5:52 PM Wednesday, June 29, 2022
Instability will begin to increase from SW-NE in the Northland tonight as a low-level jet strengthens to around 40-65 knots during the night, this low-level jet will increase the amount of warm air and moisture advection into our area, as well as increase the amount of elevated CAPE (instability) this combined with a warm front lifting NE out of central Minnesota means that we could see a few thunderstorms develop in parts of the Northland later tonight and also on Thursday as will keep some instability around while a cold front slices through the area.
There is a chance for a few strong to severe thunderstorms in all of northeast Minnesota into far northwest Wisconsin later this evening and overnight. The primary threat from severe thunderstorms is from damaging winds to 60 mph and large hail to 1″ diameter or quarter size.
The risk for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms shifts farther east into southeast portions of northwest Wisconsin Thursday, and like tonight the primary threat from severe thunderstorms is from damaging winds to 60 mph and large hail to 1″ diameter or quarter size.
A look at the 18z NAM 3km model simulated radar forecast valid through 7 PM Thursday.
Widespread heavy rain is unlikely tonight or Thursday, but isolated pockets of rainfall totals >0.25″ are possible in parts of the Northland.
Quite a bit of cloud cover has been moving east across northern Minnesota and far northern Wisconsin today. These clouds are forming on the NE side of some real intense heat which covered parts of South Dakota and Nebraska today.
Goes-16 visible satellite loop from Wednesday, June 29, 2022.
In addition to the clouds, we’ve also seen some scattered rain showers move quickly to the east across northern Minnesota today, but with a lack of instability we haven’t seen any thunderstorm activity with these showers today.
Radar loop ending 4:30 PM Wednesday, June 29, 2022.
We’re seeing a big-time temperature contrast across the region today.
Winner, SD: 108 degrees
Crane Lake, MN: 54 degrees
100+ degree temperatures extend as far east as Huron and Mitchell, SD this afternoon, with 90+ degree temperatures into southwestern Minnesota.
Temperatures will trend much warmer in the Northland Thursday with highs ranging from the mid 70s to mid 80s, but temperatures will cool some Friday through the weekend with highs mainly in the 70s which is pretty close to normal for this time of the year.
This morning’s temperatures were getting cold enough to support a frozen precipitation type if there was precipitation falling from the sky early this morning, but with warmer temperatures higher up in the atmosphere that would’ve made it difficult for any snow or sleet early today, but it still is pretty crazy to see temperatures near the freezing mark in a few locations in the Northland as we approach July 1st!
Low Temperature Reports from Wednesday morning, June 29, 2022
Note: This is the 2nd time this week where we saw temperatures fall into the 30s in some parts of the Northland, but no record lows were set or tied this morning, similar to Monday morning.
2 E Celina, MN: 33
Embarrass, MN: 35
Crane Lake, MN: 36
Eveleth, MN: 37
Grand Marais Airport: 37
Cook, MN: 37
Ely, MN: 37
Eveleth-Virginia, MN: 37
Bigfork, MN: 37
Chisholm-Hibbing, MN: 37
Orr, MN: 37
Cotton, MN: 38
Hayward, WI: 39
Solon Springs, WI: 39
3 E Wright, MN: 39
The minimum temperature of 37 degrees at Hibbing, Minnesota this morning, Wednesday, June 29, 2022, was the 2nd time this week where the minimum temperature was <40 degrees, and the 10th time this month. The average number of days in June with a minimum temperature <40 degrees at Hibbing is 6, the record is 15 days set in 2004.
Thanks for reading!
Tim
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