/Issued 4:06 PM CDT, Tuesday, March 24, 2015/
Late Afternoon water vapor satellite image. Two areas of low pressure, one over North Dakota and the other in far Southeast Kansas — Expected storm track are the black lines on the map. This will not be a big storm in Northeast Minnesota or Northwest Wisconsin as the storm track has changed quite a bit compared to a few days ago. Source, college of dupage.
Upper Midwest radar loop ending at 4:45 PM CDT. Source, WSI.
Blue=Snow
Green=Rain
Pink=Mixed precipitation
How much snow Tonight? Not a lot! Most of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin should only get a coating of slush by daybreak although some locations from the Hayward Lakes to Park Falls and Hurley in Northwest Wisconsin might pick up around 1-2″ of snow late Tonight. Source, 19z RAP model. Note: Use caution if you will be traveling late Tonight or Wednesday Morning as roads could turn slick and hazardous in spots.
The Southern portion of this storm is generating severe thunderstorms late This Afternoon. The area outlined in blue on the map is under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM CDT Tonight per Storm Prediction Center. 2015 has been awfully quiet in terms of severe weather in the U.S., but Tonight and Wednesday may turn a little more active over the South Central Plains.
Weather Summary for March 24, 2015
Location: Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
A nice late March day as a ridge of high pressure remained in control of our weather. Sunshine was abundant throughout the Northland until This Afternoon when clouds increased especially in Western/Southern areas. High temperatures were generally in the 40s with a few spots into the 50s. It was cooler though along the North Shore of Lake Superior. Winds were out of the south or east at 5 to 15 mph with higher gusts. Weather map as of 4 PM featured low pressure of 1002mb over Central North Dakota with a 1006mb low in extreme Southeast Kansas.
Forecast Discussion for Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (March 24)
Clouds will continue to increase in the Northland as low pressure approaches from North Dakota. Will see an area of precipitation lift toward the north/northeast during the night. Temperatures should cool enough for mostly snow Tonight, although the precipitation could start out as rain or a wintry mix. Note: The Evening hours look like they will stay dry with precipitation chances increasing from SW-NE later in the Evening. Low temperatures Tonight will be in the 20s and 30s with south or east winds at 10 to around 20 mph.
Wednesday and Wednesday Night (March 25)
A lot less sun for Tomorrow, in fact sky conditions should remain overcast through the day as low pressure tracks east/northeast along the Minnesota/Ontario border.
Some wet snow or rain will be found in our area on Wednesday with additional flurries and snow showers on tap for Wednesday Night.
High temperatures Tomorrow will be in the 30s and 40s with lows Tomorrow Night in the teens and 20s. Winds will be out of the south or west on Wednesday, and out of the northwest Wednesday Night. It will turn breezy with wind speeds in the 15-30 mph range.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: High.
Thursday through Saturday (March 26-28)
A few flurries are possible in some spots on Thursday but overall it looks like a dry day, and that dry weather carries over into Friday, and most of Saturday too. High temperatures are forecast to be in the 20s and 30s on Thursday and Friday and in the 30s and 40s on Saturday. Low temperatures Thursday Night and Friday Night will range from around zero to 20 degrees.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: Medium to High.
(March 29-April 3)
A strong area of low pressure will track across Ontario on Sunday. This system could bring some rain or snow showers to Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin from Saturday Night through the day Sunday although this doesn’t look like a significant precipitation event. The bigger weather story on Sunday could be the wind with potential for 25-35+ mph wind gusts in our area.
The next chance for precipitation after Sunday is from Tuesday-Thursday (March 31-April 2) as low pressure heads east out of the Northern/Central Rockies — This system depending on its track could bring some rain or possible snow to the Northland around the middle of next week the way it looks now.
Near to above average temperatures are expected from March 29-April 1 with near to below average temperatures on April 2-3. Note: There is a chance that some parts of the Northland could get into the 60s next Tuesday (March 31)
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Increasing cloudiness. Wet snow developing between Midnight-3 AM. Low 30 to 34. Wind south to southeast at 10 to 20 mph.
.Wednesday… Wet snow early with total accumulations of 1″ or less. Considerable cloudiness with lingering light rain or snow showers possible through the day. High 39 to 44. Wind becoming west at 15 to 25 mph.
.Wednesday Night… Snow showers or flurries possible. Mostly cloudy. Low 22 to 27. Wind northwest at 15 to 25 mph.
.Thursday… Partly cloudy. High 28 to 33.
.Thursday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 10 to 15.
.Friday… Partly cloudy. High 28 to 33.
.Friday Night… Partly cloudy. Low 15 to 20.
.Saturday… Partly cloudy. High 35 to 40.
Normal temperatures for Tuesday
High: 38
Low: 21
Sunrise Wednesday: 7:02 AM CDT
Sunset Wednesday: 7:28 PM CDT
Tim
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