A little rain south areas Wednesday afternoon-evening, otherwise mainly dry through much of next week; Warm temps continue; Heat Wave possible ~July 18-23

Going Going Gone…That pretty much sums up the rain chance for Wednesday at least for most of the Northland, but much of northwest Wisconsin and eastern Minnesota still looks to get some rain Wednesday afternoon and evening, but northern Minnesota will miss out on Wednesday’s rain.

As for Duluth and Superior, there is a chance we could get a little rain Wednesday afternoon-early evening, but it doesn’t look like much as the heavier/soaking rains stay farther to our south/southeast.

After Wednesday, there isn’t another chance for rain in the Northland at least through July 21st the way it looks now, so drought conditions will continue to worsen in our area.

Burning restrictions expand to include much of northeastern Minnesota and the counties of Koochiching, St. Louis, Lake and Cook (scaled area on map)

An Air Quality Alert is in effect until 9 AM Friday, July 16, 2021 for the areas in orange on the map below. Heavy smoke is expected in the alert area at least through Friday morning.

As I alluded to in Monday’s post, the fire situation across southern Ontario Canada has become even more extreme, with numerous wildfires burning across the province of Ontario.

Orange=Active fires

Yellow=New fires

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There’s been a few isolated showers and thunderstorms across parts of the Northland this afternoon. No severe weather has occurred today (thru 3 PM) but some lightning and a brief downpour has accompanied a few of these storms today. Expect this activity to diminish by this evening.

Radar loop from Tuesday, July 13, 2021 (12:31 PM to 2:55 PM)

A look at how this afternoon’s isolated convection looked on Goes-16 visible satellite imagery.

Note: Blue line=Cold front.

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Here’s a look at the 18z NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid from 7 AM Wednesday to 1 AM Thursday.

Wednesday morning looks dry, but after that we may see at least a little rain spread far enough north reaching southern portions of the Northland, or from eastern Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin, but the trend in model guidance has been to push Wednesday’s system a little farther south, so will see just how much rain some parts of our area end up getting, might not be a whole lot.

Rainfall forecast thru Thursday morning.

High temperature forecast valid Wednesday, July 14, 2021 through Monday, July 19, 2021.

70s and lower 80s for daytime highs in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin for Wednesday and Thursday, although a stronger lake wind is possible Wednesday which could keep temps in the 60s closer to Lake Superior.

Looking at mainly 80s for Friday and Saturday, and then we may see some 90s in some parts of the Northland Sunday and Monday, and those temps in the 80s and 90s look to continue in our area well into next week.

Tim

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