Below average temperatures continue with some snow or rain showers possible tonight and Monday

Published by

on

/Issued 5:49 PM CDT, Sunday, October 29, 2017/

Source:  http://weather.cod.edu

Water vapor satellite image from 4:45 PM CDT, October 29, 2017

Source:  http://www.intellicast.com

Radar loop through 5:15 PM CDT, October 29, 2017.

Blue is snow
Green is rain

Source:  https://weather.us

12z European model from October 29, 2017 (Image below)

Note:  Top 5 coldest high temperatures on record for Halloween, October 31.

Duluth, Minnesota

1:  25 F in 1951
2:  26 F in 1879
3:  27 F in1996
4:  31 F in 2002, 1991, 1918 and 1878
5:  32 F in 1993, 1934, 1926, 1917 and 1895

International Falls, Minnesota

1:  25 F in 1951
2:  26 F in 1996 and 1917
3:  28 F in 1908
4:  29 F in 2002
5:  30 F in 2006, 1926 and 1911

Source:  https://weather.us

Not a lot of sun in our area this afternoon but there were some breaks in the clouds which allowed for some sun to pop out in some locations, nice to see!  By the way, normal high temperatures for October 29 are generally around 45 degrees, temperatures still running below average today.

Source:  http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu

Temperature departure map for the week of October 22, 2017.

Source:  http://mrcc.isws.illinois.edu

Precipitation departure map for the week of October 22, 2017.

Temperature and Precipitation report for Duluth, Minnesota

October 22-28, 2017

High Temperature/Departure from Normal

10/22:  59 F/+10 degrees above normal
10/23:  60 F/+12 degrees above normal
10/24:  46 F/-2 degrees below normal
10/25:  46 F/-1 degree below normal
10/26:  48 F/+1 degree above normal
10/27:  35 F/-11 degrees below normal
10/28:  29 F/-17 degrees below normal

Low Temperature/Departure from Normal

10/22:  45 F/+12 degrees above normal
10/23:  41 F/+8 degrees above normal
10/24:  35 F/+3 degrees above normal
10/25:  35 F/+3 degrees above normal
10/26:  34 F/+2 degrees above normal
10/27:  29 F/-2 degrees below normal
10/28:  23 F/-8 degrees below normal

Note:  Average temperature at Duluth, Minnesota for the week of October 22, 2017:  40.4 degrees (+0.8 degrees above average)  Source:  http://www.dnr.state.mn.us

Total Precipitation:  0.54 inches
Normal:  0.54 inches
Departure:  0.00 inches

State Average for Minnesota for the week of October 22, 2017
Source:  http://www.dnr.state.mn.us

Temperature:  44.2 degrees
Departure:  +1.9 degrees above normal

Precipitation:  0.47 inches
Departure:  +0.04 inches above normal

Note:  There have been 25 Octobers on record dating back to 1885 that produced above average snowfall at Duluth, Minnesota.  The Normal snowfall for October is 2.3 inches.  Of those 25 — 9 winters that followed had above average snowfall, while 16 of them produced below average winter snowfall.

Note:  Winter is defined as the months of December, January and February; And the normal snowfall is 49.5 inches.  See list below.  Highlighted years had above average winter snowfall.

1933-1934:  38.0 inches
1925-1926:  20.2 inches
1995-1996:  81.2 inches
1966-1967:  54.8 inches
2010-2011:  39.8 inches
1936-1937:  52.4 inches
1926-1927:  35.4 inches
1955-1956:  45.4 inches
2002-2003:  15.7 inches
1951-1952:  38.7 inches
1919-1920:  19.2 inches
1992-1993:  50.4 inches
2003-2004:  74.1 inches
1991-1992:  32.8 inches
1969-1970:  55.2 inches
2006-2007:  34.3 inches
1917-1918:  26.4 inches
1987-1988:  30.3 inches
2009-2010:  56.5 inches
1984-1985:  35.5 inches
1916-1917:  22.2 inches
1959-1960:  54.6 inches
1990-1991:  34.6 inches
1954-1955:  52.1 inches
1906-1907:  32.9 inches

Weather Tidbits for Duluth, Minnesota

*High temperature of 29 degrees on October 28, 2017 — First sub-freezing high temperature since April 27.  And the coldest high temperature since March 13.

*October 2017 ranks as 3rd snowiest on record with 10.6 inches of snow so far.  2nd snowiest October is 11.5 inches set in 1925.  Snowiest October on record occurred in 1933 with 14.0 inches of snow.  Interesting that both 1925 and 1933 ended up having below average winter snowfall.

*High temperature of 29 degrees on October 28, 2017 ties with 1910, 1905 and 1895 for 3rd coldest high temperature for October 28.  Coldest high for October 28 is 21 degrees set in 1925.

Weather Synopsis

Slightly warmer across the Northland this afternoon but still below average for late October.  There is a strong area of low pressure over western Ontario Province late this afternoon, and this low will head southeast, reaching the eastern Great Lakes area by Monday evening.  A reinforcing shot of cold air will move into our area as this low moves away for Monday and Tuesday with Tuesday being the coldest day.  Lows tonight will be in the low to mid 30s with highs Monday ranging from around 30 to 40 degrees.  Tuesday’s highs will only be in the mid 20s to low 30s.

Occasional snow showers in our area for tonight, Monday and Monday night, with some locations getting either rain or snow showers tonight and Monday.  Note:  Potential is there for a dusting to 2 inches of new snow by Monday night in most of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin with the area having the best chance to get up to 2 inches of snow occurring in far northern Minnesota.

A low pressure system moving through on Wednesday has a chance to bring a couple inches of snow to northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, but if enough warm air moves in, then that would cut down on snow totals as there would be more of a rain/snow mix in parts of the Northland.  Stay tuned.

Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  A few snow showers possible.  Low 30 to 35.  Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph becoming west.

.Monday…  Breezy.  Mostly cloudy.  Snow showers possible.  High 36 to 40.  Wind west to northwest at 15 to 25 mph.

.Halloween…  Mostly cloudy.  Flurries possible.  High 30 to 33.  Wind west at 10 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for Monday

High:  44
Low:   26

Sunrise Monday:  7:49 AM CDT
Sunset Monday:   5:56 PM CDT

Tim

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Weather Blog for Duluth and the Northland

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading