22z HRRR model 11-12-2018
Note: Probably won’t be setting any record lows in the Northland Tuesday morning — See list below.
International Falls: -12 degrees set in 1986, tied in 1995
Hibbing: -12 degrees set in 1986, tied in 1995
Duluth: -7 degrees set in 1986
Brainerd: -6 degrees set in 1986
Ashland: -5 degrees set in 1986
18z NAM model 11-12-2018
Milder, Pacific air floods into the upper Midwest for Wednesday and Thursday, in other words the cold air will get kicked out of our area, but don’t worry cold weather fans, the cold air returns by this weekend.
18z NAM model 11-12-2018
12z Euro Ensemble model (EPS) 11-12-2018
Temperatures are trending cooler for next week per EPS model, yes the Euro model is caving to the GEFS model which has been the cooler solution all along for Thanksgiving week.
Note: This is still about a week away, though, so we could see things trend the other direction, in this case warmer, stay tuned.
12z GEFS model 11-12-2018
Climate Stats for November 11, 2018
Tied for the 4th lowest maximum temperature on record for November 11 with a high on Sunday of 27 degrees. The coldest high temp on record for November 11 is 20 degrees set in 1950.
Tied for the 5th lowest maximum temperature on record for November 11 with a high on Sunday of 21 degrees. The coldest high temp on record for November 11 is 15 degrees set in 1986.
5th snowiest November 11 on record with 1.6 inches of snow on Sunday. The snowiest November 11 on record is 3.7 inches set in 1975.
Weather Synopsis for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
A frigid airmass covered the Northland today. Late day 850mb temperatures ranged from -18 to -20C, very impressive for November! Highs today were mainly in the teens to around 20 degrees with a gusty west or northwest wind to around 25 mph. Mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies were common today with a few snow flurries.
How cold will it get tonight? With temperatures already in the low to mid teens over much of the Northland as of 5 PM, temps won’t have to drop much to hit zero, if not lower! If clouds can clear out enough, then some of us will have lows of zero to possibly as cold as 10 below by dawn, but if clouds stick around, then lows will likely be in the zero to 10 above range. Note: Temperatures will be a little warmer closer to Lake Superior.
Flurries and a few snow showers will linger tonight especially along the South Shore of Lake Superior, and near the larger inland lakes.
Partly to mostly cloudy skies and still very cold for Tuesday with highs in the upper teens to middle 20s.
We finally warm up on Wednesday with afternoon temperatures rising into the 30s with a few 40s possible across western portions of the area. Typically when it warms up at this time of year will have to deal with a gusty wind, and that will be a factor on Wednesday as a SW low level jet increases to around 30 to 50 knots with winds gusts near the surface of 20 to around 30 mph.
Mild temps continue on Thursday with highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Cold air comes rushing back in this weekend, but before that occurs, there could be a snow event which impacts parts of the upper Midwest, possibly including parts of the Northland sometime in the Thursday night-Saturday morning time frame.
Duluth, Minnesota Climate Normals for November 13
Sunrise Tuesday: 7:09 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday: 4:37 PM CST