/Issued 4:56 PM CDT, Monday, August 14, 2017/
Dry Tuesday but rain returns Wednesday and it could be heavy at times!
Watch the clearing trend this afternoon in northeast Minnesota in this visible satellite loop which goes from around 8 AM to just before 5 PM today, August 14, 2017 (Updates every 5 minutes)
Note: Totals listed below are from 7 AM Sunday, ending around 3 PM Monday
Minong, WI: 1.22 in
Brainerd, MN: 0.97 in
Gordon, WI: 0.78 in
Solon Springs, WI: 0.75 in
Siren, WI: 0.35 in
Hayward, WI: 0.31 in
Duluth, MN (Airport) 0.29 in
Hinckley, MN: 0.28 in
Moose Lake, MN: 0.23 in
Grand Rapids, MN: 0.23 in
Barnes, WI: 0.22 in
Floodwood, MN: 0.22 in
Babbitt, MN: 0.22 in
Saginaw, MN: 0.18 in
Phillips, WI: 0.17 in
Ashland, WI: 0.15 in
Washburn, WI: 0.13 in
Grand Portage, MN: 0.13 in
Clam Lake, WI: 0.10 in
Glidden, WI: 0.10 in
Grand Marais, MN: 0.10 in
Ely, MN: 0.05 in
Note: The longest dry streak so far this summer at Duluth, Minnesota has been 4 days which occurred from July 28-31 (No rainfall during that period) Second longest dry streak was 3 days in a row which occurred two times in July; The first from the 2nd-4th; The second from the 14th-16th. Otherwise the pattern since June 1st has been for 1 or 2 dry days, followed by rain. Not seeing much of a change in the pattern we’ve been in this summer anytime soon.
Note: So far this year — 6 one inch or greater precipitation events at Duluth, Minnesota. The annual average is 6. So we’ve already hit the average mark and we’re only in mid August. By the way, 2016 had 7 one inch or greater precipitation events. Note: The record number of one inch or greater precipitation events in a year is 13 which was set in 1991.
Still seeing some spotty rain showers in parts of the area late this afternoon but the overall trend has been for less rain and more sun this afternoon. The latest rain system to affect us continues to pull off to the east with a weak area of low pressure near Green Bay, Wisconsin at 3 PM today. To the northwest was a small but potent disturbance which is dropping S-SE out of southern Ontario Province, this feature coupled with cold temps aloft and some instability has led to the development of a few showers in extreme northeast Minnesota today, there’s also been a few showers west of Highway 53 and east of Highway 169 in northeast and east central Minnesota.
As of 4 PM skies were mostly cloudy in northwest Wisconsin while partly to mostly sunny skies were found in northern Minnesota. High temperatures today ranged from the mid to upper 70s in northern Minnesota to the 60s in northwest Wisconsin and around the head of Lake Superior — Low 70s were common from the Brainerd Lakes to Iron Range and along the North Shore of Lake Superior.
Spotty showers this evening will give way to clear to partly cloudy skies tonight with patchy fog possible. Lows will range from the middle 40s to upper 50s. Tuesday looks pretty nice, and it will be dry. Highs in the 70s with 60s closer to Lake Superior. Could be some fog around the area mainly in the morning.
Unfortunately the dry weather won’t stick around past Tuesday as another well developed summer storm takes aim at the Northland for midweek — Low pressure is forecast to be near the Nebraska-Kansas state line Wednesday morning, the surface low is then forecast to lift northeast toward north central Wisconsin by Thursday morning (Possibly taking on a bit of a negative tilt as it moves into Wisconsin) Impressive jet dynamics with this system with ~100 knot upper level winds to our north and another intensifying jet streak ~60 knots developing over the upper Midwest on Wednesday. Should have a tremendous amount of lift in the atmosphere which will result in a widespread rain event for the Northland. Note: PWATS of 1.50″ to around 2.00″ will be in place so the possibility does exist for heavy downpours and some flooding in some parts of the area Wednesday and Wednesday night. Note: At the moment the zone of heaviest rainfall looks to setup over east central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, including the Twin Ports area…Rainfall totals of 1-2″ or more are possible where this zone of heaviest rainfall sets up.
As for the timing of when the rain begins — Looks like between 9-11 AM Wednesday for here in Duluth, earlier farther southwest, and a little later farther north. Timing could change though since we’re still a day away from this event. There could also be a few showers around in parts of the area later Tuesday night but the bulk of the rain looks to arrive during the day Wednesday.
Thursday doesn’t look much better with rain continuing in parts of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin although the rain should diminish from NW-SE by the afternoon the way it looks now.
Very cool high temperatures for both Wednesday and Thursday with daytime highs only in the 50s and 60s thanks to the clouds and rain. Note: Possibly a top 5 coldest HIGH temperature on record Wednesday and or Thursday in Duluth and possibly International Falls.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight… Partly cloudy. Areas of low clouds or fog possible late. Low 50 to 55. Wind east at 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable.
.Tuesday… Low clouds or fog possible early. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 67 to 72. Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.
.Wednesday… Breezy. Rain developing in the morning. Rain for the afternoon. High around 60. Wind east at 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.
Normal temperatures for Tuesday
Sunrise Tuesday: 6:07 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday: 8:18 PM CDT