/Issued 4:05 PM CDT, Friday, October 3, 2014/
19z snowfall forecast for Tonight per RAP model. Most of us won’t see more than a dusting of snow Tonight, but there will be a few exceptions where up to 2″ of snow may accumulate Tonight. Note: The heaviest snow with accumulations possibly as much as 6-12″ will fall over Central portions of Ontario Tonight.
Radar loop from 2-4 PM Today.
Green=rain.
Blue=snow.
Elevation plays a role with these early season snow events as does precip intensity. Source, intellicast.com
Rainfall report for October 2, 2014
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
Duluth, MN: 0.22″
Grand Marais, MN: 0.27″
Hibbing, MN: 0.22″
Ashland, WI: 0.32″
3 E of Wright, MN: 0.27″
Cook, MN: 0.21″
Embarrass, MN: 0.40″
Grand Portage, MN: 0.48″
4 E of Island Lake, MN: 0.23″
Finland, MN: 0.21″
Butternut, WI: 0.72″
Gile, WI: 0.60″
Gurney, WI: 0.48″
Park Falls, WI: 0.50″
9 N of Bayfield, WI: 0.27″
4 W of Clam Lake, WI: 0.41″
Weather Summary for October 3, 2014
Location: NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
The 2014-15 snow season has begun! A powerful area of low pressure averaging 984mb was over east central Ontario late This Afternoon while a strong upper level low covered eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin. Afternoon 850mb temperatures ranged from 0 to -4C across the Northland with temperatures only in the mid 30s to low 40s. Winds were out of the west at 10-20 mph with higher gusts. Light rain and drizzle has been common Today and with the colder temperatures and lowering thickness values, the rain did mix with and even changed over to snow in some parts of the area with a dusting to half inch of slushy accumulation reported in the Cloquet and Moose Lake areas This Afternoon.
Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (October 3)
Low pressure will sit and spin over Ontario while an upper level low moves over the Central/Eastern Great Lakes. Light rain, drizzle, and snow will be found over the Northland Tonight with a few locations possibly picking up a half inch to 1″ or so of snow accumulation. Lows will mainly be in the 30s with west or northwest winds at 10 to 25 mph.
Saturday and Saturday Night (October 4)
Deep low pressure continues to spin over Ontario this period. Cyclonic flow around this storm will keep our area generally overcast with some drizzle and light snow showers possible at times. Highs Tomorrow will be in the 30s and 40s with lows Tomorrow Night in the 20s and 30s. Northwest or west winds are expected at 10 to 25 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Sunday through Tuesday (October 5-7)
Might squeeze out a dry day on Sunday before more chances for rain showers arrive for Monday and Tuesday. Weather pattern remains virtually the same with low pressure sitting to our north across Manitoba and Ontario while a NW flow covers the Upper Midwest. High temperatures from Sunday through Tuesday will be in the 40s to low 50s with low temperatures Saturday Night and Sunday Night in the 20s and 30s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(October 8-13)
Below average temperatures should continue during this period with a few showers possible from time to time.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Breezy with drizzle and light rain. Snow is also possible mainly over the hill. Low 31 to 37. Wind west to northwest at 15 to 25 mph.
.Saturday… Breezy. Considerable cloudiness. Drizzle possible. High 40 to 45. Wind northwest at 15 to 25 mph.
.Saturday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 30 to 35.
.Sunday… Partly sunny. High 42 to 47.
.Sunday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 30 to 35.
.Monday… Mostly cloudy. Showers possible. High 42 to 47.
.Monday Night… Mostly cloudy. Low 35 to 40.
.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy. High 40 to 45.
Normal temperatures for Today
High: 57
Low: 39
Sunrise Saturday: 7:11 AM CDT
Sunset Saturday: 6:42 PM CDT
Tim
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