2/27:  52 F/+24 degrees above normal

Low temperatures:

2/21:  13 F/+5 degrees above normal
2/22:  16 F/+7 degrees above normal
2/23:  24 F/+15 degrees above normal
2/24:  21 F/+12 degrees above normal
2/25:  15 F/+5 degrees above normal
2/26:  9 F/-1 degree below normal
2/27:  28 F/+17 degrees above normal

Total precipitation:  0.19″
Normal:  0.26″
Departure:  -0.07″ below normal

High temperature report for February 27, 2016
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

Duluth, MN:  52 F
International Falls, MN:  46 F
Brainerd, MN:  57 F
Hibbing, MN:  49 F
Ashland, WI:  55 F
Hayward, WI:  54 F
Sky Harbor Airport, MN:  54 F
Two Harbors, MN:  55 F
Silver Bay, MN:  55 F
Bigfork, MN:  52 F
Grand Rapids, MN:  50 F
Longville, MN:  55 F
Pine River, MN:  57 F
Aitkin, MN:  57 F
Hinckley, MN:  55 F
Superior, WI:  55 F
Solon Springs, WI:  52 F
Siren, WI:  57 F
Phillips, WI:  51 F
Embarrass, MN:  47 F
Butternut, WI:  52 F

*Record warmth in the Upper Midwest on Saturday, February 27, 2016*
Source, National Weather Service Chanhassen, Minnesota

Twin Cities, MN:

New record:  58 degrees
Old record:  54 degrees set in 1896

Eau Claire, WI:

New record:  61 degrees
Old record:  55 degrees set in 1895 and in 1896

St. Cloud, MN:

New record:  59 degrees
Old record:  58 degrees set in 1932

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  February 28, 2016

A lot cooler than yesterday but today’s high temperatures which were in the 20s to lower 30s are actually pretty close to average for late February.  Mostly cloudy skies over the Northland but there has been some clearing taking place at times especially across Northern Minnesota.  Snow and freezing drizzle this morning ended from west to east by this afternoon as low pressure of 996mb heads into the Eastern Great Lakes late this afternoon.  Note:  Snowfall accumulations from this system were generally around 1″ or less.  Winds today were out of the north or northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 28)

A fast moving area of low pressure will pass north of our area tonight but this low will drag a strong cold front through the Northland later tonight — A quick shot of strong lift combined with steep low level lapse rates will lead to about a 1-3 hour period of snow which could be heavy at times.  The snow will spread from NW-SE through Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin from late this evening through early Monday morning.

Lows tonight will range from the single digits below to single digits above zero over far Northern Minnesota to the 20s in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Winds will be shifting around from the north/west to the southwest and then back to the north/west, wind speeds will be in the 10-20 mph range with gusts up to 30 mph developing late tonight.

Monday and Monday night (February 29)

The unofficial end to Winter 2015-16 will be a chilly one!

Low pressure will exit to the east while high pressure builds southeast into the Northern Plains.  Snow showers and flurries will be possible tomorrow morning with lake effect snow showers affecting the South Shore of Lake Superior in Northwest Wisconsin.  Highs on Monday will be in the teens, 20s and lower 30s which will occur early in the day, expect afternoon temperatures to only be in the single digits to around 20 degrees.  Winds tomorrow will be out of the north or northwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Lows Monday night will be in the single digits below to teens above zero with north or northwest winds at 5 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tuesday through Thursday (March 1-3)

Mainly dry Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.  High temperatures are forecast to be in the teens and 20s with lows Tuesday night and Wednesday night in the single digits below to teens above zero — The first few days of March will no doubt be a chilly one here in the Northland.  

Note:  There is a chance for lake effect snow showers along the South Shore of Lake Superior from Tuesday through Thursday and those lake effect snow showers could also affect the North Shore of Lake Superior by Thursday as winds could possibly turn more to the east or northeast at that time.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(March 4-9)

Near to below average temperatures are expected on the 4th-5th with above average temperatures looking likely from the 6th-9th.  A minor snow event is possible on the 4th-5th.  A stronger storm system could impact the Upper Midwest next week with rain.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

Event:  *WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY*
Timing:  2 AM to 8 AM CST Monday.

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy during the evening.  Snow developing after Midnight.  Low 5 to 10.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming west to southwest at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts possible Overnight.  Areas of blowing and drifting snow are possible after Midnight.  Total snowfall accumulations of 1-3″ possible.

