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Milder Wednesday and Thursday; some light snow/patchy freezing rain possible Wednesday afternoon-night

Tonight and Wednesday morning look dry in the Northland, but some light snow or possibly some patchy freezing rain could develop in parts of the area from Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night as low pressure approaches from the NW along with its warm front and cold front. Not expecting much snow accumulation with this system as snowfall totals range from a dusting to around 2 inches while a light glaze of ice accumulation is possible especially over southern portions of the Northland.

Here’s my snowfall forecast for Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.

Radar forecast valid from 7 AM Wednesday to 7 AM Thursday. Blue=Snow, Pink=Mix precipitation.

Source: 18z NAM-WRF model 12.31.19

Snowfall Reports from around the Northland
Source: https://www.weather.gov/dlh/

Event Date: December 30, 2019

Gile, WI: 13.5″
1 NW Hurley, WI: 11.0″
3 SW Bayfield, WI: 7.3″
5 S Herbster, WI: 6.0″
Hovland, MN: 5.8″
Grand View, WI: 5.5″
Ashland, WI: 5.1″
1 W Washburn, WI: 4.8″
4 SSE Webster, WI: 4.0″
1 WSW Maple, WI: 4.0″
6 NE Hertel, WI: 3.5″
5 WSW Ino, WI: 3.5″
3 N Mahtowa, MN: 1.8″
7 ESE Superior, WI: 1.7″
1 Ely, MN: 1.4″
3 ENE Holyoke, MN: 1.3″
Duluth Airport: 1.1″

2019 was slightly warmer and wetter than normal at Duluth, Minnesota – Preliminary yearly stats for 2019 (thru Dec. 30th)

Average temperature: 40.2F; Departure +0.5 degrees above normal

Total precipitation: 34.21″; Departure +3.25″ above normal

Note: 2019 will go into the record books as the 25th wettest year on record in Duluth dating back to 1871.

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January begins on Wednesday, here are the climate normals for January at Duluth, Minnesota.

Average temperature 10.2 degrees
Record highest 23.7 degrees set in 2006
Record lowest -7.2 degrees set in 1912

Normal high on the 1st: 19 degrees
Normal high on the 31st: 20 degrees

Normal low on the 1st: 3 degrees
Normal low on the 31st: 2 degrees

Precipitation 0.96″
Record highest 4.70″ set in 1969
Record lowest 0.13″ set in 2008

Snowfall 19.4″
Record highest 46.8″ set in 1969
Record lowest 2.0″ set in 1921

Number of days with at least 0.1″ snowfall: 12

Number of days with at least 1.0″ snowfall: 4

Number of days with a subzero low temperature: 15

It does look a little colder next week, with perhaps a quick shot of arctic air affecting the Northland, but overall temperatures don’t look terribly cold next week especially considering that we’re heading into the coldest part of winter.

Source: 12z European ensemble model 12.31.19; https://weathermodels.com/

Low temperature forecast for Wednesday morning, January 1, 2020. Source: https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Wednesday, January 1, 2020.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly clear. Low 3 to 8. Wind west around 10 mph.

.New Year’s Day… Increasing cloudiness. Some light snow possible later in the day. High 25 to 30. Wind south to southwest 10 to 20 mph.

.Wednesday night… Mostly cloudy. Some light snow possible. Total accumulations of an inch or less. Low 25 to 30. Wind south to southwest 10 to 20 mph.

.Thursday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 30 to 35. Wind west 10 to 20 mph.

Normal temperatures for January 1

High 19
Low 3

Sunrise Wednesday 7:54 AM CST
Sunset Wednesday 4:31 PM CST

Thanks for reading, and Happy New Year!

Tim

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