Issued at 4:22 PM CDT, Thursday, June 21st, 2012
Tonight: A few showers/isolated t-storms This Evening
Friday: Mild temperatures, small chance for a shower/t-storm
Saturday: A chance for showers/t-storms. Near normal temperatures
-Here’s a map showing where the heavy rain occurred from Tuesday into Wednesday Morning. Hot and capped airmass over the Southern half of Minnesota resulted in no rain.
*Local Storm Reports for Tuesday and Wednesday, June 19th-20th, 2012*
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
-1:18 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.75″ HAIL. Pine River, MN (Cass County)
-1:36 PM CDT 6/19/12: 1.00″ HAIL. 3 W of Emily, MN (Crow Wing County)
-1:30 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.75″ HAIL. 12 W of Emily, MN (Crow Wing County)
-1:30 PM CDT 6/19/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE. 3 SW of Cross Lake, MN (Crow Wing County) A few large trees down along West Shore Road.
-2:20 PM CDT 6/19/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE. 5 SW of Libby, MN (Aitkin County) Several trees down.
-2:20 PM CDT 6/19/12: 7 N of McGregor, MN (Aitkin County) 12″ diameter trees down.
-3:42 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.75″ HAIL. 5 NE of Duluth, MN (St. Louis County)
-3:39 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.25″ HAIL. Duluth, MN (St. Louis County) Occurred on East Toledo Street near UMD.
-3:41 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.25″ HAIL. Duluth, MN (St. Louis County) Occurred in Lakeside at 52nd avenue east and Ostego Street.
-4:36 PM CDT 6/19/12: 1.00″ HAIL. 4 WNW of Cornucopia, WI (Bayfield County)
-5:43 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.25″ HAIL. Two Harbors, MN (Lake County)
-5:58 PM CDT 6/19/12: 2.00″ HAIL. Silver Bay, MN (Lake County)
-5:59 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.88″ HAIL. Silver Bay, MN (Lake County)
-7:32 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.25″ HAIL. Hermantown, MN (St. Louis County)
-7:49 and 7:52 PM CDT 6/19/12: 0.25″ HAIL. Lakewood Township. (St. Louis County)
-7:59 PM CDT 6/19/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE. Hermantown, MN (St. Louis County) 8-10″ diameter tree uprooted and fallen on power line.
-8:18 PM CDT 6/19/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE. Kettle River, MN (Carlton County) 8″ diameter tree uprooted and 6″ diameter tree snapped 3 feet above the ground.
-10:40 AM CDT 6/20/12: 0.25″ HAIL. Twig, MN (St. Louis County)
-11:14 AM CDT 6/20/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST. 50 mph. Foxboro, WI (Douglas County) Small branches and limbs on roadways.
-6:05 PM CDT 6/20/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE. 2 E of Prentice, WI (Price County) Spotter estimates 50-60 mph winds knocked down 6″ diameter branches.
-5:50 PM CDT 6/20/12: THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE. 2 W of Phillips, WI (Price County) 5″ to 16″ diameter trees blown down.
*Latest information regarding the ongoing flooding in the Northland*
Source: NWS, Duluth News Tribune.
*Sandbagging has begun at Moose Lake and Barnum, Minnesota (Carlton County) The sewage treatment plant has shut down in Moose Lake due to flooding.
*Highway 210 has major damage and the swinging bridge at Jay Cooke State Park has also been damaged due to the record flooding on the St. Louis River.
*The St. Louis River at Scanlon was at 16.6 feet as of 3:30pm Thursday. Record flooding is occurring. The river should begin to slowly recede.
*The Mississippi River near Aitkin was at 16.8 feet as of 4pm Thursday. Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. The river is expected to rise to near 20.5 feet on Sunday.
*The Mississippi River at Brainerd was at 15 feet as of 3:30pm Thursday. Minor flooding is occurring.
*The Mississippi River at Fort Ripley was at 10.7 feet as of 3pm Thursday. Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. The river is expected to rise to near 13.8 feet on Monday, June 25th.
