Here’s my snowfall forecast through Sunday afternoon
•8 to 12 inches across eastern portions of northwest Wisconsin, Hurley, Gile and Winter.
•6 to 8 inches for Bayfield, Ashland, Hayward and Shell Lake.
•3 to 6 inches for Grand Marais, Silver Bay, Port Wing and toward the Siren area.
•1 to 3 inches for Ely, Hibbing, Two Harbors, Duluth, Superior, Moose Lake and Hinckley.
•Around an inch for Cook, Orr, Bigfork, Grand Rapids and International Falls
•Less than an inch for Brainerd and Aitkin
…A variety of winter weather headlines are in effect from late this evening to 6 PM Sunday, let’s break them down…
•Blizzard Warning for the North Shore of Lake Superior (red shaded area on map) the blizzard warning includes the cities of Two Harbors, Silver Bay and Grand Marais.
•Winter Storm Warning for most of northwest Wisconsin (pink shaded area on map) the winter storm warning includes the cities of Port Wing, Bayfield, Ashland, Minong, Shell Lake, Hayward, Glidden, Gile and Hurley.
•Winter Weather Advisory for all of northern and east-central Minnesota, and for most of northeast Minnesota (purple shaded area on map) the winter weather advisory includes the cities of International Falls, Bigfork, Grand Rapids, Walker, Brainerd, Aitkin, Hinckley, Moose Lake, Cloquet, Duluth, Hibbing, Ely, Cook and Crane Lake.
Link to road conditions
Wisconsin — https://511wi.gov/map
Power Outage maps (in case there are some power outages on Sunday)
Minnesota Power — http://outagemap.mnpower.com/external/default.html
Lake Country Power — https://www.lakecountrypower.coop/
18z NAM-WRF model 2-23-19
Winds will shift to the northwest later tonight and will become very strong overnight through Sunday. Widespread wind gusts of 30 to 45 mph are expected across the Northland with even stronger gusts of 50-60+ mph possible along the North Shore of Lake Superior. Expect some isolated to scattered power outages in parts of the Northland on Sunday due to the high winds.
18z NAM-Nest model 2-23-19
This is such a large and impactful storm, check out how widespread these very strong winds will be through Monday morning. There is potential for winds of 60 to around 70 mph over central/eastern portions of Lake Superior, Lake Huron, and over Lakes Erie and Ontario Sunday afternoon through early Monday morning.
18z NAM-WRF model 2-23-19
Snow is expected to push in from the west or southwest by mid or late this evening.
Snow overnight/early Sunday morning
Snow tapers off from west to east Sunday morning, but could linger most of the day over the Arrowhead of Minnesota and also along the South Shore of Lake Superior from Ashland to Iron County.
Low pressure will deepen rapidly, going from 998mb at 4 PM Saturday to around 979mb by 6 AM Sunday, and to around 970mb by 6 PM Sunday as the low heads into eastern Ontario province. Multiple weather impacts due to this powerhouse storm, ranging from a blizzard to a risk of tornadoes, flooding and widespread potentially damaging winds.
Note: Parts of 9 states are under Blizzard Warnings (Red shaded areas on map)
Goes-16 water vapor satellite loop from Saturday, February 23, 2019.
A major storm over the Midwest lifting quickly to the northeast.
***Powerful winter storm on the way, here are the expected impacts for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin***
-Heavy snow for eastern portions of northwest Wisconsin
-Some snow for northeast Minnesota, east-central Minnesota and far northwest Wisconsin
-Patchy fog and freezing drizzle this Saturday evening
-Very strong northwest winds late tonight through Sunday evening. Wind gusts of 30 to 50 mph are expected, gusts to 55 mph possible especially along the North Shore of Lake Superior
-Considerable blowing and drifting snow late tonight through Sunday evening
-Blizzard conditions especially along the North Shore of Lake Superior from late tonight through Sunday evening
-Isolated to scattered power outages are possible on Sunday because of the high winds
-Bitterly cold Sunday night-Monday morning with dangerously cold wind chills. Wind chill headlines will likely be needed for the Northland Sunday night-Monday morning.
-Temperatures Sunday afternoon ranging from the single digits to the teens, temperatures late tonight will range from the lower 20s to around 30 degrees so temps will be colder Sunday afternoon compared to the early morning hours as arctic air rushes into the region.
Snowfall Reports from Friday night-Saturday morning, February 22-23, 2019
International Falls, MN: 4.8 inch
Port Wing, WI: 2.5 inch
2 W Iron Junction, MN: 1.8 inch
1 E Silver Bay, MN: 1.5 inch
Gile, WI: 1.3 inch
Herbster, WI: 1.0 inch
Duluth Airport: 0.6 inch
Note: The February snowfall record has been broken at Duluth, Minnesota.
New record (thru 4 PM Feb 23, 2019) 34.2 inches
Old record: 33.9 inches set in 1939
Duluth, Minnesota Climate Normals for February 24
Sunrise Sunday: 6:58 AM CST
Sunset Sunday: 5:47 PM CST