October 28, 2014 Weather Report – Breezy and chilly Tonight with some rain and snow; Gray and cool on Wednesday; Lake effect snow chance later this week east of the Twin Ports

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/Issued 4:13 PM CDT, Tuesday, October 28, 2014/

Radar loop ending at 4:45 PM CDT Today.  Source, Intellicast.com

Blue=Snow
Green=Rain















Note:  As of October 27, the average monthly temperature for October at the Duluth Airport was 46.1 degrees which is 2.1 degrees warmer than normal.  The recent surges of unseasonably warm temperatures last week is the main reason why we are now above average temperature wise for the month.  Chillier weather from here on out as we wrap up October, but will it be enough to drop us below average for the month?  Stay tuned.

Rainfall map for October 27-28 ending This Morning.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.  Text reports below.

















Rainfall report for October 27-28, 2014 ending at 7 AM Today
Source:  National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota

International Falls, MN:  0.39″
Hibbing, MN:  0.22″
12 N of Isle, MN:  0.17″
3 E of Wright, MN:  0.16″
Cook, MN:  0.28″
Floodwood, MN:  0.20″
Kabetogama, MN:  0.30″
3 E of Orr, MN:  0.36″
2 S of Tower, MN:  0.27″

Weather Summary for October 28, 2014
Location:  Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Strong low pressure of 996mb was over northeast Ontario late This Afternoon.  Plenty of cold air is pouring into the Northland behind this low Today and along with the colder temps is a combination of overcast skies and gusty west winds.  Highs Today were in the 30s and 40s with those aforementioned west winds in the 10-25 mph range with gusts over 30 mph.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (October 28)

A strong upper trough and upper level low will move slowly east and out of the Upper Midwest Tonight as high pressure starts to build in from the west.  Mostly cloudy skies can be expected Tonight with some light snow, rain, and drizzle at times.  Note:  Locations that do see snow Tonight shouldn’t get more than a dusting or half inch of accumulation.  Low temperatures will mainly be in the 30s with northwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night (October 29)

High pressure controls our weather on Wednesday giving us partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies.  There might be a few snow and or rain showers early in the day otherwise it should be dry.  A new low pressure system quickly approaches from the west by Wednesday Night which will result in mostly cloudy skies in our area with the possibility for a little bit of rain or a rain/snow mix.  Highs Tomorrow will be in the 30s and 40s with lows Tomorrow Night in the 30s.  Winds will start out from the northwest on Wednesday but will back west or southwest later in the day.  Winds Tomorrow Night will be out of the south or north.  Wind speeds will generally be in the 10-20 mph range during this period.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Thursday through Saturday (October 30-November 1)

A blast of cold air is still on schedule for late week.  This cold snap moves in on Thursday, peaks on Friday with a slight temperature recovery expected for Saturday.

As the cold air moves in there should be a few showers of rain or snow on Thursday which will change over to flurries and snow showers Thursday Night/early Friday.  Halloween does look dry though for most of the Northland.

Note:  Lake effect snow is possible Thursday Night and Halloween along the South Shore of Lake Superior in northwest Wisconsin as north/northwest winds and cold air move over the warmer waters of Lake Superior.  There could be some snow accumulation mainly in parts of Bayfield, Ashland, and Iron Counties later this week.

High temperatures on Thursday will mainly be in the 40s with lows Thursday Night in the 20s to low 30s.  Highs on Friday should remain in the 30s with lows Friday Night in the teens and 20s.  Highs on Saturday will be in the 30s to low 40s.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(November 2-7)

A strong area of low pressure should pass west/north of our area between Sunday-Tuesday (2nd-4th) This system could bring some showers to the Northland from the 2nd-4th.  Temperatures are forecast to be fairly close to average through this period.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Breezy.  Mostly cloudy.  Light rain and drizzle at times This Evening which will become mixed with snow mainly inland from Lake Superior.  Patchy drizzle or snow flurries lingering Overnight.  Low 33 to 38.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

.Wednesday…  Flurries possible early otherwise mostly cloudy.  High 39 to 44.  Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming west to southwest during the Afternoon.

.Wednesday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  A few showers possible.  Low 35 to 39.  Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph.

.Thursday…  Considerable cloudiness.  A few showers possible.  High 40 to 45.

.Thursday Night…  Mostly cloudy.  Snow showers and flurries.  Low 23 to 28.

.Halloween…  Chilly! Partly sunny.  Flurries possible early.  High 34 to 39.

.Friday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 20 to 25.

.Saturday…  Mostly sunny.  High 35 to 40.

Normal temperatures for Today

High:  46
Low:   31

Sunrise Wednesday:  7:46 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday:   5:57 PM CDT

Tim

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