/Issued 5:04 PM CST, Friday, November 27, 2015/
Keeping an eye on a potential snow event that could hit Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin next Monday/Tuesday, November 30-December 1. The map below is just a preliminary snowfall/storm track forecast and some changes to this map will likely be needed by Monday. Right now it looks like the heaviest snowfall accumulation would be over Eastern South Dakota into much of Southwest Minnesota where greater than 6″ of snow is possible. 2-4″ snow totals are possible in the Twin Ports but these totals could increase or decrease in coming days. The snow that does fall could be the wet/slushy variety though thanks to surface temperatures which will likely be very close to 32 degrees during this potential snow event. We could also be dealing with gusty east winds in the Twin Ports Monday night and Tuesday morning so blowing snow could be an issue if it does snow. Stay tuned for more updates!
Water vapor satellite image from today, November 27, 2015. Our possible snow maker is currently spinning nowhere in the Southwest U.S. This system will take its time moving into the Upper Midwest during the next few days. Source, http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/
Tonight’s low temperature forecast. Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.
Saturday’s high temperature forecast. Source, National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota.
Low temperature report for November 27, 2015
Source: National Weather Service Duluth, Minnesota
2 NNE of Bigfork, MN: -1 F
Togo, MN: 0 F
International Falls, MN: 1 F
Littlefork, MN: 1 F
Grand Marais, MN (Airport) 3 F
3 SE of Cotton, MN: 3 F
Orr, MN: 3 F
Crane Lake, MN: 5 F
Walker, MN: 5 F
Embarrass, MN: 6 F
Grand Rapids, MN: 6 F
Cloquet, MN: 7 F
Cook, MN: 7 F
Silver Bay, MN: 9 F
Ely, MN: 9 F
3 E of Orr, MN: 9 F
Moose Lake, MN: 9 F
Pine River, MN: 9 F
Aitkin, MN: 10 F
3 NNE of Hermantown, MN: 10 F
Walker, MN: 10 F
Weather Tidbits:
*This November will likely finish in the top 3 warmest Novembers on record in Minnesota. Note: The warmest November on record occurred in 2001. Over 40 communities in Minnesota had at least one day this month with a high temperature of at least 70 degrees. 33 new daily maximum temperature records set this month in Minnesota, and 145 daily warm minimum temperature records were set this month. Zero low temperature records this month. Source, Paul Douglas/St. Cloud Times; Mark Seeley.
Weather Summary for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Date: November 27, 2015
Sunny to partly cloudy skies today although it was cloudier this morning in parts of Northwest Wisconsin but even that area saw quite a bit of sun this afternoon. High temperatures today were in the 20s and winds were out of the southwest or north at 10 to 20 mph.
Forecast Discussion for NE Minnesota and NW Wisconsin
Short Term Forecast – Confidence: High.
Tonight (November 27)
Mostly clear. Lows in the single digits below to teens above zero. Winds will be out of the west or southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
Saturday and Saturday night (November 28)
Strong area of high pressure is over the Upper Midwest today and this high won’t move much through Saturday night. Clear or partly cloudy skies can be expected tomorrow with highs in the 20s and 30s. Lows Saturday night will be in the teens and 20s. Winds on Saturday will be out of the west or southwest at 10 to 20 mph. Winds Saturday night will be out of the southwest, north or east at 5 to 15 mph.
Extended Forecast – Confidence: Medium.
Sunday through Tuesday (November 29-December 1)
Dry weather continues on Sunday and probably through most of Monday as high pressure moves off to the east. High temperatures on Sunday are forecast to be in the 20s to lower 30s with lows Sunday night mainly in the 20s. Highs on Monday will be in the 20s and 30s with lows Monday night in the 20s to lower 30s.
A strong upper level low pressure system which is nearly stationary over the Southwest U.S. today will eventually make its way onto the Central Plains by Monday – This system is forecast to lift northeast into the Upper Midwest and West Central Great Lakes by next Tuesday (December 1) Based on the current storm track and temperatures it does look like most of Northeast Minnesota and Northwest Wisconsin will get some snow from Monday evening through Tuesday. This could be a wet snowfall however as surface temperatures will be close to the freezing mark in portions of the Northland. High temperatures on Tuesday are expected to be in the 20s and 30s.
Long Range Forecast – Confidence: High.
(December 2-7)
Above average temperatures are forecast during the long range, in fact what snow we end up getting early next week could melt, or at least some of it could melt by the 7th of December. No major storm systems showing up between the 2nd-7th.
5 DAY FORECAST FOR DULUTH AND SUPERIOR
.Tonight… Clear. Low 8 to 13. Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Saturday… Mostly sunny. High 28 to 33. Wind southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
.Saturday night… Mostly clear. Low 13 to 18. Wind southwest at 5 to 15 mph.
.Sunday… Partly cloudy. High 27 to 32.
.Sunday night… Partly cloudy. Low 20 to 25.
.Monday… Partly to mostly cloudy. High 32 to 37.
.Monday night… Mostly cloudy. Breezy. Snow possible late. Low 27 to 31. Wind east at 15 to 25 mph.
.Tuesday… Mostly cloudy. Snow possible. High 31 to 34.
Normal temperatures for Saturday
High: 29
Low: 15
Sunrise Saturday: 7:29 AM CST
Sunset Saturday: 4:24 PM CST
Tim
Leave a Reply