The second half of this two-part system brings a strong mid and upper-level trough and low over eastern Nebraska, moving northeast through Wednesday. At the same time, a surface low over southern Iowa travels north toward the Twin Cities by Wednesday morning, then drifts east-northeast across western and central Wisconsin in the afternoon, reaching northern lower Michigan by Thursday.
This system still has plenty of moisture to work with, featuring precipitable water levels around 1 to 1.4 inches in the Northland.
For the Duluth area: Expect occasional rain through early Thursday morning, with areas of fog and drizzle. Strong northeast winds, gusting 15-30 mph, may develop late tonight into Wednesday morning before shifting to north-northwest and easing Wednesday afternoon, then picking up again Wednesday night into Thursday..
The NSSL HT model simulated radar forecast runs through early Thursday afternoon, November 5, 2026.
Another 0.5 to 1.5+ inches of rain is likely across much of northeast Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin between tonight and early Thursday morning.
A healthy surge of Gulf moisture will stream northward into the Northland ahead of tonight’s system and continue through Wednesday.
GOES-West water vapor loop from Tuesday, November 3, 2026, ending at 5:55 PM CT.
The record for the wettest November day ever was set on the 2nd, and the records listed below were also the wettest November 2nd on record.
Hibbing, MN
New record: 2.18 inches
Previous record wettest: 1.40 inches on 11/8/1932
Duluth, MN
New record: 1.48 inches
Previous record wettest: 1.31 inches on 11/19/2024
Note: On November 2nd, International Falls, Minnesota set a new daily precipitation record with 1.05 inches, topping the previous wettest November 2nd of 0.62 inches recorded in 2000.
On November 2, 2026, the Northland saw record-high low temperatures.
Brainerd, MN
New record: 55 degrees
Old record: 53 degrees set on 11/2/1938
Duluth, MN
New record: 52 degrees
Old record: 51 degrees set on 11/2/1903
International Falls, MN
New record: 52 degrees
Old record: 48 degrees set on 11/2/1956
Ashland, WI
New record: 50 degrees
Old record: 48 degrees set on 11/2/1990
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