Source: https://weathermodels.com
18z NAM-WRF model 3-26-19
Source: https://weathermodels.com
18z NAM-WRF model 3-26-19
Radar forecast valid from 5 AM Wednesday to 7 PM Wednesday.
The combination of a warm front lifting northeast into our area, warm and moist advection, elevated CAPE of 100-400 J/kg and mid level lapse rates of 7.0 to around 8.0 c/km could be enough to generate a few showers and maybe even a thunderstorm in parts of our area during the day Wednesday, widespread heavy rain is not expected but isolated brief downpours could occur in a few spots.
Source: https://weather.cod.edu
Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Tuesday, March 26, 2019.
Quite a bit of sunshine across the Northland today, but clouds are increasing from west to east late this Tuesday afternoon.
Temperatures were on the mild side across the area today with highs generally in the low to mid 40s which is slightly above normal for late March.
Note: Today, March 26 marks the 15th day in a row with a high temperature of at least 32 degrees at Duluth, Minnesota. 7/15 days have had a high temp of at least 40 degrees, and 2/15 days have had a high temp of at least 50 degrees.
Source: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Warm air and moisture advection will be occurring in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin through Wednesday with 850mb temperatures of -1 to -3C at 5 PM Tuesday, climbing to around +5 to +10C by Wednesday afternoon while low level moisture increases with precipitable water increasing to around 0.50-0.75 inches during the day Wednesday. All this occurs in response to a 30-50 knot southwest low level jet which will be over parts of the Northland on Wednesday.
Source: https://www.spc.noaa.gov
Source: https://weather.cod.edu
21z RAP model 3-26-19
We’re looking at another mild day across the Northland Wednesday with highs ranging from the lower 50s to around 60 degrees with the best chance at 60 degree temperatures occurring in southern portions of the area (Generally from the Brainerd Lakes, Moose Lake to Hayward Lakes area)
Note: Cooler temperatures arrive late this week and should continue into this weekend, and there could be a few snow or rain showers at times Friday night-Saturday morning, and possibly again on Sunday but this doesn’t look like a big deal at the moment.
Duluth, Minnesota climate normals for March 27
High: 39
Low: 22
Sunrise Wednesday: 6:58 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday: 7:31 PM CDT
Tim