*There are several other creeks and rivers that are flooding or near flood stage around the Northland. Numerous roads are closed and have been severely damaged by the flooding.
*Some evacuations have occurred in the cities of Floodwood, Moose Lake, Willow River, Carlton, Thomson, and Fond Du Lac, Minnesota.
*As of 1pm Thursday: Only emergency vehicles were allowed to travel in Moose Lake.
*Damage estimates for the city of Duluth are at 50 to 80 millon dollars per Mayor Don Ness.
*A state of emergency has been declared in Lake County Minnesota because of the flooding. Damage estimates are at 7 million dollars.
*Record Event*
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
A 24 hour precipitation record occurred at Duluth, Minnesota on Wednesday, June 20th, 2012. 3.11″ of rain fell which broke the previous record of 1.77″ set in 1926.
Weather Tidbits:
*9.51″ of rain so far this month at the Duluth Airport. This is 6.82″ above the average.
*Duluth’s precipitation total from May 23-June 21, 2012 has been 300-400% above what we normally would receive, in other words way above average!!!
*July 2012 climate outlook and the July-September, 2012 climate outlook indicate an equal chance for above, below, or normal temperatures and precipitation for Duluth, Minnesota. (Climate Prediction Center)
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Skies were partly to mostly sunny Today with high temperatures topping out in the lower to middle 70s. Winds were out of the west or northwest at 10 to 20 mph. A few showers have been popped up This Afternoon across Northern Minnesota with movement toward the southeast.
Today’s Upper Level Analysis:
A northwest flow aloft covered the Upper Midwest per RAP model analysis. 850mb temperatures as of 4pm ranged from +10 to +12C in Minnesota.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Tonight (June 21st)
There will be a few showers and possibly a thunderstorm before Midnight with weak instability in place. Lows will be in the 40s and 50s with west or northwest winds at 5 to 15 mph.
-Tonight’s low temperature forecast
Friday and Friday Night (June 22nd)
A northwest flow in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere will continue during this period. Weak instability in place could lead to a few Afternoon-early Evening showers or isolated thunderstorms. Highs will mainly be in the 70s with lows in the 50s to around 60 degrees. Winds will be from the west at 5 to 15 mph.
-Friday’s high temperature forecast
Extended Forecast, Saturday-Monday (June 23rd-25th)
A cold front will drop south/east through our area from Saturday into early Sunday with a few showers or thunderstorms possible in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. Looks mainly dry from Sunday Afternoon into Monday. High temperatures will mainly be in the 70s during this period with lows in the 50s Saturday Night and the 40s and 50s for Sunday Night.
-500mb pattern for Monday, June 25th, 2012 per HPC. NW flow covering MN while the Northern Rockies, Northern Plains, Central Plains, and parts of the Southern Plains bake under a heat dome.
-500mb pattern changes a bit by Thursday, June 26th. (HPC)
Long Range Forecast (June 26th-July 2nd)
Weather looks pretty quiet around here for next Tuesday-Thursday, June 26-28. We may get back into a somewhat wetter pattern beginning late next week/weekend, June 29-July 2nd. Temperatures are forecast to be near seasonal levels through this period.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… A few showers This Evening. Variable cloudiness. Low 50 to 55. Wind west at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
.Friday… Partly to mostly sunny. An Afternoon shower possible. High 70 to 75. Wind west at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
.Friday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 52 to 57. Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Saturday… Variable cloudiness. Showers or thunderstorms possible. High 70 to 75. Chance of rain 20%.
.Saturday Night… Showers or thunderstorms possible. Mostly cloudy. Low 55 to 60. Chance of rain 30%.
.Sunday… Partly cloudy. High 70 to 75.
.Sunday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 50 to 55.
.Monday… Partly cloudy. High 70 to 75.
Normal temperatures for Today
High: 72
Low: 51
Sunrise Friday: 5:15 AM CDT
Sunset Friday: 9:07 PM CDT
Friday’s UV Index: 8.0/Medium-High
Friday’s Allergy Forecast: 5.5/Medium
Tim
Cuisinart Mini-Prep Plus Food Processor
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