/Issued 7:01 PM CDT, Friday, March 27, 2015/
Precipitation totals of up to one quarter inch are possible across the Northland late Saturday Night-Sunday Morning per 18z RGEM. Source, TropicalTidbits.com Note: Some of this precipitation could fall as snow or sleet in parts of the area.
Potential for widespread half inch precipitation amounts in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin through April 3, 2015. Source, Weather Prediction Center.
Frigid in parts of the Northland This Morning, March 27, 2015.
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Brimson, MN: -4F
Embarrass, MN: -4F
25 E of Ely, MN: -2F
Grand Marais, MN (Airport) 0F
Ely, MN: 0F
Orr, MN: 0F
Crane Lake, MN: 0F
*The high temperature of 30 degrees at the Duluth Airport on March 26 was the first time since March 5 with a high temperature colder than 32 degrees.
*Low temperature of 10 degrees at the Duluth Airport on March 27 is the coldest low temperature since March 6 (6 degrees)
Weather Summary for March 27, 2015
Location: Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Another chilly but sunny day across the Northland with high temperatures generally in the upper 20s and 30s. Winds were out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph. Surface map early This Evening featured an area of high pressure averaging 1024mb covering the Great Lakes.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (March 27)
High pressure will remain in control of our weather Tonight with clear to partly cloudy skies in our area. Low temperatures will range from around zero to 20 degrees with a few subzero low temperatures possible in the traditional cold spots. Winds will be out of the south or east around 10 mph.
Saturday and Saturday Night (March 28)
High pressure will be centered to our southeast while low pressure moves in from the west. Dry on Saturday under sunny to partly cloudy skies, highs will be in the 30s and 40s with south or southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
Clouds increase Saturday Evening with rain or a wintry mix of precipitation overspreading the Northland from west to east after Midnight. Lows will be in the 30s with south or southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts possible.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: Medium.
Sunday through Tuesday (March 29-31)
A strong area of low pressure moves off to our east on Sunday. Rain or a wintry mix of precipitation is forecast to linger into Sunday Morning before the precipitation ends from NW-SE during the Afternoon.
Dry Sunday Night and most of Monday, then a clipper system approaches from the northwest Monday Evening-early Tuesday with the possibility for some rain or wet snow in parts of the Northland.
High temperatures on Sunday will be in the 30s and 40s with lows in the 20s and 30s. Highs on Monday will range from the 40s and 50s with 30s in far Northeast Minnesota, lows Monday Night will be in the 30s. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 40s and 50s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Low to Medium.
(April 1-6)
Needless to say there has been and continues to be quite a bit of model uncertainty for the middle of next week. The EUROPEAN model in particular has been showing major swings, with yesterday’s 12z run painting a snow/rain storm for the Northland, while Today’s 12z run shows warm, moist air and a potential for showers and thunderstorms — This actually agrees with what the GFS model is showing for the middle of next week. So we could be looking at the first outbreak of thundery weather this season in Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin next Wednesday (April 1) Again though I don’t have much confidence in any one solution, so things could change in coming days, but right now this system looks fairly potent with a nice surge of warm, moist air, along with a strong low level jet which would help destabilize the atmosphere with increasing amounts of instability leading to scattered convection over the Upper Midwest and Western Great Lakes on April 1.
There is potential for another system to possibly impact the Northland sometime during the April 4-6 time frame with possible rain or snow, but again very low confidence with this one. Note: The 18z GFS model from Today shows a whopper of a snowstorm hitting the Northland next Sunday/Monday, April 5-6 with powerful winds and very heavy amounts of snow and blowing snow. Take this with a grain of salt, but if nothing else the computer models are heating up around here with a much more active weather pattern compared to what we have seen over the past few months. I love spring!!!
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Clear to partly cloudy. Low 12 to 17. Wind east to southeast around 12 mph.
.Saturday… Mostly sunny and turning breezy. High 40 to 45. Wind southwest at 15 to 25 mph.
.Saturday Night… Increasing cloudiness. Breezy. Rain, sleet, or snow possible mainly after 4 AM. Low 30 to 35. Wind southwest at 15 to 30 mph.
.Sunday… Breezy. Rain, sleet, or snow mainly during the Morning. Some sunshine developing during the Afternoon. Total snow and sleet accumulations less than 1″. High 40 to 45. Wind becoming west to northwest at 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts possible.
.Sunday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 28 to 33.
.Monday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 45 to 50.
.Monday Night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or rain possible. Low 30 to 35.
.Tuesday… Partly sunny. High 45 to 50.
Normal temperatures for Saturday
High: 40
Low: 22
Sunrise Saturday: 6:56 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday: 7:32 PM CDT
Tim
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