/Issued 5:08 PM CST, Friday, February 26, 2016/
Forecast map valid for Sunday morning. Source, Weather Prediction Center.
Blue=Snow
Orange=Mixed precipitation
Green=Rain
Here’s the track of this weekend’s low pressure system. Source, Weather Prediction Center.
Tonight’s low temperature forecast. Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.
Saturday’s high temperature forecast. Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.
Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date: February 26, 2016
Warm air advection is well underway today with afternoon 850mb temperatures of +2 to +8C over the Northern Plains which is moving this way! Skies were partly sunny to mostly sunny in our area today with highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Winds were out of the southwest at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (February 26)
Low pressure tracks across Northern Ontario tonight while a trough swings east through Minnesota. Partly to mostly cloudy skies are forecast with lows in the 20s to lower 30s. Southwest winds will continue at 10 to 20 mph.
Saturday and Saturday night (February 27)
Mild temperatures on Saturday with highs in the 30s and 40s with 50s possible in East Central Minnesota. Partly to mostly cloudy skies for tomorrow with south or southwest winds which will become northeast across Northern Minnesota during the afternoon. Wind speeds will be in the 10 to 20 mph range on Saturday.
A cold front will drop south out of Ontario Province tomorrow, this front should pass through the Northland Saturday night while an area of low pressure tracks southeast out of the Northern Plains — Areas of snow and mixed precipitation including freezing drizzle, sleet and light rain will develop from north to south Saturday night with the greatest chance for rain or freezing drizzle occurring in East Central Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin the way it looks now. Lows Saturday night will range from the single digits and teens in far Northern Minnesota to the 30s in Northwest Wisconsin with winds turning to the east or northeast at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph developing late in the night near Lake Superior.
Note: The record high temperature for Saturday at the Duluth Airport is 54 degrees which was set in 1896. That record should be safe, but we could still be looking at a top 2 warmest February 27th on record — 2nd warmest high temperature on record for February 27th is 47 degrees which occurred in 1905 and 1878.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: Medium.
Sunday through Tuesday (February 28-March 1)
Light snow on Sunday which will end from west to east as low pressure moves into the Central/Eastern Great Lakes — There’s also a chance for some sleet or freezing drizzle Sunday morning in Eastern Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin. Highs on Sunday will be in the 20s and 30s with teens in far Northern Minnesota. Lows Sunday night will be in the teens and 20s.
An area of low pressure is forecast to move southeast into the Upper Midwest on Monday with another round of snow or mixed precipitation possible in the Northland. Highs on Monday will range from the 30s in Eastern Minnesota and in Northwest Wisconsin to the teens in far Northern Minnesota. Lows Monday night will be in the single digits below zero to the teens above zero.
Mainly dry on Tuesday with highs in the teens and 20s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Medium.
(March 2-6)
Below average temperatures are expected from the 2nd-4th followed by near normal temperatures from the 5th-6th. Could be some light snow or mixed precipitation sometime next weekend (5th-6th)
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 25 to 30. Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Saturday… Partly to mostly sunny. High 43 to 48. Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Saturday night… Mostly cloudy. Turning breezy. Light snow, sleet or freezing drizzle possible late. Low 25 to 30. Wind becoming east to northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph possible after Midnight.
.Sunday… Breezy during the morning. Occasional light snow. High 30 to 35 early with temperatures falling into the 20s. Wind northeast at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph during the morning.
.Sunday night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 15 to 20.
.Monday… Mostly cloudy. Light snow possible. High 27 to 32.
.Monday night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. Low 5 to 10.
.Tuesday… Partly sunny. High 15 to 20.
Normal temperatures for Saturday
High: 28
Low: 11
Sunrise Saturday: 6:53 AM CST
Sunset Saturday: 5:51 PM CST
Tim
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