.Monday…  Breezy and chilly! Partly to mostly sunny.  High 23 to 28 early with temperatures falling into the teens.  Wind northwest at 15 to 30 mph.  Areas of blowing and drifting snow are possible especially during the morning.

.Monday night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 3 to 8.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 15 mph.

.Tuesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 15 to 20.

.Tuesday night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 5 to 10.

.Wednesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 17 to 22.

.Wednesday night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 7 to 12.

.Thursday…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 17 to 22.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  29
Low:  11

Sunrise Monday:  6:49 AM CST
Sunset Monday:   5:54 PM CST

Tim

February 26, 2016 Weather Report: 40s in Duluth on Saturday; Around 60 degrees in Southern Minnesota; Strong ENE winds, some snow and freezing drizzle late Saturday night-Sunday — Gale watch issued for Western Lake Superior

/Issued 5:08 PM CST, Friday, February 26, 2016/

Forecast map valid for Sunday morning.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Blue=Snow
Orange=Mixed precipitation
Green=Rain

Here’s the track of this weekend’s low pressure system.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Tonight’s low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Saturday’s high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  February 26, 2016

Warm air advection is well underway today with afternoon 850mb temperatures of +2 to +8C over the Northern Plains which is moving this way! Skies were partly sunny to mostly sunny in our area today with highs in the 30s to lower 40s.  Winds were out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 26)

Low pressure tracks across Northern Ontario tonight while a trough swings east through Minnesota.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast with lows in the 20s to lower 30s.  Southwest winds will continue at 10 to 20 mph.

Saturday and Saturday night (February 27)

Mild temperatures on Saturday with highs in the 30s and 40s with 50s possible in East Central Minnesota.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies for tomorrow with south or southwest winds which will become northeast across Northern Minnesota during the afternoon.  Wind speeds will be in the 10 to 20 mph range on Saturday.

A cold front will drop south out of Ontario Province tomorrow, this front should pass through the Northland Saturday night while an area of low pressure tracks southeast out of the Northern Plains  — Areas of snow and mixed precipitation including freezing drizzle, sleet and light rain will develop from north to south Saturday night with the greatest chance for rain or freezing drizzle occurring in East Central Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin the way it looks now.  Lows Saturday night will range from the single digits and teens in far Northern Minnesota to the 30s in Northwest Wisconsin with winds turning to the east or northeast at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph developing late in the night near Lake Superior.

Note:  The record high temperature for Saturday at the Duluth Airport is 54 degrees which was set in 1896.  That record should be safe, but we could still be looking at a top 2 warmest February 27th on record — 2nd warmest high temperature on record for February 27th is 47 degrees which occurred in 1905 and 1878.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

Sunday through Tuesday (February 28-March 1)

Light snow on Sunday which will end from west to east as low pressure moves into the Central/Eastern Great Lakes — There’s also a chance for some sleet or freezing drizzle Sunday morning in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Highs on Sunday will be in the 20s and 30s with teens in far Northern Minnesota.  Lows Sunday night will be in the teens and 20s.

An area of low pressure is forecast to move southeast into the Upper Midwest on Monday with another round of snow or mixed precipitation possible in the Northland.  Highs on Monday will range from the 30s in Eastern Minnesota and in Northwest Wisconsin to the teens in far Northern Minnesota.  Lows Monday night will be in the single digits below zero to the teens above zero.

Mainly dry on Tuesday with highs in the teens and 20s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

(March 2-6)

Below average temperatures are expected from the 2nd-4th followed by near normal temperatures from the 5th-6th.  Could be some light snow or mixed precipitation sometime next weekend (5th-6th)

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday…  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 43 to 48.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday night…  Mostly cloudy.  Turning breezy.  Light snow, sleet or freezing drizzle possible late.  Low 25 to 30.  Wind becoming east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph possible after Midnight.

.Sunday…  Breezy during the morning.  Occasional light snow.  High 30 to 35 early with temperatures falling into the 20s.  Wind northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph during the morning.

.Sunday night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 15 to 20.

.Monday…  Mostly cloudy.  Light snow possible.  High 27 to 32.

.Monday night…  Mostly cloudy.  Light snow or flurries possible.  Low 5 to 10.

.Tuesday…  Partly sunny.  High 15 to 20.

