/Issued 4:14 PM CST, Tuesday, January 6, 2015/
Heads up! Snow on Thursday. Surface map valid at 6 AM Thursday showing low pressure (L on the map) over eastern South Dakota with an area of snow occurring northeast of that low. If the current track and strength of this system doesn’t change between now and Thursday, then we should see about 1-2″ of fresh snow in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin on Thursday. Source, Weather Prediction Center.
850mb temperature anomaly forecast for Friday, January 9, 2015 per 12z ECMWF ensemble model. Widespread cold continues (blue and purple colors on the map) Source, tropicaltidbits.com
But look what happens later next week. Widespread warmer than normal temperatures take hold over most of Canada into the northern U.S. while chillier temperatures cover the southern U.S. (warmer temps in red/pinkish colors on the map; cooler temps in blues) Source, tropicaltidbits.com
NWS hazards map. Darker blue=wind chill warning. More information at this link: http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=dlh&wwa=wind%20chill%20warning
Weather Summary for January 6, 2015
Location: northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
Scattered snow showers and flurries have been moving through the area Today as a reinforcing shot of arctic air approaches from the north. In between these snow showers, skies were partly to mostly sunny. High temperatures were in the single digits with west or northwest winds at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight through Wednesday Night (January 6-7)
A powerful arctic high averaging 1055-1060mb drops southeast out of western Canada, through the northern Plains, and into the central Plains during this period. Flurries and snow showers over the Northland will come to an end This Evening — the rest of this forecast period looks dry. Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected with lows Tonight in the teens and 20s below zero with a few spots up in northern Minnesota possibly dropping to around 30 below. Highs on Wednesday will be in the single digits and teens below with lows Wednesday Night ranging from the single digits to around 20 below. Winds will be out of the northwest at 10 to 25 mph Tonight; west or northwest winds Tomorrow at 10 to 25 mph; west or southwest winds Tomorrow Night at 10 to 15 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Thursday through Saturday (January 8-10)
A round of snow is likely on Thursday as an area of low pressure along with a cold front push through the Northland. Looks like most of us will pick up 1″ to maybe 2″ of fresh snow on Thursday. More arctic air follows this system Thursday Night through Saturday with mainly dry conditions expected.
Highs on Thursday will be in the single digits to around 10 above with highs Friday in the single digits and teens below. Highs on Saturday will be in the single digits below to single digits above zero. Lows Thursday Night and Friday Night will be in the teens and 20s below zero.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(January 11-16)
Below average temperatures from the 11th-13th; above average temperatures from the 14th-16th. The overall pattern that will be in place will continue to favor cold temperatures across the Northland late this weekend/early next week but there continues to be fairly strong signals showing up that would support a significant warm up across the area sometime mid or late next week. The 11th-16th time frame looks pretty dry/quiet at the moment.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
Event: *WIND CHILL WARNING*
Timing: 9 PM This Evening until Noon CST Wednesday.
.Tonight… Snow showers and flurries ending during the Evening. Bitterly cold with dangerous wind chills. Partly cloudy and breezy. Low 15 below to 20 below. Wind northwest at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Wind chills 35 below to 45 below.
.Wednesday… Bitterly cold with dangerous wind chills. Mostly sunny and breezy. High 1 below to 6 below. Wind northwest at 15 to 25 mph. Wind chills 35 below to 45 below during the Morning.
.Wednesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 8 below to 12 below. Wind southwest at 10 to 15 mph.
.Thursday… Snow. Accumulations of 1-2″ possible. High 5 to 10.
.Thursday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 10 below to 15 below.
.Friday… Mostly sunny. High 0 to 5 below.
.Friday Night… Mostly clear. Low 13 below to 18 below.
.Saturday… Partly cloudy. High 1 to 6.
Normal temperatures for Wednesday
High: 19
Low: 2
Sunrise Wednesday: 7:53 AM CST
Sunset Wednesday: 4:37 PM CST
Tim
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