Issued at 3:32 PM CDT, Monday, June 25th, 2012
Tonight: Mostly clear with pleasantly cool temperatures.
Tuesday: Sunshine, dry, and mild.
Wednesday: Tropical humidity, some sun, and warm temperatures.
-12z NAM dewpoint forecast for Wednesday, June 27th, 2012. Dark green colors=soupy! Dewpoints of 65-75 degrees are expected in much of Minnesota and Wisconsin on Wednesday.
…Latest flood information as of late Monday Afternoon…
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
*Flood Warning* Until 5:00 PM CDT Tuesday for the following Counties:
Central Pine, MN
Southwest Burnett, WI
West Central Burnett, WI
*Flood Warning* Until 6:00 PM CDT Tuesday for the following Counties:
Aitkin, MN
Southeast Itasca, MN
Southern St. Louis, MN
*Flood Warning* Until 10:30 PM CDT Monday for the following County:
South Central St. Louis
*Flood Warning* Until 12:00 AM CDT Tuesday for the following Counties:
Crow Wing, MN
Southeast Cass, MN
*Flood Warning*
A flood warning remains in effect for the St. Louis River at Scanlon affecting Carlton County.
*At 2:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 14.0 feet.
*Flood stage is 10.5 feet.
*Major flood stage is 13.0 feet.
*Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
*The river is forecast to remain in major flood stage through Wednesday, June 27th and is forecast to fall below flood stage on Saturday Afternoon, June 30th.
*At 13.0 feet flooding of at least two businesses occurs in Scanlon.
*Flood Warning*
A flood warning remains in effect for the Mississippi River near Aitkin affecting Aitkin County.
*At 2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.
*Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
*Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
*The river will continue to rise to near 18.4 feet by early Tuesday Afternoon then begin falling. However, the river is expected to remain in major to moderate flood stage through next Monday, July 2nd.
*At 18.0 feet the the Aitkin Sewage Plant becomes inoperative.
*Flood Warning*
A flood warning remains in effect for the Mississippi River at Brainerd affecting Crow Wing County.
*At 2:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
*Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
*Moderate flooding is occurring.
*At 16.0 feet this may cause flooding of at least one private home.
*Flood Warning*
A flood warning remains in effect for the Mississippi River at Fort Ripley affecting Morrison and Crow Wing Counties.
*2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
*Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
*Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
*The river will continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by after Midnight Tuesday then begin falling. However, the river is forecast to remain above flood stage through next Monday, July 2nd.
*At 12.0 feet the Boat Landing and Parking Lot at the Public Access are under water.
A June chill in parts of Northern Minnesota
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
International Falls, MN: 38F* Note: Tied their record low for June 25th. Previous record was in 1996.
Silver Bay, MN: 39F
Grand Marais, MN: 39F
Bigfork, MN: 39F
Crane Lake, MN: 39F
3 E of Orr, MN: 39F
Weather Tidbits for Duluth, Minnesota (Airport location)
*Today marks the 21st day this month with a high temperature of at least 70F. June 2011 had only 13 days at or above 70F.
*It appears that June 2012 will be the 12th consecutive month to finish with an above average monthly temperature. Thru June 24th, the average monthly temperature was 63.0 degrees which was 3.9 degrees above normal.
*20 preliminary tornado reports in Florida on Sunday, due to Tropical Storm Debby. (SPC)
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
2nd gorgeous day in a row with lots of sunshine and mild temperatures with comfortable humidity. Highs were in the 70s with middle 60s at the Duluth Harbor. Winds were out of the east, south, or west at around 10 mph.
Today’s Upper Level Analysis:
Northwest flow continued across the Upper Midwest per water vapor satellite imagery. Upper level troughs covered the Western and Northeast U.S. with a large upper level ridge from the Northern Plains and Rockies, through the Central and Southern Plains. 850mb temperatures as of 3pm ranged from +12 to +16C in Minnesota.
-500mb map per PSU-ewall site.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Tonight-Tuesday Night (June 25th-26th)
An area of high pressure will move off to our east with southerly winds returning to the Upper Midwest on the backside of that high. Clear to partly cloudy skies are expected with lows Tonight in the 40s and 50s. Highs on Tuesday will be in the 70s and 80s except for cooler temperatures along the North Shore of Lake Superior. Lows Tuesday Night will be in the 50s and 60s. Dewpoints will continue to be on the comfortable side into Tuesday with readings mainly in the 50s to around 60 degrees. Winds through this period will be out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.
-Tonight’s low temperature forecast
-Tuesday’s high temperature forecast
Extended Forecast, Wednesday-Friday (June 27th-29th)
The most uncomfortable day will be on Wednesday as dewpoints surge into the 65-75 degree range, drier air moves back in for Thursday and Friday. A cold front will pass through our area Wednesday and stall out south of us for Thursday and Friday. Still looks like a very capped airmass along and ahead of the front on Wednesday, as a result there will be little chance for rain despite a very unstable atmosphere. A stray shower or thunderstorm can’t be ruled out for Thursday and Friday, but most of us should stay dry. High temperatures will be in the 70s and 80s during this period with some locations possibly reaching the 90s on Wednesday. Low temperatures will be in the 50s and 60s for Wednesday Night and Thursday Night.
Long Range Forecast (June 30th-July July 6th)
As I stated 24 hours ago, the long range period has the potential to turn a little more active at times with the chance for a few showers or thunderstorms during this entire period…Again though, no all day rain is expected, and not every day will be wet. The pattern consisting of a W/SW 500mb flow could be conducive for convective development in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, but it’s hard to pinpoint what day/s will carry the greatest chances for rain. Stay tuned. Temperatures are forecast to be near to above average through this period.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Mostly clear. Low 48 to 53. Wind east around 10 mph.
.Tuesday… Mostly sunny. High 74 to 79 but cooler closer to Lake Superior. Wind south to southeast at 10 to 15 mph.
.Tuesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 55 to 60. Wind south to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.
.Wednesday… Humid. Partly cloudy. High 78 to 83.
.Wednesday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 60 to 65.
.Thursday… Partly cloudy. High 80 to 85.
.Thursday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 58 to 63.
.Friday… Partly cloudy. High 78 to 83.
Normal temperatures for Today
High: 73
Low: 52
Sunrise Tuesday: 5:16 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday: 9:07 PM CDT
Tuesday’s UV Forecast: 9.0/Medium-High
Tuesday’s Allergy Forecast: 5.8/Medium
Tim
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