/Issued 4:44 PM CST, Saturday, February 10, 2018/
12z European model from February 10, 2018
One of the bigger weather stories around here is the amount of Lake Superior that is covered by ice, as of today (February 10) ~70% ice coverage on the big lake, will it continue to increase the next few weeks? Stay tuned!
12z GEFS model from February 10, 2018
The map below is the Precipitation Anomaly Forecast from February 10, 2018 through February 26, 2018.
Green colors=Above Average Precipitation
Yellow/Brown colors=Below Average Precipitation
White areas=Near Normal Precipitation
The pattern looking out the next 2 weeks changes little with the most active/wettest areas compared to normal impacting parts of the southern Plains northeast to the Ohio Valley, southern Great Lakes and parts of the northeast U.S. Here in the upper Midwest, precipitation totals through February 26 are expected to be near to slightly below normal.
•13 nights in a row with a below zero temperature at Duluth, Minnesota (January 29 – February 10) Longest streak so far this winter is 14 nights in a row (December 24 – January 6)
•So far this winter — 9 days with one inch or greater snowfall at Duluth, Minnesota (Average is 14)
•So far this winter — 29 days with snowfall of at least 0.1 inch at Duluth, Minnesota (Average is 39) ~50% of our snowfalls this winter have been less than an inch; ~23% of our snowfalls this winter have been an inch or more.
Another day with below average temperatures with highs today in the low to mid teens, this is roughly 5-8 degrees colder than average for February 10. The one good thing lately is all the sun we’ve been seeing, and now that we’re into February, that sun is getting stronger, so it doesn’t feel too cold at least during the day when that sun is out.
Tonight: Nothing but high pressure stretching from the northern Rockies to the upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Clear to partly cloudy skies are forecast over the Northland tonight with a trend toward cloudier skies at times especially in northern Minnesota and over portions of northwest Wisconsin. Lows will be in the single digits below to single digits above zero but teens below are possible where skies are clear the longest.
Sunday: An area of low pressure will pass north of our area while a cold front drops southeast through the Northland. Partly to mostly cloudy skies for Sunday with a few light snow showers or flurries possible mainly in northern Minnesota. Highs will be in the teens with lows Sunday night ranging from the teens below to single digits above zero.
Note: Little if any snow in our area at least through Wednesday (14th) Could get a light dusting of snow next Thursday morning as a reinforcing shot of cold air settles into the Northland, but even looking further out through next weekend (February 17-18) I’m not seeing a strong signal per model guidance for any large snow events that would impact our area.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight… Mostly clear followed by partly to mostly cloudy skies later on. Low 2 below to 7 below. Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Sunday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 12 to 17. Wind west to southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Monday… Mostly sunny. High 7 to 12. Wind west at 10 to 20 mph.
Normal temperatures for Sunday
Sunrise Sunday: 7:19 AM CST
Sunset Sunday: 5:27 PM CST