March 1, 2015 Weather Report – Latest on Tuesday’s snow event; Bitterly cold temps return mid-week; Warming up late in the week

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/Issued 3:41 PM CST, Sunday, March 1, 2015/

Updated low pressure track for Monday Night/Tuesday.  The blue outlined area is where snow is expected to fall.  This won’t be a major storm by any means, but a few inches to several inches of snow is expected during the Monday Night-Tuesday time frame.  Use caution if you have travel plans.  Winter weather headlines will likely be needed in some parts of the blue area.  Stay tuned!

Here’s what I’m thinking for total snowfall amounts for Monday Night and Tuesday.  It might be difficult to get anything more than 3-4″ out of this system do to the fact that it will be a fast mover, so I may be a little on the high side with those 6″ totals south of Duluth.  I’ll likely update this map at least once during the next 24 hours.

March climate normals for Duluth, Minnesota – Airport location

Temperature:  25.9 degrees
Precipitation:  1.49″
Snowfall:  13.2″

Temperature and precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota – Airport location

February 22-28, 2015

High temperatures:

2/22:  -3F/29 degrees below normal
2/23:  22F/5 degrees below normal
2/24:  25F/2 degrees below normal
2/25:  10F/17 degrees below normal
2/26:  8F/20 degrees below normal
2/27:  18F/10 degrees below normal
2/28:  21F/7 degrees below normal

Low temperatures:

2/22:  -17F/26 degrees below normal
2/23:  -19F/28 degrees below normal
2/24:  1F/8 degrees below normal
2/25:  -5F/15 degrees below normal
2/26:  -15F/25 degrees below normal
2/27:  -11F/22 degrees below normal
2/28:  -1F/12 degrees below normal

Total precipitation:  0.02″
Normal:  0.27″
Departure:  -0.25″ below normal

Last week’s temperature departure map.  Another week that featured amazing temperature departures across the region.  Wow!  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.





















Last week’s precipitation departure map.  Very dry in the Northland.  Source, Midwest Regional Climate Center.






















Winter of 2014-15 climate stats for select cities in Minnesota
Source:  National Weather Service Chanhassen, Minnesota

Twin Cities:

Normal:  18.7 degrees

Dec-Feb average temperature:  18.2 degrees
Departure:  -0.5 degrees below normal

Last winter’s average temperature:  9.7 degrees
Departure:  -9.0 degrees below normal

St. Cloud:

Normal:  14.8 degrees

Dec-Feb average temperature:  16.4 degrees
Departure:  +1.6 degrees above normal

Last winter’s average temperature:  5.5 degrees
Departure:  -9.0 degrees below normal

Weather Tidbits:

*February 2015 goes in the books as the coldest February on record at Marquette, Michigan with an average temperature of 2.4 degrees.

*February 2015 was also the coldest month on record at Marquette, Michigan with an average temperature of 2.4 degrees.  The previous coldest month on record was January 1994 with an average temperature of 2.8 degrees.  Source, NWS Marquette, MI.

Weather Summary for March 1, 2015
Location:  Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Low pressure of 1010mb was over far Northern Ontario with high pressure of 1030mb in Southeast Montana.  Partly to mostly sunny skies were common in the Northland on this 1st day of March.  High temperatures were mid teens to mid 20s with the chilliest temperatures found in extreme Northern Minnesota.  Winds Today were out of the west at 10 to 20 mph.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Short Term Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tonight (March 1)

High pressure builds southeast out of the Northern Rockies.  A few snow showers or flurries are possible This Evening otherwise dry weather is expected for Tonight.  Lows will be in the single digits below to single digits above zero.  Winds will be out of the west or northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

Monday and Monday Night (March 2)

High pressure will be in control of our weather on Monday resulting in sunny-partly cloudy skies with highs in the 20s, winds will turn to the south or southwest at 10 to 15 mph.  Clouds will be on the increase Monday Night as high pressure exits to our southeast while low pressure approaches from the southwest and also from the northwest.  Should see some snow gradually develop in parts of the Northland Monday Night.  Lows Tomorrow Night will be in the single digits and teens with southerly winds at 10 to 15 mph.

Extended Forecast – Confidence:  High.

Tuesday through Thursday (March 3-5)

Low pressure and a cold front will be affecting the Upper Midwest on Tuesday.  This system will bring accumulating snow to Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin with a few inches of accumulation looking like a good bet.  Heavier snow accumulations of 4″ or more will be possible especially in parts of Northwest Wisconsin and East Central Minnesota.  The least amount of snow looks to be west and northwest of the Iron Range.  Dry weather and arctic air returns to the area for Wednesday and Thursday.

Highs on Tuesday will be in the teens and 20s with lows Tuesday Night in the single digits below to around 20 below.  Highs on Wednesday will only be in the single digits below to single digits above zero with lows Wednesday Night in the single digits, teens, and 20s below.  Highs on Thursday will be in the single digits and teens.

Long Range Forecast – Confidence:  High.

(March 6-11)

A couple of weak systems look to pass north of our area during the Friday-Sunday (6th-8th) time frame.  Little to no precipitation is expected with these systems.  Near to below normal temperatures from the 6th-11th, but no more arctic outbreaks expected for a little while after the middle of this week.

5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Evening snow flurries possible.  Low 2 to 7.  Wind west at 10 to 20 mph.

.Monday…  Mostly sunny.  High 21 to 26.  Wind south to southwest at 10 to 20 mph.

.Monday Night…  Increasing cloudiness.  Snow possible late.  Low 12 to 17.  Wind south at 10 to 20 mph.

.Tuesday…  Snow.  Total snowfall accumulations of 2-4″ possible.  High 20 to 25.

.Tuesday Night…  Colder.  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 3 below to 8 below.

.Wednesday…  Cold.  Mostly sunny.  High 5 to 10.

.Wednesday Night…  Very cold.  Mostly clear.  Low 10 below to 15 below.

.Thursday…  Mostly sunny.  High 10 to 15.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  29
Low:  12

Sunrise Monday:  6:47 AM CST
Sunset Monday:   5:56 PM CST

Tim

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