/Issued 6:12 PM CST, Friday, March 2, 2018/
12z Euro Ensemble model from 3.2.2018 valid for Monday, March 5, 2018.
Goes-16 water vapor satellite image and 500mb analysis for Friday, March 2, 2018.
18z NAM from 3.2.2018.
Departure from normal temperature for winter 2017-2018 (Dec 1 – Feb 28)
Departure from normal precipitation for winter 2017-2018 (Dec 1 – Feb 28)
Meteorological winter 2017-2018 Climate Stats for select cities
Note: Met winter is the period from December 1 through February 28
Average temperature: 10.6 degrees
Normal: 13.3 degrees
Departure: -2.7 degrees below normal
Total precipitation: 3.19 inches
Normal: 2.98 inches
Departure: +0.21 inches above normal
Total snowfall: 46.7 inches
Normal: 49.5 inches
Departure: -2.8 inches below normal
38 days with snowfall of at least 0.1 inch; Normal is 36 days
16 days with snowfall of at least 1.0 inch; Normal is 14 days
38 days with a subzero low temperature; Normal is 34 days
International Falls, Minnesota
Average temperature: 4.9 degrees
Departure: -3.2 degrees below normal
Total precipitation: 2.85 inches
Departure: +0.85 inches above normal
Total snowfall: 40.6 inches
Departure: -0.2 inches below normal
Average temperature: 6.0 degrees
Departure: -3.9 degrees below normal
Average temperature: 8.9 degrees
Departure: -3.0 degrees below normal
Total precipitation: 2.36 inches
Departure: +0.11 inches above normal
Meteorological winter ended up 1 to 3 degrees cooler than normal in Minnesota.
A wetter than normal winter in north central, northeast and south central counties in Minnesota but drier than normal in several western and central counties of the state.
Snowfall totals this winter ranged from 89 inches at Isabella, Minnesota to just 15.3 inches at Wheaton, Minnesota.
Sunshine was common for most of the day but clouds have been increasing from west to east this afternoon, there’s also been some lake effect clouds over Lake Superior that have been pushing toward the west/southwest this afternoon as east winds increase over the lake. Highs today remained above average for early March with temperatures in the lower 30s to middle 40s with the coolest temps found near Lake Superior.
Partly to mostly cloudy skies for tonight and Saturday with high pressure now off to our east resulting in southerly winds and some warm air advection across the upper Midwest. Lows tonight will be in the teens and 20s with single digits possible in the typical cold spots. Highs Saturday will be in the 30s and 40s.
Focus will then turn to the Saturday night through Tuesday time frame as a slow moving storm system heads east out of the Rockies — This system could begin to impact the Northland as early as Saturday night as some light snow or mixed precipitation develops, this will continue on Sunday, then heavier precipitation could move into our area Sunday night through Monday night. Temperatures aloft and near the surface will be warm enough Sunday for a mix of precipitation types, then will see temperatures aloft turn colder for Monday so the precipitation type should mainly be in the form of snow the way it looks now given the forecast highs for Monday. There is a chance for some freezing rain in parts of the Northland on Sunday with some ice accretion possible. This storm will also produce strong gusty northeast winds near Lake Superior especially from Sunday PM through Tuesday AM, wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph (possibly stronger) are expected early next week. Stay tuned for more updates through the weekend on this potential storm.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 20 to 25. Wind east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Saturday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 33 to 38. Wind east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Sunday… Mostly cloudy. Light freezing rain or snow possible at times. High 30 to 33. Wind east at 15 to 25 mph.
Normal temperatures for Saturday
Sunrise Saturday: 6:45 AM CST
Sunset Saturday: 5:57 PM CST