1/29/11: Saturday’s Weather Report

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Issued at 5:07 PM CST, Saturday, January 29th, 2011

Heavy snow fell north-northeast of Duluth, and also near Lake Superior Friday Night…Here is the snowfall report from Friday, January 28th, 2011.  Source:  NWS Duluth, Minnesota.

Little Marais, MN (Lake county)  11.5″
Silver Bay, MN (Lake county)  10.5″
3 miles northeast of Tofte, MN (Cook county)  9.2″
Gile, WI (Iron county)  8.2″
5 miles northwest of Two Harbors, MN (Lake county)  8.0″
Ely, MN (St. Louis county)  7.5″
Lutsen, MN (Cook county)  7.5″
Montreal, WI (Iron county)  6.0″
Cornucopia, WI (Bayfield county)  6.0″
Beaver Bay, MN (Cook county)  6.0″
Littlefork, MN (Koochiching county)  5.2″
5 miles south of Herbster, WI (Bayfield county)  5.0″
Embarrass, MN (St. Louis county)  5.0″
17 miles northwest of Saginaw, MN (St. Louis county)  5.0″
Cotton, MN (St. Louis county)  4.8″
Ashland, WI (Ashland county)  3.9″
Butternut, WI (Ashland county)  2.5″
Maple, WI (Douglas county)  2.2″
Wrenshall, MN (Carlton county)  2.0″

Note:  Official snowfall total from Friday at the National Weather Service Duluth:  2.8″ with 0.25″ of precipitation.

Weather tidbits:

*January 2011 snowfall total at Duluth, Minnesota (thru the 28th)  16.1″/1.9″ Below Normal
*December 1st 2010-January 28th, 2011 snowfall total at Duluth, Minnesota:  34.2″/1.3″ Above Normal
*Snowfall total so far this winter:  69.8″/20.0″ Above Normal

*Average monthly temperature thru the 28th at Duluth, Minnesota:  6.6 degrees/1.6 degrees Below Normal
*16 nights so far this month with low temperatures at or below zero degrees at Duluth, Minnesota.

Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin

Today’s Weather:

Low pressure which brought the accumulating snow and areas of freezing drizzle to our area Friday Night has moved into the Ohio Valley Today, but a trough extending northwest of this low through Northern-Eastern Minnesota kept skies overcast Today with areas of light snow and flurries, accumulations have been kept to around an inch or less, however.  There has been a very persistent plume of lake effect snow Today over the head of Lake Superior, east-northeast to the Apostle Islands, but the heavier snow showers embedded within this plume have remained off shore, thus only a light dusting of snow has accumulated Today around the Twin Ports toward the Two Harbors area.  There was a wide range in temperatures Today with 20s in Northwest Wisconsin, Twin Ports, and Eastern Minnesota with lower to middle teens in Northern Minnesota.  Winds Today were out of the northwest, north, or east under 20 mph.

Today’s Upper Level Analysis:

Split 500mb flow was in the process of developing with a northwest flow persisting across the Upper Midwest with a strong upper level jet 100 knots or greater covering the Northern Plains, east-southeast through the Southern Great Lakes per RUC model analysis.  Southern branch jet stream covered the Southern states, meanwhile a powerful storm system was affecting Washington State, Oregon, and California Today per water vapor satellite imagery.  The split flow will phase early next week which will help develop a major and widespread winter storm from the Plains to the Northeast U.S. next week.

Tonight:

Inverted trough washes out with areas of light snow and flurries coming to an end.  Exception to this will be along the South Shore of Lake Superior where scattered lake effect snow showers and flurries will linger Tonight with accumulations of 1-2″ possible from Douglas county east to Iron county.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies will be found in our area Tonight with lows in the single digits and teens below to above zero…Coldest temps will be in Northern Minnesota.  Winds Tonight will be out of the north, northwest, or northeast under 20 mph.

Sunday and Sunday Night:

Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue during this period with scattered lake effect flurries or snow showers near Lake Superior, accumulations will be minimal (around an inch at best) Snow associated with a Northern Rockies disturbance could affect southern parts of our area by Sunday Night, but the heavier snow is expected to remain over the Dakotas and Western-Southern Minnesota where winter storm watches and advisories are in effect.  Highs Tomorrow will be in the single digits and teens with lows Tomorrow Night in the single digits and teens below to above zero.  Winds will be out of the north or northeast at 10-20 mph during this period.

Extended Forecast:

Light snow and flurries are possible Monday through early Tuesday for areas south of the Iron Range, could see up to an inch or two of accumulation around the Brainerd Lakes area with little if any accumulation elsewhere.  Otherwise the main story for our local area during the early to mid part of next week will be the approach of a mammoth 1050+mb arctic high pressure system which will build S/SE out of the Northern Rockies.  High temperatures for Monday and Tuesday will be in the single digits to around 10 above with lows Monday Night and Tuesday Night in the single digits and teens below zero with some 20s below possible in Northern Minnesota.  Looking farther ahead:  Might see another clipper or two move into the Upper Midwest late next week or next weekend, but there are no signs of any big Southern type systems coming this way anytime soon (possibly thru mid-February)

5 Day Forecast for Duluth/Superior

.Tonight…  Light snow and flurries tapering to scattered flurries Overnight.  Accumulations under 1″.  Considerable cloudiness.  Low 7 to 12.  Wind northeast at 5 to 15 mph, becoming north.

.Sunday…  Partly sunny.  Scattered flurries or snow showers.  Little if any accumulation expected.  High 13 to 18.  Wind north at 5 to 15 mph.

.Sunday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy with flurries.  Low zero to 5 above.  Wind north at 5 to 15 mph.

.Monday…  Mostly cloudy with flurries.  High 10 to 15.

.Monday Night…  Partly to mostly cloudy.  Low 5 below to 10 below.

.Tuesday…  Partly sunny.  High 5 to 10.

.Tuesday Night…  Partly cloudy.  Low 5 below to 10 below.

.Wednesday…  Partly cloudy.  High 5 to 10.

Normal temperatures for Tomorrow

High:  20
Low:  0

Sunrise Tomorrow:  7:36 AM CST
Sunset Tomorrow:  5:09 PM CST

Tim

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