Clouds, possible flurries/patchy freezing mist through Friday; much warmer this weekend, 40s possible Sunday

Welcome to November part two! A little unusual to see this many days in a row with generally cloudy skies at this time of year, this weather is more typical for November, not for late January. A lack of arctic air may be one of the reasons as to why its been so dang cloudy and gray lately.

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Super Sunday continues to look like an absolute blowtorch with widespread well above normal temperatures by some 20 to 35 degrees! This should lead to widespread 30s and 40s for high temps in Minnesota on Sunday, with 50s, 60s and maybe even a few 70s over the Central Plains.

Note: Record high temperatures are probably safe on Sunday with records in the Northland for February 2nd ranging from 55 degrees at International Falls, 50 degrees at Ashland and Hibbing, 49 degrees at Brainerd, and 47 degrees at Duluth. All these record highs were set in 1991. We do have a pretty good chance for a top 5 warmest high temperature on record, however, for February 2nd.

Source 12z European model 1.29.20; https://weathermodels.com/

So much for next week’s cold! Although temperatures will trend cooler next week (closer to normal) the potential for an arctic airmass has decreased considerably, will be lucky to get one day of subzero temps next week in parts of the Northland the way it looks now.

Source 12z European ensemble model 1.29.20; https://weathermodels.com/

I’m not seeing any strong signals in model guidance that a major storm will affect our area looking out the next 2 weeks. Precip amounts look to be close to normal in the Northland through February 13th.

Source 12z European ensemble model 1.29.20; https://weathermodels.com/

Low temperature forecast for Thursday morning, January 30th, 2020. Source https://graphical.weather.gov/

High temperature forecast for Thursday, January 30th, 2020.

…Weather Summary…

Still dealing with a lot of cloudiness in the Northland today, but there have been some small patches of clearing, most notably around the Brainerd Lakes area per visible satellite imagery.

SE flow coming off Lake Superior caused a little lake effect flurry action along the North Shore today with even a real light dusting of fluff in Duluth early this morning.

Mostly cloudy skies will continue in our area through Friday with scattered flurries, patchy fog and freezing drizzle. Note: There could be some breaks in the clouds allowing for a little sun Thursday or Friday, but overall it continues to look fairly cloudy around here.

A system passing well to our SW Thursday night-Friday morning could bring a brief period of snow showers to east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin with accumulations of an inch or less possible.

Lows tonight will be in the single digits to around 20 degrees, highs Thursday in the 20s with highs on Friday in the 20s to lower 30s.

South to southeast winds tonight and Thursday at 5 to 15 mph.

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Forecast for Duluth and Superior

.Tonight… Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog, flurries or light freezing mist possible. Low 11 to 16. Wind south to southeast around 10 mph.

.Thursday… Mostly cloudy (few peeks of sun possible) High 21 to 26. Wind south to southeast 5 to 15 mph.

.Friday… Mostly cloudy. Snow showers or flurries possible early. High 28 to 33. Wind east to southeast 5 to 15 mph.

Normal temperatures for January 30

High 20
Low 2

Sunrise Thursday 7:36 AM CST
Sunset Thursday 5:08 PM CST

Thanks for reading!

Tim

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