/Issued 4:39 PM CST, Thursday, February 12, 2015/
Here we go again! Another bomb for parts of the northeast, or in other words…A blizzard! Yes, there is potential for another blizzard in parts of the northeast U.S. this weekend, and Boston seems to be in the threat zone, again. The map below is from Today’s 12z run of the EURO ensemble model, valid for Sunday, February 15, 2015. A wicked looking storm just off-shore from Massachusetts. Source, tropicaltidbits.com
Here in the Northland it’s all about the cold! The potential for a lot of snow is extremely low during the next week, and probably even longer than that…Nothing has really changed in the overall pattern, so it’s more of the same…Meaning very minor snow events, but no big storms around here.
Here’s the 850mb temperature forecast valid for Saturday, February 14, 2015 per 12z EURO model from Today. Source, tropicaltidbits.com
But wait there’s more! Here’s the 850mb temperature map valid for Wednesday, February 18, 2015 per 12z EURO model from Today. Source, tropicaltidbits.com
A shot of arctic air Friday Night-early Sunday followed by another shot of arctic air during the Tuesday-Thursday time frame, or from February 17-19.
Low temperature report for February 12, 2015
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
International Falls, MN: -28F
Embarrass, MN: -26F
Littlefork, MN: -26F
Crane Lake, MN: -26F
3 E of Orr, MN: -22F
3 SE of Cotton, MN: -20F
Ely, MN: -18F
Bigfork, MN: -18F
8 WNW of Minong, WI: -17F
1 NNE of Hermantown, MN: -17F
Cook, MN: -15F
Silver Bay, MN: -15F
Siren, WI: -13F
Cloquet, MN: -13F
Duluth, MN (NWS) -13F
Walker, MN: -13F
Superior, WI: -12F
Duluth, MN (Airport) -11F
Two Harbors, MN: -9F
Sky Harbor Airport, MN: -8F
Weather Summary for February 12, 2015
Location: northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
A ridge of high pressure averaging 1034mb stretches from eastern Kansas to eastern Minnesota late This Afternoon. Clear to partly cloudy skies were common in our area Today with high temperatures mostly in the single digits. Winds Today shifted from the north-northwest to the south/west during the Afternoon hours.
Great Lakes ice coverage map as of February 11, 2015. The white areas represent open water. 63% of the Great Lakes is covered by ice as of Wednesday. Source, GLCFS.
Forecast Discussion for northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (February 12)
High pressure exits off to the east as low pressure moves into western Ontario. Attached to that low will be a warm front and trough. This system will bring a few snow showers and flurries to the Northland Tonight but accumulations should remain under an inch. Lows will be in the single digits below to single digits above zero. Winds will remain out of the south or southwest at 10 to 15 mph.
Friday and Friday Night (February 13)
Low pressure will dig SE out of western Ontario, moving over the eastern Great Lakes by late Friday Night. A cold front will move through the Northland on Friday with arctic air returning by Friday Night. A few snow showers and flurries will be possible at times during this period but accumulations will be extremely light. Highs Tomorrow will be in the teens and 20s with lows Tomorrow Night in the single digits, teens, and 20s below zero. Winds will shift to the west or northwest on Friday, and to the north or northwest Friday Night. Wind speeds will range from 10-25 mph with higher gusts possible.
Note: Lake effect snow showers are possible along the South Shore of Lake Superior from Friday Night through Saturday Evening as north/northwest winds blow across Lake Superior. Some accumulations are likely especially in Ashland and Iron Counties.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Saturday through Monday (February 14-16)
Bitterly cold temperatures will be over the Northland on Saturday as arctic high pressure averaging 1045mb builds into the Upper Midwest. This high moves off to the east on Sunday/Monday which will make way for a weak system approaching from the west-northwest…A light snowfall event is possible over the Northland from Sunday into Monday.
High temperatures on Saturday will range from around 10 below to the single digits above zero. Highs on Sunday will range from the single digits below to single digits above zero. Highs on Monday will be in the teens. Lows Saturday Night will be in the teens, 20s, and possibly even the 30s below. Lows Sunday Night will range from the single digits below to single digits above zero.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(February 17-22)
Below average temperatures from the 17th-22nd. No major snow storms anytime soon.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Snow showers or flurries possible mainly after Midnight. Low 3 below to 2 above. Wind south to southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Friday… Partly sunny. A few snow showers or flurries mainly early. High 16 to 21. Wind west at 15 to 25 mph.
.Friday Night… Partly cloudy. Flurries possible during the Evening. Low 6 below to 11 below. Wind north to northwest at 15 to 25 mph. Dangerously cold wind chills possible late.
.Saturday… Partly cloudy. High 3 to 8 early with falling temperatures.
.Saturday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 15 below to 20 below.
.Sunday… Becoming mostly cloudy. High 5 to 10.
.Sunday Night… Mostly cloudy. Low 0 to 5.
.Monday… Mostly cloudy. High 15 to 20.
Normal temperatures for Friday
High: 23
Low: 5
Sunrise Friday: 7:16 AM CST
Sunset Friday: 5:30 PM CST
Tim
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