Normal temperatures for Saturday

High:  28
Low:  11

Sunrise Saturday:  6:53 AM CST
Sunset Saturday:   5:51 PM CST

Tim

 

February 25, 2016 Weather Report – 30s Friday; 40s to around 50 degrees on Saturday with 60s possible over Southern Minnesota

/Issued 4:52 PM CST, Thursday, February 25, 2016/

Filtered storm reports map for February 24, 2016.  Source, Storm Prediction Center.  Note:  57 filtered preliminary tornado reports during the past two days; 492 severe weather reports.

Red dots=Tornado reports
Blue dots=Damaging wind reports (58 mph or greater)
Green dots=Large hail reports (1.00″ or greater in diameter)

Filtered storm reports map for February 23, 2016.  Source, Storm Prediction Center.

That’s a lot of warnings.  A map showing all the warnings that have been issued during the past few days.

  Red polygons=Tornado warning; Dark blue polygons=Severe thunderstorm warning.

*Over 500 combined severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings were issued across the Southern and Eastern U.S. on February 22-23.  217 tornado warnings; 300 severe thunderstorm warnings.

A plot of lightning strikes from Monday-Wednesday, February 22-24, 2016.  Wow.

Tonight’s low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.


















Friday’s high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.




















A slight chance for at least 4″ of snow on Sunday in far Northeast Minnesota (Blue outlined area on the map)  Source, Weather Prediction Center.
















Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  February 25, 2016

Gusty winds and seasonable temperatures in the Northland today.  Sunshine in parts of the area during the morning hours gave way to a mix of sun/clouds during the afternoon.  There’s been some flurries and light snow showers moving south/southeast through parts of the area.  Highs were in the 20s to around 30 degrees with north or northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 25)

Partly to mostly cloudy skies with a few evening flurries or snow showers.  High pressure over the Northern Plains this afternoon will move into the Upper Midwest tonight.  Lows will be in the single digits and teens with north or northwest winds becoming west or southwest late.

Friday and Friday night (February 26)

An area of low pressure will move into Northern Ontario while a warm front heads east out of the Northern Plains.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast on Friday with highs in the 30s with 40s possible in Southwest portions of the Northland.  Lows Friday night will be in the 20s and 30s.  Winds will be out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

Saturday through Monday (February 27-29)

Mild on Saturday with highs in the 30s and 40s with 50s possible in parts of East Central Minnesota.  Lows Saturday night will range from the teens and 20s in Northern Minnesota to the 30s in Eastern Minnesota and Northern Wisconsin.

A cold front will move south out of Ontario Province on Saturday, this front is expected to pass through the Northland Saturday night and settle south of our area on Sunday as low pressure tracks east/southeast out of the Northern Plains — There is a chance for some snow late Saturday night and Sunday in parts of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with light snowfall amounts possible.  Note:  There could also be some rain or freezing rain over Southern portions of the Northland late Saturday night or Sunday morning.  Highs on Sunday will be in the 20s and 30s with nearly steady or slowly falling temperatures in parts of the area.  Lows Sunday night will be in the teens and 20s with single digits in far Northeast Minnesota.

Another area of low pressure moves southeast into the Upper Midwest on Monday bringing with it a chance for light snow with highs on Monday in the 20s and 30s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium to High.

(March 1-5)

Near to below average temperatures during the long range with no major storms affecting the Northland the way it looks now.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Scattered snow showers and flurries this evening otherwise partly to mostly cloudy.  Breezy early.  Low 11 to 16.  Wind north to northwest at 15 to 25 mph decreasing to 5 to 15 mph and shifting to the west late.

.Friday…  Partly cloudy.  High 30 to 35.  Wind southwest at 15 to 20 mph.

.Friday night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Saturday…  Partly cloudy.  High 43 to 48.

.Saturday night…  Becoming mostly cloudy.  Freezing drizzle possible late.  Low 25 to 30.

.Sunday…  Light snow possible.  Freezing drizzle possible early.  Mostly cloudy.  High 30 to 35 early with temperatures falling into the 20s.

.Sunday night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 15 to 20.

.Monday…  Mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  High 27 to 32.

Normal temperatures for Friday

High:  28
Low:  10

Sunrise Friday:  6:55 AM CST
Sunset Friday:   5:49 PM CST

Tim

February 24, 2016 Weather Report – Around 40 tornado reports since Tuesday as a powerful storm hits the Southern-Eastern U.S.

