Issued at 3:48 PM CDT, Friday, June 29th, 2012
Tonight: Slight chance for a shower/t-storm far Southern areas.
Saturday: Warm, still not too humid. A few showers/t-storms?
Sunday: Warm, a little more humid. A few showers/t-storms?
…Latest Flood Information As of Friday Afternoon…
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
*Flood Warning* Until 6:00 AM CDT Sunday for the following Counties:
Aitkin, MN
Southeast Itasca, MN
Southwest St. Louis, MN
Some locations that will experience flooding include: Grand Rapids…Aitkin…Jacobson…Kimberly…La Prairie…Libby…McGregor…Palisade…Pine Knoll…Swan River…Swatara…and Tamarack.
*Flood Warning* Until 5:30 AM CDT Sunday for the following Counties:
Crow Wing, MN
Southeast Cass, MN
Some locations that will experience flooding include: Brainerd…Crosby…Cross Lake…Cuyuna…Deerwood…Emily…Fort Ripley…Little Pine…Misson…Pine Center…Riverton…Trommald…and Woodrow.
*Flood Warning*
A flood warning remains in effect for the Mississippi River near Aitkin affecting Aitkin County.
*At 3:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
*Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
*Major flooding is occurring and will continue through Friday, July 6th.
*The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.5 feet by Tomorrow Morning.
*At 19.0 feet the Transformer Station needs emergency protection.
*Flood Warning*
A flood warning remains in effect for the Mississippi River at Fort Ripley affecting Morrison and Crow Wing Counties.
*At 2:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
*Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
*Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast to continue through Friday, July 6th.
*The river will continue to fall to a stage of 11.8 feet by Tomorrow Morning.
*At 12.0 feet the Boat Landing and parking lot at the Public Access are under water.
-NWS watch/warning map
Green=Flood Warning
Weather Tidbits:
*16 all-time record highs were broken or tied from Wyoming to Kansas and 47 June records were broken or tied on Wednesday, June 27th, 2012 (Jim Cantore) (Jeff Masters)
*Over 1000 record highs in the U.S. during the past week. 1142 to be exact. (Paul Douglas. St. Cloud Times)
*Today marks the 2nd time this month with 3 consecutive days at or above 80F at Duluth, Minnesota. (June 8-10) and (June 27-29)
Here’s some additional record high temperatures from Thursday, June 28th, 2012
-Evansville, Indiana: 106F (all-time record for June) Previous record 102F in 1936.
-Russell, Kansas: 110F. Previous record 108F in 1968.
-Dodge City, Kansas: 108F. Tied the record last set in 1998, 1990, and 1930.
-Toledo, Ohio: 103F. Previous record 101F in 1934.
-Nashville, Tennessee: 105F. Previous record 104F in 1952.
-Louisville, Kentucky: 103F.
12 months and counting where the average monthly temperature was above normal at Duluth, Minnesota.
July, 2011: +4.3 degrees
August, 2011: +2.5 degrees
September, 2011: +0.6 degrees
October, 2011: +5.3 degrees
November, 2011: +4.3 degrees
December, 2011: +6.9 degrees
January, 2012: +7.8 degrees
February, 2012: +8.6 degrees
March, 2012: +13.3 degrees
April, 2012: +2.8 degrees
May, 2012: +3.6 degrees
June, 2012: Around +4.0 degrees???
Note: Of the 12 months, only the month of September finished with a monthly temperature surplus shy of 1.0 degree.
Note: 5 out of the 12 months had a temperature surplus of at least 5.0 degrees. October, December, January, February, and March.
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Another warm day in the Northland with partly cloudy to sunny skies. Highs were in the 80s with dewpoints holding primarily in the 50s. Winds were out of the west at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Today’s Upper Level Analysis:
A west-northwest flow continued across the Upper Midwest with a couple of disturbances moving east-southeast from the Northern Rockies to the Great Lakes per water vapor satellite imagery. An upper level ridge continued to blanket the Central and Southern U.S. per RAP model analysis. 850mb temperatures as of 3 PM ranged from +20C in Southern Minnesota to +16 to +18C in the remainder of Minnesota.
-500mb map as of 7 AM CDT, Friday, June 29th, 2012
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Tonight (June 29th)
Can’t rule out a few showers or thunderstorms before Midnight, mainly south of a Brainerd, Minnesota to Winter, Wisconsin line. A disturbance dropping E/SE out of South Dakota combined with just enough moisture and instability may be enough to trigger spotty showers This Evening in those areas. Otherwise it will be another quite night with clear to partly cloudy skies. Lows will be in the 50s and 60s with west winds at 5 to 15 mph.
-Tonight’s low temperature forecast
Saturday and Saturday Night (June 30th)
The final day of June will be another warm one with highs in the 70s and 80s. Lows Saturday Night will be in the 50s and 60s. Partly to at times mostly cloudy skies can be expected this period. There is a possibility for a few showers or thunderstorms mainly in Western-Southern parts of the area. Shouldn’t be any severe weather though with just marginal instability and moisture in place. But, lightning is a threat from any thunderstorm so keep that in mind! Winds during this period will be out of the north or west at 10 to 15 mph.
-Saturday’s high temperature forecast
Extended Forecast, Sunday-Tuesday (July 1st-3rd)
Humidity levels will be climbing during this period, should have dewpoints reaching the 60s all 3 days. A ridge of high pressure will continue to sit to our south while disturbances moving around the ridge affect the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. Those disturbances, plus higher amounts of instability and moisture could lead to some showers and thunderstorms on occasion, may even be a risk for a few severe thunderstorms Sunday-Tuesday. High temperatures will mainly be in the 80s with cooler temperatures closer to Lake Superior. Lows Sunday Night and Monday Night will mainly be in the 60s.
-The Storm Prediction has all of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin in a 5% chance area for severe thunderstorms for Sunday, July 1st.
Long Range Forecast (July 4th-10th)
Looks like we could thread the needle and have a nice 4th of July across the Northland as Tuesday’s weather system pushes off to our south/east by mid-week the way it looks now. The chance for showers or thunderstorms could return from Thursday-Sunday, July 5-8th. A pattern change could be coming by the 2nd week of July with an upper level trough and more of a N/NW flow possible for the Great Lakes. We shall see. Temperatures through this period should stay at or above normal.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly cloudy. Low 58 to 63. Wind west at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph early. Winds decreasing to 10 to 15 mph.
.Saturday… Partly to mostly sunny. Warm. High 80 to 85. Wind north to northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
.Saturday Night… Variable cloudiness. Showers or thunderstorms possible. Low 57 to 62. Wind north around 10 mph. Chance of rain 20%.
.Sunday… Partly sunny. Showers or thunderstorms possible. High 79 to 84. Chance of rain 20%.
.Sunday Night… Variable cloudiness. Showers or thunderstorms possible. Low 56 to 61. Chance of rain 20%.
.Monday… Partly sunny. Showers or thunderstorms possible. High 78 to 83. Chance of rain 30%.
.Monday Night… Showers or thunderstorms possible. Mostly cloudy. Low 60 to 65. Chance of rain 40%.
.Tuesday… Showers or thunderstorms possible. Variable cloudiness. High 78 to 83. Chance of rain 40%.
Normal temperatures for Today
High: 74
Low: 53
Sunrise Saturday: 5:18 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday: 9:07 PM CDT
Saturday’s UV Index: 9.0/Medium-High
Tim
Nikon D5100 16.2MP Digital SLR Camera – Body Only – Digital SLR
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