Some snow on the way late tonight and Monday

The first of what should be several clippers this week will impact the Northland on Monday with a band of accumulating snow likely in northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin. Some mixed precipitation is possible as well on Monday mainly from parts of north-central to east-central Minnesota into parts of northwest Wisconsin.

Snowfall totals on Monday will be on the light side, generally ranging from a half inch to two inches, but amounts of up to three inches are possible especially in the Arrowhead and the Higher Terrain along the North Shore of Lake Superior. Any mixed precipitation should be on the light side with no significant icing expected on Monday.

Road conditions will deteriorate in much of the Northland on Monday due to the expected snowfall, and even though this won’t be a major snow event, roads will still likely become slippery, with snow and slush covered roads expected in some parts of the area.

Additional chances for a little snow or perhaps a mixture of precipitation is in the forecast for Tuesday night-Wednesday, and again late this week, with possibly a more ‘interesting’ system ~December 5-8.

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There hasn’t been much snow in the Northland this month, with both Duluth and International Falls having below normal snowfall this month.

International Falls, MN

Month to date snow total: 8.0″
Departure: -3.0″ below normal

Duluth, MN

Month to date snow total: 5.0″
Departure: -8.0″ below normal

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Here’s my snowfall forecast for Monday.

-2 to 3 inches of snow in far northeast Minnesota.
-1 to 2 inches of snow for International Falls, Hibbing, Two Harbors and Bayfield.
-Around an inch of snow for Bigfork, Grand Rapids, Duluth, Solon Springs, Ashland and Hayward.

Should be noted that there are 9/20 or 45% of GEFS members which show snowfall amounts of 2″ or more in Duluth on Monday, so there is still a little uncertainty on the track of this clipper which could lead to slightly higher or lower snow totals in the Twin Ports on Monday.

Snow is forecast to develop or overspread the Northland from NW-SE late tonight and Monday morning with snow ending from W-E during the day Monday, but snow is expected to persist in the Arrowhead of Minnesota through early Monday evening before coming to an end.

Timing for when we may see some snow in Duluth and Superior is from ~4 AM Monday to Noon Monday.

12z European model simulated radar forecast valid from Midnight tonight to Midnight Tuesday.

Snow in blue colors

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There won’t be much change in the weather pattern this week.

Arctic air remains bottled up over Alaska and parts of northwest Canada today, while much warmer temperatures covered the Rockies and Plains today — A strong jet stream separates the two air masses with the flow moving from NW-SE. This jet stream configuration won’t be changing a whole lot this week so expect several chances for mostly light precipitation as low pressure systems (clipper type lows) impact the Northland in the week ahead.

A wide range in temperatures ahead for Monday with highs ranging from the 20s in northeast Minnesota to the 50s in southern Minnesota, and it’ll be even warmer farther south across the Central Plains where high temps will reach the 60s and even the lower 70s!

Tim

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