Goes-16 Day Cloud Phase satellite loop from Saturday, June 8, 2019.
Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms have been erupting this afternoon in parts of northwest Minnesota and eastern Dakotas, this is all associated with a cold front which will move through the Northland on Sunday. Instability weakens considerably after this evening which means no strong or severe storms in our area on Sunday, and the potential for just a general thunderstorm is also quite low on Sunday.
18z NAM-WRF model 6-8-19
Radar forecast valid from 7 PM this Saturday evening to 10 PM Sunday evening.
•The best chance for some showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms tonight will be in far western areas (I-Falls to Brainerd Lakes) rest of the area should stay dry tonight.
•Scattered rain showers will impact most of the Northland during the day Sunday as they move from west to east across the area. Note: The best chance for showers should hold off til Sunday afternoon in far northeast Minnesota and over most of northwest Wisconsin.
•Although a shower is possible in Duluth prior to Noon Sunday, it does look like the greatest chance for some showers will hold off until Sunday afternoon.
18z HRRR model 6-8-19
Heaviest rain totals with this system will occur in northwest Minnesota tonight while here in our area rainfall totals ranging from around one tenth to one half inch are possible by early Sunday evening with most of that falling during the day Sunday.
12z European ensemble model 6-8-19
21z RAP model 6-9-19
Considering the time of year this is a pretty strong push of cold air advection behind Sunday’s cold front with 850mb temps ranging from around +2 to +6C, this airmass will move over northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin Sunday night with lows in the 30s and 40s for Monday morning.
12z European ensemble model 6-8-19
Temperature anomaly forecast valid through June 23, 2019.
Orange and red colors=Above normal temperatures
Blue, green and purple colors=Below normal temperatures
Although it has been feeling very much like summer the last few days (except near Lake Superior) a cooler weather pattern will be setting toward the middle/end of next week, in fact the overall pattern through the next 2 weeks supports cooler than normal temperatures over much of the upper Midwest, Great Lakes and eastern U.S.
No signs of persistent warmth showing up in long range model guidance through the next 2 weeks, meaning very few days will have daytime highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s in the Northland.
Low temperature forecast for Sunday morning, June 9.
Mild temperatures will continue tonight as lows drop into the 50s to around 60 degrees with cooler temperatures continuing near Lake Superior. Best chance for showers and possibly a few thunderstorms tonight will be over western portions of the area
High temperature forecast for Sunday, June 9.
A cold front will move slowly east across the Northland on Sunday. Temperatures ahead of this front warm quickly into the 70s to lower 80s by Noon from far eastern Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin, while cooler 60s will be found behind the front. Showers will affect northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin Sunday with isolated thunderstorms also possible over parts of northwest Wisconsin. More clouds as well on Sunday compared to what we’ve seen the last few days.
High Temperature Reports from Friday, June 7, 2019
Brainerd, MN: 93 F
International Falls, MN: 92 F
Kabetogama, MN: 92 F
Orr, MN: 90 F
Cook, MN: 90 F
Bigfork, MN: 90 F
Siren, WI: 89 F
25 E Ely, MN: 89 F
Grand Rapids, MN: 88 F
Aitkin, MN: 88 F
Moose Lake, MN: 88 F
McGregor, MN: 88 F
Solon Springs, WI: 88 F
Hibbing, MN: 87 F
Hayward, WI: 87 F
Ely, MN: 86 F
Hinckley, MN: 86 F
…Climate Data for June 7, 2019…
International Falls, Minnesota
•2nd warmest maximum temperature on record for June 7 with a high on Friday of 92 degrees. The record high temperature for June 7 is 95 degrees set in 1988.
•3rd warmest maximum temperature on record for June 7 with a high on Friday of 93 degrees. The record high for June 7 is 98 degrees set in 2011.
Note: High temperature of 92 degrees on June 7, 2019 at International Falls was the first 90 degree or warmer temperature since July 26, 2015.
Forecast for Duluth
.Tonight… Clear to partly cloudy. Low 53 to 58 but cooler near Lake Superior. Wind southeast 5 to 15 mph.
.Sunday… Some sun possible in the morning otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered showers especially in the afternoon. High 70 to 75 with falling temperatures later in the day. Wind south 10 to 20 mph becoming northwest.
.Monday… Partly to mostly sunny. High 67 to 72. Wind west 10 to 20 mph.
Normal temperatures for June 9
June 9 Sunrise: 5:15 AM CDT
June 9 Sunset: 9:01 PM CDT