5:23 PM Monday, November 28, 2022
Accumulating snow is likely Tuesday in all of northwest Wisconsin, with some snow also possible over far eastern Minnesota to the Twin Ports, North Shore and Arrowhead.
*Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 3 AM Tuesday to Midnight Tuesday night including the cities of Port Wing, Bayfield, Washburn, Minong, Spooner, Shell Lake, Ashland, Mellen, Butternut, Hayward, Winter, Hurley and Gile in northwest Wisconsin.
*Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 3 AM Tuesday to Midnight Tuesday night including the cities of Lake Nebagamon, Solon Springs, Gordon, Danbury, Grantsburg, Webster, Siren and Hertel in northwest Wisconsin.
Expected Impacts Tuesday and Tuesday night
-Plan on slippery road conditions.
-Travel could be very difficult especially in the winter storm warned area.
-Poor visibility in falling snow.
-Patchy blowing snow is possible Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday as gusty northwest winds develop.
Here’s my updated snowfall forecast for Tuesday.
Overall, this is a low confidence forecast especially on the Minnesota side including for the Duluth area as there are a few computer models which show higher snow totals (more into that 1-3″ range) farther west impacting eastern Minnesota and Duluth.
Computer models are in good agreement, however, in showing the highest snow totals setting up over portions of northwest Wisconsin.
Note the sharp cutoff on the western edge of the snow on Tuesday.
Note – If we do get some snow in Duluth on Tuesday it looks to begin around 6-9 AM, with snow coming to an end later Tuesday afternoon (around 3 PM-6 PM)
18z NAM 3km model radar forecast valid Midnight tonight to Midnight Tuesday night
(Snow in blue)
Storm Setup
Goes-16 water vapor loop from Monday, November 28, 2022.
Storm Track Forecast
Low pressure over southeast Colorado this evening reaches east-central Kansas Tuesday morning, then lifts quickly NE to east-central Wisconsin by Tuesday evening. Low pressure will then move north of Lake Superior by Wednesday morning.
A regional view of the current winter weather headlines.
Temperature Forecast for the Northland
Highs Tuesday will range from the middle 20s to lower 30s (warmest temps in northwest Wisconsin)
Colder air moves in for Wednesday with highs in the upper teens to low-mid 20s.
A brief warmup could return on Friday with highs well into the 30s to around 40 degrees from east-central Minnesota into northwest Wisconsin, but this looks to be short lived with another shot of colder air possible this weekend, but a more significant shot of arctic air could affect the Northland beginning sometime in the December 5-7 time frame.
Thanks for reading!
Tim