/Issued 4:39 PM CDT, Thursday, June 7, 2018
18z GFS model for Friday afternoon
Radar loop through 5:25 PM CDT, Thursday, June 7, 2018 — Scattered showers affecting western and southern portions of Minnesota late this afternoon with movement to the north/east. A few of these showers could make their way into southern portions of the Northland by mid or late evening.
U.S. Climate Summary for May 2018
•Average Temperature: 65.4 degrees; 5.2 degrees above the 20th century average. This surpassed the previous May record of 64.7 degrees set in 1934.
•42 states had monthly temperatures that were much above average for May, with eight of those states — Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio, Oklahoma and Virginia being record warm.
•There were more than 8,590 daily warm temperature records set or tied during May. This was 18 times more than the approximately 460 daily cold temperature records during the month.
•2.97 inches of total precipitation in the U.S. during May, 0.06 inches above average
Near to slightly above average high temps in our area today with temperatures this afternoon ranging from the mid 60s to low 70s with slightly cooler temperatures near Lake Superior, but the lake breeze today wasn’t very strong so temperatures were only a couple degrees cooler by the lake compared to inland locations. Plenty of high level clouds streaming through the Northland today with filtered sun through these cirrus clouds.
Through Sunday: Two fronts, one to our north, and another one to our south, the northern front is forecast to wash out by Saturday, while the front to our south wobbles a bit from north to south through Sunday, but this boundary will remain well south of the Northland through the weekend. High pressure will be centered near Hudson Bay Canada, south to the eastern Great Lakes for the next few days.
A few showers can’t be ruled out late tonight, Friday and Saturday, but the computer models have been struggling quite a bit as of late with just how much rain we would get for Friday and Saturday. I don’t think will have any washouts through Saturday, but still can’t completely rule out some passing showers from time to time, otherwise partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue through the weekend.
Note: The trend seen in the Euro model (12z run from Thursday) is for much less rain on Friday, basically going the direction as the NAM and GFS models which have shown little or no rain for Friday in our area for a few days now. So what do we have here? One of those times where the Euro caves to the GFS and NAM models? What is happening???
East wind keeps it cooler by the lake through Sunday, highs in the 50s to lower 60s, while inland locations make it into the 70s to near 80 degrees Friday, with 60s and 70s expected for Saturday and Sunday.
Forecast for Duluth and Superior
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 46 to 51. Wind east at 10 to 15 mph.
.Friday… Partly to mostly cloudy. A few showers possible. High 67 to 72 but cooler near Lake Superior. Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.
.Saturday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 60 to 65 but cooler near Lake Superior. Wind east at 10 to 20 mph.
Normal Temperatures for June 8
Sunrise Friday: 5:15 AM CDT
Sunset Friday: 9:01 PM CDT