/Issued 3:41 PM CDT, Monday, October 28, 2013/
Here’s one for all you Packer fans! Go Pack Go!!!
-Were looking at a rain storm, not a snow storm for Wednesday Evening into Thursday. Rainfall amounts could reach or exceed 0.50″ over much of the Northland during the Wednesday PM/Thursday time frame. (Source, Weather Prediction Center)
Today’s Weather Summary for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Another shot of cold air oozed into the Northland Today with strong high pressure averaging 1038mb over Southeast Saskatchewan. Sunny to mostly sunny skies were common This Afternoon except along the South Shore of Lake Superior and also around the head of Lake Superior where lake effect clouds with scattered flurries/snow showers occurred Today thanks to the NE wind in place along with 850mb temperatures of around -8C while lake water temperatures remained in the mid 40s. Winds Today were out of the north or east at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts near Lake Superior.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (October 28)
Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue as high pressure pushes into the Upper Midwest. Could still see some scattered snow flakes at times closer to Lake Superior but this won’t be a big deal. Lows will be in the 20s to lower 30s with a few teens in far Northern Minnesota. North or east winds are forecast at 5 to 15 mph.
Tuesday and Tuesday Night (October 29)
Partly to mostly cloudy skies will continue this period with high pressure to our north while a vigorous upper level trough along with an area of low pressure track through the Rockies and out into the Plains by daybreak Wednesday.
A little bit of snow or mixed rain/snow could affect Southern portions of the Northland Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night, but this precipitation should remain on the light side with maybe a dusting of slush on lawns. The best chance for seeing this light precip would be along and south of a Brainerd – Moose Lake – Hayward line. It should remain dry over Northern Minnesota, including the Iron Range, North Shore, and Arrowhead.
Highs Tomorrow will be in the 30s to lower 40s. Lows Tomorrow Night will be in the 20s and 30s. Winds will be out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Wednesday through Friday (October 30-November 1)
Low pressure is forecast to move northeast out of the Central Plains and into the Upper Great Lakes region from Wednesday into Thursday. Latest model data shows the low deepening to between 982-990mb during the day Thursday as it passes east of our area. An upper level trough will also head into the Upper Midwest by Thursday and this trough may go negatively tilted later this week which usually is an indication of a deepening storm system.
The Northland will get some precipitation starting Wednesday Evening and lasting into Thursday. Still looks warm enough for rain and there could even be an isolated thunderstorm or two, especially over East Central Minnesota and Northern Wisconsin.
Scattered rain showers could linger Thursday Night into Friday with a few flakes of snow possibly mixing with the rain in Northern Minnesota by Friday.
High temperatures on Wednesday and Thursday will be in the 40s with even a few 50s possible in Northwest Wisconsin. Highs on Friday will be in the 30s and 40s. Lows Wednesday Night and Thursday Night will be in the 30s and 40s.
*Surface map for Thursday Morning, October 31, 2013. Low pressure should move into Western Wisconsin Halloween Morning, probably between Eau Claire and La Crosse. Severe weather is possible south of the warm front (red line on the map) and ahead of the cold front (blue line on the map) rainy west/north of the low (L) on the map. (Source, Weather Prediction Center)
*Severe thunderstorm forecast for Wednesday. A large portion of the Central Plains from Iowa to Texas is in a risk area for severe thunderstorms with hail, high winds, and isolated tornadoes all possible. This threat area shifts slightly more to the east on Halloween. (Source, NWS/Storm Prediction Center)
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(November 2-7)
Near to below average temperatures are forecast during this period. A few snow or rain showers are possible on Saturday (2nd) A new storm system moves through the Upper Midwest from the 3rd-4th, doesn’t look like much precipitation will occur with this low, but some rain showers could occur especially next Monday (4th) Note: I’m not seeing any signs of a decent snowfall anywhere in the Northland through the 1st week of November.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH/SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 25 to 30. Wind northeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy. High 36 to 41. Wind south at 5 to 15 mph.
.Tuesday Night… Mostly cloudy. Low 30 to 35. Wind becoming east at 5 to 15 mph.
.Wednesday… Mostly cloudy. High 43 to 48.
.Wednesday Night… Mostly cloudy. Rain developing. Low 40 to 43.
.Halloween… Occasional rain. High 43 to 48.
.Thursday Night… Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. Low 35 to 40.
.Friday… Mostly cloudy. High 40 to 45.
Normal temperatures for Today
High: 46
Low: 31
Sunrise Tuesday: 7:47 AM CDT
Sunset Tuesday: 5:57 PM CDT
Tim
Thanks for reading and have a nice night.
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