/Issued 4:26 PM CST, Saturday, March 7, 2015/
Look at this! Although this is a long ways off, the EUROPEAN model is showing one hell of a warm airmass pushing into the Upper Midwest around March 16th. This map shows the expected 500mb heights valid on March 16th — H5 heights of 570-576 meters over much of Minnesota and Wisconsin — those kinds of heights are more typical of late spring than in March. Source, tropicaltidbits.com
So based off the 500mb map (Shown above) No surprise that were seeing these kinds of 850mb temperature anomalies on March 16th per 12z EUROPEAN model from Today. Again this is a long way down the road and things could change…But if this were to verify, then most of Minnesota and Wisconsin would likely get into the 60s, maybe even up near 70 degrees on Monday, March 16th. Something to watch in coming days! Note: The pattern for the next several days even prior to March 16th is a mild one, so the snow pack will be going bye-bye in much of the Northland. Source, tropicaltidbits.com
Weather Summary for March 7, 2015
Location: Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
A pleasant early March day across the Northland with high temperatures ranging from the mid to upper 20s in the Arrowhead and Borderland region with 30s along the North Shore and also along and south of Highway 2. Partly to mostly cloudy skies covered the area Today. Snow showers and flurries fell in parts of the Northland earlier Today with accumulations of 1″ or less in a few spots. Winds Today were out of the west or northwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (March 7)
High pressure to our southwest late This Afternoon moves off to the south/east Tonight which will allow a low pressure system to approach from the northwest. Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue Tonight. Snow showers and flurries are expected to develop in parts of the area from late Evening and during the Overnight hours. Snowfall accumulations of 1″ or less are possible by daybreak. Low temperatures will be in the single digits, teens, and 20s with winds shifting to the south/southwest at 10 to 15 mph.
Sunday and Sunday Night (March 8)
Low pressure passes north/east of our area this period. A few snow showers or flurries are possible mainly before Noon. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast with highs in the 30s to near 40 degrees. Lows Sunday Night will generally be in the 20s. Winds will be out of the west or northwest on Sunday at 10 to 20 mph with winds turning to the southwest at 10 to 20 mph Sunday Night.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Monday through Wednesday (March 9-11)
Looks quite mild across the Northland during this period. High temperatures should reach the 40s in most areas with some locations making it into the 50s! The chances for a lake breeze are very low at least here in the Twin Ports on Monday and Tuesday — so the mild temperatures should make it into Downtown and the Park Point areas, the chance for a lake breeze increases a bit by Wednesday. Note: High temperatures could stay in the 30s along the North Shore of Lake Superior from Two Harbors to Grand Marais from Monday through Wednesday. Low temperatures Monday Night and Tuesday Night are forecast to be in the 20s and 30s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Medium to High.
(March 12-17)
No major storms are expected with near to above average temperatures from the 12th-17th. The EUROPEAN model is showing a very warm airmass building into the Upper Midwest around the 15th-16th — this could mean widespread 60 degree high temperatures at that time. But even before that time, expect daytime highs to be in the 40s in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin — And it may even be warmer than that.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Late night snow showers or flurries possible. Low 20 to 25. Wind west to northwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming south to southwest late.
.Sunday… Flurries possible early otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. High 35 to 40. Wind west at 10 to 20 mph.
.Sunday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 20 to 25. Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Monday… Partly cloudy. High 40 to 45.
.Monday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 27 to 32.
.Tuesday… Partly cloudy. High 45 to 50.
.Tuesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 25 to 30.
.Wednesday… Partly cloudy. High 40 to 45 but it may be cooler near Lake Superior.
Normal temperatures for Sunday
High: 31
Low: 14
Sunrise Sunday: 7:35 AM CDT
Sunset Sunday: 7:04 PM CDT
Tim
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