System for tonight has trended weaker and as a result it doesn’t look like there will be much snow in western/southern portions of the Northland. Still can’t rule out a little snow for the Cass Lake, Walker, Brainerd Lakes areas tonight, but accumulations wouldn’t be much more than a few tenths of an inch. The rest of the Northland is expected to stay dry tonight. Low temperatures will be in the 10s and 20s.
Radar image from late Thursday afternoon does show some light snow (blue and purple colors) and rain (green colors) moving east-southeast out of North Dakota, and some of this precipitation, mainly in the form of light snow could reach southwest portions of the Northland later tonight (white outlined area on map)
Looks dry on Friday with highs in the 30s to around 40 degrees with southerly winds 5 to 15 mph.
Windier weather ahead for Halloween as a strong area of low pressure passes by to our north. A cold front attached to this low moves across the Northland on Saturday with warm air advection to start the day followed by strong cold air advection Saturday night. For example, 850mb temps at Duluth will go from around +6C at 7 AM Saturday, to around -12C late Saturday night, with this type of air mass change we can expect periods of windy weather on Saturday, with southwest winds ahead of the cold front, shifting NW behind the cold front. Note: There is potential for wind gusts >30 mph across the Northland especially Saturday evening and into the overnight.
Will also see a few rain showers pass through parts of the Northland during the day Saturday, and then as colder air moves in Saturday night some snow showers and flurries are likely, but little accumulation is expected the way it looks now.
Highs for Halloween look to be in the mid 30s to mid 40s, and then trending briefly colder Sunday with highs mainly in the 30s.
An overcast morning in the Twin Ports gave way to quite a bit of sunshine this afternoon which is always nice to see at this time of the year as it can be difficult for skies to clear as we head deeper into fall.
Goes-16 visible satellite loop from today, Thursday, October 29, 2020.
Source: https://weather.cod.edu/
A chilly air mass remains over the Northland tonight with only a slight moderation expected on Friday, but a bubble of warmer air (yellow outlined area) will pass quickly over the Northland Saturday morning, and this is when some parts of the area could see their temperatures get into the 40s!
Pattern for next week still looks like a ‘warm’ one for the Northland with a few days having high temperatures in the 50s, and maybe even a few 60s.
At the moment the warmest period looks to be around the middle of next week (~November 3-5) but another surge of warmer air is possible for next weekend (November 7-8)
Source: https://weathermodels.com/
Cold air gets pushed well to the north next week thanks to a westerly flow aloft which pumps warmer temperatures our way as we kick off the month of November, enjoy!
Looks pretty dry around here at least thru late next week, but there are signs showing up in model guidance for a more active pattern to setup ~November 7th.
File this under something you don’t see every day – A severe thunderstorm warning issued for “severe tropical showers” for portions of North Carolina and Virginia earlier today.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
