Few showers west/south of Duluth Thu PM-Fri; Rain chances increase Saturday; east wind continues through Saturday

/Issued 5:39 PM CDT, Wednesday, June 19, 2019/

…How much rain has fallen over the last few days, actually not very much at the major climate reporting stations across the Northland…  See stats below.

Rainfall totals from June 14-18, 2019

Brainerd:  0.58 inches
International Falls:  0.34 inches
Hibbing:  0.31 inches
Ashland:  0.24 inches
Duluth:  0.24 inches

Source:  https://graphical.weather.gov

Low temperature forecast for Thursday morning, June 20.

Another comfortably cool night with overnight lows ranging from the lower 40s to lower 50s.  Spotty showers across northern Minnesota late this afternoon will end by sunset.

Source:  https://graphical.weather.gov

High temperature forecast for Thursday, June 20.

Seasonable temperatures continue Thursday with highs in the 70s, but cooler temps will be found near Lake Superior as easterly winds continue for yet another day.

Source:  https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

•A few showers are possible late Thursday and again Friday, mostly in western-southern portions of the Northland (south of Duluth)

•Rain chances increase Saturday as a cold front moves east out of the Northern Plains.  At this time it doesn’t look like there would be any thunderstorms or severe weather in our area during the day Saturday.

Grandma’s Marathon weather for Saturday, June 22, 2019

•Temperatures Saturday morning in the mid 40s to low 50s from Two Harbors to Duluth with east winds 10 to 20 mph.  Isolated showers are possible before Noon Saturday, better chances for some rain Saturday afternoon.

Source:  https://www.pivotalweather.com/

Greatest rainfall totals through Saturday are forecast to be across western and southern areas of Minnesota, west through parts of the Dakotas.  Lesser amounts of rain are forecast through Saturday here in the Northland, with the best chance for some rain in our area looking to come during the day Saturday the way it looks now.

Source:  https://weather.cod.edu

Goes-16 satellite loop from Wednesday afternoon, June 19, 2019.

The power of Lake Superior! Check out the lack of clouds this afternoon near Lake Superior while roughly 70 miles inland skies are cloudier this afternoon.  Thank the dry, stable northeast wind coming off Lake Superior giving us lots of sunshine if you live or are near the big lake today!

Source:  https://weather.cod.edu

For those wanting some heat and humidity (real summer weather) then the GFS model run from Wednesday morning, June 19 is the solution you want to see verify for next weekend (June 28-30)

Source:  https://www.ecmwf.int/

The European model solution from Wednesday morning, June 19 is similar to the GFS solution for next weekend, but there is one big difference in the two models, and it’s the location of the trough in eastern Canada.  A more amplified (farther west trough position) in the Euro model would keep it cool near Lake Superior (east wind) next weekend, while the GFS model shows that same trough farther east, which means heat, humidity and southerly winds near Lake Superior for next weekend.  Stay tuned.

Forecast for Duluth

.Tonight…  Clear to partly cloudy.  Low 44 to 49.  Wind east 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Breezy.  High 66 to 71 but cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east 10 to 20 mph.

.Friday…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  High 63 to 68, cooler near Lake Superior.  Wind east 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for June 20

High:   72
Low:    51

June 20 Sunrise:  5:14 AM CDT
June 20 Sunset:   9:06 PM CDT

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