/Issued 3:28 PM CST, Wednesday, December 24, 2014/
The image below shows the 850mb temperature anomalies for next Tuesday, December 30, 2014 per 12z EUROPEAN ensemble model. Source, tropicaltidbits.com
This should be a widespread cold air outbreak this weekend thru early next week, however the most extreme cold could favor the Rockies and western High Plains region (circled area on the map)
Note: We will have a white Christmas in Duluth. Official weather observations are taken at the Duluth Airport (higher elevation) where there is 5″ of snow currently on the ground. The definition of a white Christmas is having at least 1″ snow cover Christmas Morning, so this year will be a white Christmas. For those that live below the hill (lower elevation) well this Christmas will be a mix of green/brown grass along with patchy snow cover, a lot less snow on the ground below the hill compared to on top of the hill.
Christmas 2013 saw a high temperature of 17 degrees in Duluth with a low temperature of -1. 2.0″ of snow fell; and the snow depth was 20″! Much warmer and a lot less snow for Christmas Day 2014.
Weather Summary for December 24, 2014
Location: Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Several lows on the weather map, but none of them are doing too much to the weather around here. The main show is a strengthening low of 992mb over far northwest Ohio late Today with a few lows averaging 998mb stretching from eastern Saskatchewan to the northern Rockies while a 1004mb passes through northern Ontario. Overcast skies prevailed across the Northland Today with spits of snow flurries, drizzle, and possibly a patch of freezing drizzle here or there. Highs were in the 30s and winds were out of the north or northwest at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (December 24)
An area of low pressure will move toward the Upper Midwest Tonight along with a cold front. Mostly cloudy skies will prevail with the possibility for a few flurries or patchy freezing drizzle. Low temperatures will be in the 20s to around 30 degrees with winds becoming southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
Christmas Day and Night (December 25)
Low pressure and a cold front will continue to settle south/east across the Upper Midwest this period. Mostly cloudy skies are on tap once again with some light snow and flurries possible over parts of the area. Temperatures Tomorrow and Tomorrow Night will be in the 20s and 30s. Winds will start out from the southwest but will shift to the north Tomorrow Night, wind speeds will range from 5 to around 20 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Friday through Sunday (December 26-28)
Light snow and flurries will remain possible Friday into Friday Night but snow accumulations look minor with a dusting to an inch of snow possible at best. Dry on Saturday with a few more flakes possible on Sunday as another cold front moves through the region. High temperatures on Friday will be in the 20s and 30s. Highs Saturday and Sunday will cool down into the teens. Lows Friday Night will range from the 20s in northwest Wisconsin to the single numbers in northern Minnesota. Lows Saturday Night will be in the single digits and teens.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(December 29-January 3)
Still looks like will have below average temperatures from the 29th-3rd, although nothing is certain in the long range, so yeah things may change in coming days. No major storms as we end 2014 and kick off 2015.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Mostly cloudy. Patchy freezing drizzle, drizzle, and flurries. Low 26 to 31. Wind becoming southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Christmas Day… Mostly cloudy. High 31 to 36. Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Thursday Night… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. Low 25 to 29. Wind becoming north at 5 to 15 mph.
.Friday… Mostly cloudy. Light snow or flurries possible. High 29 to 32.
.Friday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 8 to 13.
.Saturday… Partly cloudy. High 15 to 20.
.Saturday Night… Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 7 to 12.
.Sunday… Mostly cloudy. Flurries possible. High 15 to 20.
Normal temperatures for Thursday
High: 20
Low: 4
Sunrise Thursday: 7:53 AM CST
Sunset Thursday: 4:25 PM CST
Tim
Leave a Reply