/Issued 4:10 PM CDT, Saturday, October 5, 2013/
-Could be some decent rain totals once again in the Northland Tonight with 1/2″ – 1″ amounts possible by Sunday AM in the yellow and orange colored areas. (Source, 19z/2PM HRRR model run)
October 3-5, 2013 storm highlights:
October 3: 9 preliminary tornado reports in Southeast Nebraska between 10 and 11 PM.
October 4: 18 preliminary tornado reports in Eastern Nebraska, Western Iowa, and extreme Southeast South Dakota.
*October 3, 2013 storm reports from the NWS Storm Prediction Center
Red dots=tornado reports.
*October 4, 2013 storm reports from the NWS Storm Prediction Center.
Red dots=tornado reports.
***A massive blizzard hit the Western High Plains/Northern Plains during the past 24 hours**
Here are some snowfall reports from the Weather Prediction Center as of 10 AM Today.
South Dakota:
Lead: 43.5″
Downtown Rapid City: 31.0″
Spearfish: 26.0″
North Dakota:
Reeder: 9.0″
New Salem: 8.0″
2 NNW of Bismarck: 3.0″
Wind reports from October 4-5, 2013
Ellsworth Air Force Base, SD: 71 mph
Usta, SD: 71 mph
Rapid City, SD (Downtown) 68 mph
-Northland wind reports:
Pier 20 Blatnik Bridge: 60 mph
1 N of Knife River: 51 mph
Sky Harbor: 48 mph
French River: 47 mph
Devils Island: 47 mph
Duluth: 45 mph
2 NNE of Superior: 39 mph
Cloquet: 38 mph
Superior: 37 mph
Silver Bay: 36 mph
Bayfield: 36 mph
*Flash flooding in parts of Southeast Minnesota Friday Night*
Source: NWS La Crosse, Wisconsin
Preston, MN: 5.85″
Lanesboro, MN: 4.34″
Spring Valley, MN: 4.10″
Grand Meadow, MN: 5.30″
*Doppler radar rainfall estimates in SE Minnesota/SW Wisconsin area. The yellow and orange areas are 2-5″ rainfall totals.
Rainfall report for October 5-6 (ending around 7 AM Today)
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Duluth, MN: 0.38″
Grand Marais, MN: 0.21″
Hibbing, MN: 0.28″
Ashland, WI: 0.47″
Hayward, WI: 0.19″
4 S of Bruno, MN: 0.56″
12 N of Isle, MN: 0.62″
3 NE of Nisswa, MN: 0.26″
3 E of Wright, MN: 0.52″
12 N of Grand Rapids, MN: 0.23″
Babbitt, MN: 0.41″
Duluth, MN (NWS) 0.40″
Embarrass, MN: 0.37″
4 E of Island Lake, MN: 0.40″
Silver Bay, MN: 0.48″
Finland, MN: 0.54″
Butternut, WI: 0.32″
Gile, WI: 0.32″
Gurney, WI: 0.46″
Madeline Island, WI: 0.54″
Upson, WI: 0.25″
9 N of Bayfield, WI: 0.37″
4 W of Clam Lake, WI: 0.35″
Winter, WI: 0.37″
*WIND ADVISORY*
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Location:
Portions of the North Shore and South Shore of Lake Superior.
Timing:
Until 10 PM CDT Tonight.
Counties included in the wind advisory:
Southern Lake MN
Southern St. Louis MN
Carlton MN
Douglas WI
Some cities included in the wind advisory:
Silver Bay…Two Harbors…Duluth…Floodwood…Cloquet…Moose Lake…Superior…Solon Springs.
Discussion:
East to northeast winds will continue at 15 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph This Evening. The strongest winds will be found closer to Lake Superior. Winds will start to subside later Tonight.
A wind advisory means that winds or frequent gusts of 35 to 45 mph are expected. Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra caution.
*NWS Duluth hazards map.
Wind advisories (brown on the map) and gale warnings for Western Lake Superior remain in effect This Evening.
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
A powerful autumn storm has moved little Today with the center of this storm as of 4 PM in Southeast South Dakota with a pressure of 1006mb. Occasional rain, drizzle, some fog, and an isolated thunderstorm or 2 have occurred in the Northland Today with high temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Winds were out of the north or east at 10 to 20 mph with gusts of 35 to 45+ mph near Lake Superior. Note: Per Duluth News Tribune: Several scanner reports of trees down on powerlines in the Duluth area since last night due to the high winds. At the peak of the storm, a little less than 2,000 Minnesota Power customers were were without power, but as of 3:30 PM Today that number dropped to less than 100.
*12-hour water vapor satellite loop from 3:30 AM until 3:30 PM Today. Incredible looking storm affecting much of the Central/Northern Plains and Upper Midwest.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (October 5)
Rain and drizzle with some fog will continue Tonight as strong low pressure at the surface and aloft move very slowly toward the east out of Eastern South Dakota. There’s even some instability present This Evening with elevated CAPE of up to 500 j/kg, this could support an isolated thunderstorm and maybe even some small hail. Lows will be in the 40s and 50s with north or east winds at 10 to 20 mph with 30-45 mph gusts continuing before Midnight closer to Lake Superior.
Sunday and Sunday Night (October 6)
Low pressure and an upper level low pressure system will exit to our east during this period. Showers could linger here and there during the day with mainly dry weather returning for Sunday Night. Highs will be in the 40s and 50s with lows in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be out of the north at 10 to 20 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Monday through Wednesday (October 7-9)
Looks dry during the early-mid part of next week with pleasant high temperatures which will top out in the 50s and 60s which is near to above average for this time of year. Note: May even see a few 70s in parts of the Northland on Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows Monday Night and Tuesday Night will be in the 30s and 40s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Medium.
(October 10-15)
Another storm system is forecast to move generally toward the north through the Central/Northern Plains during the 11th-13th time frame, with the center of the low passing west of Minnesota, we should have mild temperatures with possible showers from the 11th-13th. Near to above average temperatures are forecast through this period.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
*WIND ADVISORY until 10 PM CDT Tonight*
.Tonight… Windy. Occasional rain. Fog and drizzle. Low 45 to 50. Wind east to northeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts 30 to 40 mph mainly before Midnight.
.Sunday… Showers possible at times. Considerable cloudiness. High 45 to 50. Wind north at 10 to 20 mph.
.Sunday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 40 to 45. Wind north at 10 to 15 mph.
.Monday… Partly cloudy. High 57 to 62.
.Monday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 40 to 45.
.Tuesday… Partly cloudy. High 60 to 65.
.Tuesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 43 to 48.
.Wednesday… Partly cloudy. High 60 to 65.
Normal temperatures for Today
High: 57
Low: 39
Sunrise Sunday: 7:14 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday: 6:38 PM CDT
Tim
*Here are a few pictures I took Today from Park Point (Duluth, Minnesota) Gale force ENE winds resulting in some decent wave action on the big lake Today.
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