/Issued 5:27 PM CST, Friday, January 5, 2018/
Forecast surface map for Wednesday, January 10, 2018.
18z RGEM from 1.05.2018
Outside of Alaska, portions of the northwest Territories and southwest U.S., temperatures so far this month have been running below to well below average!
Note: This should be the last wind chill headline for the Northland for a few days at least!
Here are the past 7 GEFS model runs and their total precipitation forecast through early Thursday afternoon, January 11, 2018 — Monitoring model trends for the system for the middle of next week as it could bring some accumulating snow, rain or mixed precipitation to portions of the upper Midwest including here in the Northland. The latest GEFS model run (12z) from January 5 showed about 0.30-0.40 inches of precipitation for the middle of next week which could fluff up to around 3-5 inches of snow depending on snowfall ratios, and also assuming that the precipitation will be all snow which it might not be. Stay tuned.
Low temperature reports from Friday morning, January 5, 2018
Crane Lake, MN: -35 F
International Falls, MN: -33 F
Bigfork, MN: -31 F
Ely, MN: -29 F
Orr, MN: -29 F
Walker, MN: -29 F
Brainerd, MN: -27 F
Longville, MN: -27 F
Eveleth, MN: -26 F
Pine River, MN: -26 F
Aikin, MN: -26 F
Hibbing, MN: -25 F
Siren, WI: -25 F
Grand Rapids, MN: -24 F
McGregor, MN: -20 F
Superior Airport: -20 F
Duluth Airport: -18 F
Solon Springs, WI: -17 F
Duluth Harbor: -8 F
January 1-4, 2018 Average Temperature/Departure from Normal
Note: These are some incredible averages and departures from normal so far this month!
International Falls, Minnesota
Average Temperature: -11.0 degrees
Departure: -15.8 degrees
Average Temperature: -8.9 degrees
Departure: -16.0 degrees
Average Temperature: -6.6 degrees
Departure: -18.0 degrees
Average Temperature: -5.5 degrees
Departure: -16.2 degrees
Average Temperature: 1.4 degrees
Departure: -12.6 degrees
*4th coldest low temperature on record at International Falls, Minnesota for January 4. Low temperature -34 degrees. The record low temperature for January 4 is -39 degrees set in 1981.
It’s been one hell of a cold stretch but we’re breaking out of this arctic pattern, but it will take another day to do so. Still frigid today but once again we had a lot of sunshine which is quite typical in a very dry/arctic airmass. Highs today ranged from around 10 below to the single digits above zero. Surface map late this afternoon had a 1038mb high over the upper Midwest.
Tonight: This should be our last bitterly cold night until late next week. Lows will be in the teens, 20s and 30s below zero with a few spots possibly dipping into the -40s again. Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected.
Saturday and Saturday night: Warm air advection pattern begins as high pressure shifts off to the southeast. Clouds will gradually increase with some light snow developing over parts of the Northland by late afternoon or during the night. Not expecting much in the way of snow accumulation with perhaps half an inch to one inch of new snow Saturday night. The exception to this might be along the North Shore of Lake Superior, up by Little Marais, Grand Marais and Grand Portage where some lake effect snow could occur Saturday night, and this could produce about 1-3 inches of snow. Temperatures will be in the single digits and teens above zero.
Sunday: Patchy light freezing drizzle or snow showers are possible, otherwise milder temperatures take hold with highs in the teens and 20s.
Note: Mild temperatures are forecast to continue Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week with daytime highs in the 20s and 30s, with Wednesday looking like the mildest day right now with highs possibly climbing well into the 30s! Will cool off late next week/next weekend, but another stretch of mild temperatures continues to show up per long range model data for mid January (15th-21st) Timing could shift just a bit.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
Event: *Wind Chill Advisory for Duluth*
Timing: Until 10 AM CST Saturday
.Tonight… Bitterly cold. Mostly clear. Low 15 below to 20 below. Wind north to northwest at 10 to 15 mph becoming light and variable overnight. Wind chills 15 below to 40 below.
.Saturday… Mostly sunny with increasing cloudiness later in the day. High 5 to 10 above. Wind south at 10 to 15 mph.
.Saturday night… Light snow possible at times. Snowfall accumulations less than one inch. Mostly cloudy. Low 5 to 10 above with steady or slowly rising temperatures. Wind south to southwest at 10 to 15 mph.
Normal temperatures for Saturday
Sunrise Saturday: 7:53 AM CST
Sunset Saturday: 4:36 PM CST