/Issued 4:24 PM CST, Wednesday, February 24, 2016/

Late afternoon water vapor satellite image – A powerful storm lifts northeast out of Western Ohio tonight.  Severe weather/flooding east of the low, snow on the backside of the low with blizzard conditions in parts of Northwest Indiana.  Source, http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

Severe thunderstorm outbreak continues today.  Here’s a map of severe thunderstorm, tornado and special marine warnings that have been issued thru 4 PM today.  Source, http://www.nws.noaa.gov/regsci/gis/today.html

Tuesday’s map of severe thunderstorm, tornado and special marine warnings.

Tonight’s low temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Thursday’s high temperature forecast.  Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.

Forecast map for Saturday.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.  It will feel like spring across Minnesota and Wisconsin on Saturday.  Widespread 40 and 50 degree temperatures with 60s even possible over Southern Minnesota.

Sunday features a weather change as cooler temperatures and possibly some snow or mixed precipitation moves into the Northland.  Source, Weather Prediction Center.

Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date:  February 24, 2016

Scattered snow showers and flurries continued today mainly near Lake Superior.  Mostly cloudy skies in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with a mix of clouds and sun over Western parts of the area.  Highs today ranged from the mid to upper 20s in Northern Minnesota to the low and mid 30s in East Central Minnesota, Northwest Wisconsin and near Lake Superior.  Winds today were out of the north or northeast at 10 to 20 mph.  Surface map late this afternoon featured a strong area of low pressure averaging 988mb over Western Ohio with high pressure of 1030mb over Eastern Alberta Province.

Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (February 24)

Low pressure lifts northeast toward Southeast Canada while high pressure builds southeast into the Northern Plains.  Mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies will be found in our area tonight with snow showers and flurries especially along the South Shore of Lake Superior in Northwest Wisconsin.  Lows will be in the teens and 20s with north winds at 10 to 20 mph.

Thursday and Thursday night (February 25)

Ridge of high pressure moves into the Upper Midwest.  Partly to mostly sunny skies tomorrow with lingering lake effect snow showers and flurries along the South Shore of Lake Superior in Northwest Wisconsin.  Highs on Thursday will be in the 20s with a few spots reaching the lower 30s in Eastern Minnesota and in far Northwest Wisconsin.  Partly cloudy skies are expected tomorrow night with lows in the teens and 20s.  North or northwest winds on Thursday at 10 to 20 mph gradually shifting to the west or southwest Thursday night.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

Friday through Sunday (February 26-28)

A warm front moves east through the Northland on Friday with low pressure centered well to our north for Friday and Saturday — Will be in the warm sector on Saturday with unseasonably mild temperatures expected along with gusty westerly winds.

High temperatures on Friday will be in the 30s with 40s possible near the Brainerd Lakes, lows Friday night will be in the 20s and 30s.

Highs on Saturday will be in the 30s and 40s with 50s even possible in parts of East Central Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin.  Note:  60 degree temperatures are a good bet across Southern Minnesota on Saturday.  Lows Saturday night will be in the 20s and 30s.

Changes take place on Sunday as low pressure moves east out of the Western High Plains while a cold front drops south through the Upper Midwest — This system could bring some accumulating snow and possibly some mixed precipitation to Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin on Sunday although it doesn’t look like snow or ice totals would be that significant but still enough to possibly cause some travel issues late in the weekend.  Highs on Sunday will be in the 20s and 30s early in the day with falling temperatures.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  Medium.

(February 29-March 4)

A chance for light snow continues on Monday (29th) Mainly dry then from March 1-4 the way it looks now.  Up and down temperatures next week; Below average temperatures most likely on February 29-March 1 with near or above average temperatures from March 2-4.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  A few flurries possible otherwise mostly cloudy.  Low 17 to 22.  Wind north at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday…  Partly to mostly sunny.  High 27 to 32.  Wind north to northwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 12 to 17.  Wind becoming west at 5 to 15 mph.

.Friday…  Partly cloudy.  High 30 to 35.

.Friday night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 25 to 30.

.Saturday…  Partly cloudy.  High 43 to 48.

.Saturday night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 30 to 35.

.Sunday…  Light snow or mixed precipitation possible.  High 30 to 35 with falling temperatures.

Normal temperatures for Thursday

High:  27
Low:  10

Sunrise Thursday:  6:57 AM CST
Sunset Thursday:   5:48 PM CST

Tim