Seasonable temps Thursday followed by above normal temps Friday and Saturday; A few showers this evening and again Thursday, otherwise a mainly dry pattern through this weekend

The Northland continues to be in a NW flow aloft today as an area of low pressure tracks NE into Quebec. Cold temps aloft, warmer air near the surface has led to another day of scattered rain showers in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Not a whole lot of change for Thursday, although temps aloft warm slightly compared to the last few days, so shower coverage on Thursday should be very isolated.

A shift in the pattern takes place Friday and Saturday with more of a westerly flow aloft developing across the upper Midwest.

Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Wednesday, September 8, 2021.

MRMS radar loop ending at 4:28 PM Wednesday, September 8, 2021.

Scattered showers continue to move SE across the Northland late this afternoon, but these showers should diminish by mid or late evening.

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Average monthly temperatures and departure from normal for September 2021 (thru the 7th)

Brainerd, MN: 63.5 F; +0.5 degrees above normal
Duluth, MN: 61.4 F; Normal
Ashland, WI: 61.0 F; -0.3 degrees below normal
International Falls, MN: 60.5 F; +1.9 degrees above normal
Hibbing, MN: 57.1 F; -0.1 degrees below normal

Although we’ve certainly seen more frequent rain events in much of the Northland recently, the amount of rain we’ve been getting hasn’t really been a whole lot, this is especially true in northwest Wisconsin (South Shore area).

September 2021 Precipitation Totals and their Percent of Normal (thru the 7th)

Hibbing, MN:

Total: 0.71″
Normal: 0.76″
Percent of Normal: 93%

International Falls, MN

Total: 0.43″
Normal: 0.72″
Percent of Normal: 60%

Brainerd, MN

Total: 0.36″
Normal: 0.57″
Percent of Normal: 63%

Duluth, MN

Total: 0.30″
Normal: 0.83″
Percent of Normal: 36%

Ashland, WI

Total: 0.16″
Normal: 0.68″
Percent of Normal: 24%

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High temperature forecast valid from Thursday, September 9 thru Saturday, September 11, 2021.

  • Seasonable temps continue in the Northland Thursday with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s.
  • Temps rise above normal Friday with widespread 70s to lower 80s for daytime highs in the Northland.
  • Saturday will see near to above normal temps in the Northland with highs in the mid to upper 60s in northern Minnesota, to the low to mid 70s in east-central Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

Note: Looks like a pretty dry pattern Thursday through Sunday, with only a few isolated showers possible Thursday, and maybe at times this weekend, but no widespread heavy rain events are expected at least through Sunday.

A very active day for severe weather on Tuesday, with over 200 reports of severe weather in the U.S., but mostly concentrated across the Southern Great Lakes region where numerous reports of large hail and damaging winds were reported, including three reports of 4″ hail (up to Softball size) around the Appleton, WI area Tuesday morning

No snow anytime soon for the Northland, but there could be some snow in parts of Canada and the western U.S. (Rockies) over the next two weeks, with most of what is shown on the map occurring toward mid-month and thru the end of the forecast run which is September 23rd. Won’t be long now!

Tim

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