Issued at 2:36 PM CDT, Monday, March 15th, 2010
Weather History:
On this date in 1995… A record high temperature of 57 degrees occurred at Duluth, Minnesota. Note: Un-official high temperature of 59 degrees at 2 PM Today, if this happened then a new record high temperature occurred at Duluth Today!
…All headlines issued by the National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota…
*SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY*
A Small Stream Flood Advisory has been issued at 2 PM CDT Tuesday due to melting snow in the Namadji River Basin…Counties affected: Southeastern Carlton MN…Northeastern Pine MN…And Northwestern Douglas County WI… At Noon CDT Today the Nemadji River was 18.9 feet which is near bankful. The river is expected to slowly rise towards 20 feet through Noon Tuesday.
Rapid snowmelt is causing high flow and elevated river levels on small creeks and streams draining into the Nemadji River…Expect ponding of water on some low lying country roads and farmland along the banks of creeks…streams and mainstream of the Nemadji River. Keep children well away from these swollen drainages as the banks may be unstable. Remember…even a small depth of moving water is very powerful.
…RECORD MARCH WARMTH…
*Through March 14th, 2010…The average monthly temperature at International Falls, Minnesota was 32.3 degrees making it the warmest March to date with the previous warmest occurring in 1973 with an average monthly temperature of 31.6 degrees.
*Through March 14th, 2010…The average monthly temperature at Duluth, Minnesota was 34.2 degrees which is 12.3 degrees above normal! This is the 2nd warmest March on record at Duluth with the warmest occurring in 1878 with an average monthly temperature of 39.1 degrees!
*64 degrees at Minneapolis/St. Paul International Airport on Sunday, March 14th, 2010. This was a new record high temperature for the date, the previous record was 62 degrees which was set in 1990.
*66 degrees at Eau Claire Wisconsin on Sunday, March 14th, 2010. This was a new record high temperature for the date, the previous record was 65 degrees which was set in 1973.
Weather tidbits:
*Today marks the 18th consecutive day with an above normal high temperature and a maximum temperature greater than 32 degrees at Duluth, Minnesota
*6 consecutive days with a minimum temperature greater than 32 degrees at Duluth, Minnesota, thru the 14th
*Sunday and Monday featured back to back 50 degree high temperatures at Duluth, Minnesota. Last time this occurred was on the 12th and 13th of November, 2009
Very warm temperatures occurred across Northern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin on Sunday, March 14th, 2010. Source: NWS Duluth, MN.
Duluth MN: 57 degrees
International Falls MN: 54 degrees
Brainerd MN: 61 degrees
Grand Marais MN: 53 degrees
Hibbing MN: 64 degrees
Sky Harbor MN: 52 degrees
Two Harbors MN: 54 degrees
Ely MN: 61 degrees
Orr MN: 61 degrees
Cook MN: 59 degrees
Eveleth MN: 63 degrees
Grand Rapids MN: 57 degrees
Aitkin MN: 61 degrees
Moose Lake MN: 63 degrees
Hinckley MN: 64 degrees
Cloquet MN: 57 degrees
Hayward WI: 60 degrees
Superior WI: 54 degrees
Siren WI: 62 degrees
Phillips WI: 64 degrees
Embarrass MN: 60 degrees
2 miles South of Tower MN: 61 degrees
Butternut WI: 60 degrees
Winter WI: 59 degrees
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Today’s Weather:
Western parts of our area, generally from Crane Lake to Hibbing to McGregor and points west saw mostly cloudy skies Today with high temperatures generally in the mid 40s to low 50s…Sunshine was more abundant in Northeast/Eastern Minnesota through Northwest Wisconsin which caused high temperatures to soar well into the 50s to low 60s for the second day in a row! 850 mb temperatures as of 3 PM ranged from +2 to +4 degrees C. Note: What’s interesting about this current spell of unseasonably warm temperatures is the fact that the warm air advected in from our northeast/east, temperatures are much cooler throughout the Northern Plains and Western areas of Minnesota Today with mainly 30s occurring in those areas. Winds Today were north, west, or east under 15 mph. Surface map This Afternoon featured high pressure of 1032-1034 mb centered in the Northern Rockies/Western High Plains.
Today’s 500 mb analysis:
Upper level lows were found in Southern New Mexico/West Texas and east of New Jersey This Afternoon per RUC model analysis and water vapor satellite imagery while a shortwave trough drops south/east from Manitoba Province.
Tonight:
Partly to mostly cloudy skies will be found across Northwest Wisconsin with skies mostly cloudy or becoming mostly cloudy in Eastern and Northeast Minnesota while overcast conditions continue farther west. Areas of light rain showers and drizzle will be possible Tonight, mainly in Northern/Eastern Minnesota. Patchy fog could also redevelop Overnight. Lows will be mainly in the 30s to around 40 degrees with winds out of the north, west, or east under 12 mph.
Tuesday and Tuesday Night:
Upper level disturbance and shortwave trough sitting to our northwest This Afternoon will drop south/east through Minnesota on Tuesday, this feature will bring some light rain showers and drizzle to Northern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin on Tuesday with mostly cloudy skies. Rainfall amounts could reach one tenth to one quarter inch by late Tuesday Afternoon in some locales. With more clouds expected on Tuesday, high temperatures will likely stay in the 40s, but some 50s can’t be ruled out in Northwest Wisconsin. Clouds along with the threat for light rain/drizzle will decrease Tuesday Night as the disturbance exits to our southeast while high pressure builds in from the Western High Plains. Lows Tomorrow Night will be in the 20s and 30s. Winds during this period will be out of the north, east, or west under 15 mph.
Extended Forecast:
Warmer temperatures move back into our area for Wednesday and Thursday as west winds develop as high pressure passes south of the Upper Midwest while low pressure and a cold front approach from the west on Thursday. High temperatures for Wednesday and Thursday should reach the 50s, possibly close to 60 degrees in a few locales with 40s possible in Northern Minnesota on Thursday. Low temperatures Wednesday Night and Thursday Night should be mainly in the 30s.
Cold front is expected to exit to our south/east by Friday with cooler temperatures pushing south from Central Canada into the Upper Midwest this weekend. Possibility still exists for some light snow mainly in Southern/Eastern areas from Friday Night through Saturday Night, but nothing significant or widespread is expected at this time. It does appear that an area of low pressure will form across the Southern-Central Plains for Friday and Saturday, there’s been some hints per GFS and other forecast models that this system could become negatively tilted this weekend, however, it looks like it would stay far enough to our southeast for any heavy amounts of snow across our local area.
Another system will be watched for possible impacts on our weather around the middle of next week, or from March 23rd-25th.
5 Day Forecast for Duluth/Superior
.Tonight… Becoming mostly cloudy. Light rain showers or drizzle possible late along with patchy fog. Low 36 to 39. Wind variable around 10 mph.
.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy. Light rain or drizzle… High 45 to 50. Wind north around 12 mph.
.Tuesday Night… Decreasing cloudiness. Low 30 to 35. Wind west to northwest around 12 mph.
.Wednesday… Mostly sunny. High 51 to 56.
.Wednesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 31 to 36.
.Thursday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 50 to 55.
.Thursday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 30 to 35.
.Friday… Mostly cloudy. High 40 to 45.
Normal High Temperature Today 33 degrees
Normal Low Temperature Today 16 degrees
Tim
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