The snow showers in northeast Minnesota are moving toward the SE and is likely feeding the heavier snow which continues to impact parts of northwest Wisconsin this evening. There is a heavy band of snow set up over parts of northern Douglas into northern Bayfield County as of 6:25 PM.
Snowfall through late tonight
Quite a potent setup for heavy lake effect snow for N-NW wind favored areas tonight with strong instability over Lake Superior, CAPE to around 100 j/kg. 850mb temps down to around -14C, lake water temps of around +4C.
21z HRRR model 11-9-2018
Still looks like will have some sun across the Northland Saturday morning, but more clouds will be arriving Saturday afternoon.
Goes-16 water vapor satellite loop from Friday, November 9, 2018.
Winter storm impacting parts of the Great Lakes today thanks to a strong upper level trough and area of low pressure which is passing through the Great Lakes today.
Goes-16 color-fire satellite loop of the Woolsey Fire in California from Friday, November 9, 2018. Very scary situation continues in California today with multiple fires burning across the state.
18z NAM-Nest model
Approximate times for when the snow will begin to fall Saturday night — See maps below.
Note: For Duluth, looks like the snow will begin to fall between 7-9 PM Saturday night.
12z Euro Ensemble model (EPS) 11-9-2018
Quite a pattern change continuing to show up in the long range per European model guidance. Starts very cold, but a period of warmer temps (thaw) is possible beginning next weekend, possibly continuing through most of Thanksgiving week (~Nov 17-23) Should be noted that the GEFS model remains quite a bit colder compared to the Euro model for mid to late month. Stay tuned.
12z Euro Ensemble model (EPS) 11-9-2018
Climate Data for November 8, 2018
2nd lowest maximum temperature on record for November 8 with a high on Thursday of 22 degrees. The record cold high for November 8 is 21 degrees set in 1933, tied in 2003.
Tied for 2nd lowest maximum temperature on record for November 8 with a high on Thursday of 20 degrees. The record cold high for November 8 is 19 degrees set in 1973.
3rd lowest maximum temperature on record for November 8 with a high on Thursday of 28 degrees. The record cold high for November 8 is 25 degrees set in 2003.
Tied for 4th lowest maximum temperature on record for November 8 with a high on Thursday of 24 degrees. The record cold high for November 8 is 18 degrees set in 1973.
Preliminary Snowfall reports for November 9, 2018
Note: Totals listed below are through late Friday afternoon.
1 NNW of Grand Portage, MN: 13.5 inch
Gile, WI: 9.6 inch
1 SE Gile, WI: 7.5 inch
21 N Grand Marais, MN: 7.4 inch
3.5 SSW of Cornucopia, WI: 6.5 inch
3 ENE Sand Bay, WI: 4.8 inch
1 NW Mellen, WI: 4.4 inch
1 NNW Hurley, WI: 4.0 inch
Gile, WI: 3.3 inch
5 WSW Solon Springs, WI: 3.0 inch
5 SSE South Range, WI: 2.5 inch
3 E Payne, MN: 2.0 inch
Duluth Airport: 1.9 inch
7 ESE Superior, WI: 1.8 inch
Weather Synopsis for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
Snow, heavy at times will continue tonight along the South Shore of Lake Superior in northwest Wisconsin but the snow will diminish from W-E later tonight, except in parts of Ashland and Iron County where some snow should continue through most of the night.
Greatest impacts from this winter storm are occurring now (6 PM) and will continue through later this evening, expect intense snowfall rates of 1 to nearly 3 inches per hour this evening with gusty N-NW winds to 30 mph causing whiteout conditions along portions of the South Shore of Lake Superior.
In northeast Minnesota, scattered snow showers will persist this evening but should come to an end during the night, additional snowfall accumulations are expected to be less than an inch.
Partly to mostly cloudy skies tonight with very cold temperatures as lows dip into the single digits below to teens above zero. It will also be windy especially this evening with NW winds gusting 20-30 mph. Areas of blowing snow will be found over parts of the area tonight.
Saturday will start with some sun, but clouds increase from W-E during the afternoon which will lead to some snow Saturday night. Early estimates are for a coating to around 2 inches of new snow over most of the Northland Saturday night. This snow will be caused by a clipper system which approaches from the W-NW.
Highs on Saturday mainly in the 20s.
Duluth, Minnesota Climate Normals for November 10
Sunrise Saturday: 7:04 AM CST
Sunset Saturday: 4:40 PM CST