/Issued 3:47 PM CST, Wednesday, December 11, 2013/
-Still looking at a minor snow event across the Northland this weekend with most of Saturday featuring some light snow the way it looks now. Most of us will only get around 1″ or so of accumulation, but there could be a band of 1-3″+ especially near Lake Superior and over other parts of Northern Minnesota. Stay tuned as I will probably have to update this map a little bit in coming days.
Note: Wind Chill Warning has been changed to a Wind Chill Advisory for the entire Northland per National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.
*Wind Chill Advisory for Koochiching, Itasca, Carlton, St. Louis, Lake, and Cook County in Minnesota valid until 10 AM CST Thursday.
*Wind Chill Advisory for Cass, Crow Wing, Aitkin, and Pine County Minnesota and for Douglas, Bayfield, Ashland, Iron, Burnett, Washburn, Sawyer, and Price County in Wisconsin valid until 7 AM CST Thursday.
-Hazards: Expect wind chill values to range from 25 below to 40 below across Northern areas to 25 below to 35 below in Southern areas.
Low temperature report for This Morning, December 11, 2013
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Duluth, MN: -15F
International Falls, MN: -20F
Hibbing, MN: -16F
Hayward, WI: -15F
Two Harbors, MN: -17F
Silver Bay, MN: -17F
Grand Marais, MN (Airport) -18F
Ely, MN: -20F
Orr, MN: -20F
Cook, MN: -24F
Crane Lake, MN: -24F
Bigfork, MN: -24F
Longville, MN: -26F
Pine River, MN: -24F
Hinckley, MN: -22F
Superior, WI: -16F
Duluth, MN (NWS) -18F
3 E of Wright, MN: -20F
Cass Lake, MN: -22F
Babbitt, MN: -27F
Embarrass, MN: -27F
4 E of Island Lake, MN: -20F
Kabetogama, MN: -29F
3 E of Orr, MN: -31F
2 S of Tower, MN: -28F
Butternut, WI: -17F
4 W of Clam Lake, WI: -15F
Winter, WI: -15F
Togo, MN: -32F
Lowest wind chills around the Northland Today, December 11, 2013
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Grand Marais, MN (Airport) -43F
2 WNW of Palmers, MN: -42F
7 E of Effie, MN: -41F
International Falls, MN: -39F
Duluth, MN: -39F
Orr, MN: -37F
Ely, MN: -36F
Two Harbors, MN: -36F
Superior, WI: -35F
Bigfork, MN: -35F
Longville, MN: -33F
Today’s Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
High pressure averaging 1036mb was over Central Kansas late This Afternoon. Believe it or not a warm air advection pattern is underway as we get on the backside of that high and winds turn around to the southwest. Temperatures remained frigid Today with highs generally in the single digits below zero. Skies were sunny to partly cloudy and winds were out of the southwest at around 5 to 15 mph with late Afternoon wind chills in the teens and 20s below zero.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (December 11)
Bitterly cold temperatures and wind chills will continue but do expect some increase in clouds during the night with the potential for some flurries or a little light snow mainly for Western/Southern parts of the area as a weak disturbance drops southeast out of the Northern Plains. Snow accumulations by daybreak should remain under 1″. Lows Tonight will be in the single digits, teens, and 20s below zero with west or southwest winds at 5 to 15 mph.
*18z NAM/HIRES model valid for Midnight Tonight. Note the circled area, this is where some light snow or flurries could fall later This Evening/Overnight. Shouldn’t be a very big deal though.
Thursday and Thursday Night (December 12)
A frontal boundary will be dropping slowly toward the south across the Upper Midwest during this period. Some light snow and flurries could develop at times along and north of that boundary especially by Tomorrow Night, otherwise expect partly to mostly cloudy skies during this period with highs in the single digits and teens with lows ranging from the single digits and teens below in Northern Minnesota to the single digits and teens above zero over Southern areas. Winds Tomorrow will be out of the west, southwest, or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Winds Tomorrow Night will be out of the north or west at 5 to 15 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Friday through Sunday (December 13-15)
Light snow and flurries will occur at times from Friday into early Sunday as an upper level disturbance/weak area of low pressure pass through the region. There could be some lake enhanced snow as well along the North Shore and South Shore of Lake Superior with north/east winds in place both Friday and Saturday.
Note: At this time it looks like most of the Northland will get around 1″ of snow Friday into Saturday with a band of 1-3″+ of snow possible especially over Northern Minnesota, including the Iron Range, Arrowhead, and for locations near Lake Superior.
Looks like will see quite a range in temperatures on Friday with single digits below/above zero readings over Northern Minnesota with teens and 20s across Northwest Wisconsin. Lows Friday Night will range from the single digits and teens below in Northern Minnesota to the single digits and teens above zero in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. Highs on Saturday will be in the teens and 20s with lows in the single digits and teens below to above zero. Highs on Sunday will be in the single digits below to low teens above zero.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(December 16-21)
Below average temperatures look like they will continue right through this period. The Northland could also be affected by some minor snow events from time to time next week, with a bigger system possibly taking shape between the 18th-21st, but right now it looks like the main impacts would be south/southeast of our area.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
*WIND CHILL ADVISORY*
Timing: Until 10 AM CST Thursday.
.Tonight… Bitterly cold. Clear during the Evening. Partly to mostly cloudy after Midnight with flurries or a little light snow possible. Low 10 below to 15 below. Wind west to southwest at 5 to 15 mph. Wind chills from 25 below to 35 below.
.Thursday… Very cold. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 7 to 12. Wind west at 10 to 15 mph. Morning wind chills from 25 below to 35 below.
.Thursday Night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. Low 2 below to 3 above. Wind west becoming north at 10 to 15 mph. Snowfall accumulations of 1″ or less possible.
.Friday… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. High 10 to 15.
.Friday Night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. Low 0 to 5.
.Saturday… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. High 11 to 16.
.Saturday Night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. Low 5 below to 10 below.
.Sunday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 0 to 5.
Normal temperatures for Tomorrow
High: 23
Low: 8
Sunrise Thursday: 7:45 AM CST
Sunset Thursday: 4:20 PM CST
Tim
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