Few flurries Tue; Dusting of snow possible Wed, brief arctic slap to follow. Much warmer next week

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/Issued 5:31 PM CST, Monday, December 3, 2018/

Source:  https://weather.cod.edu

18z NAM model 12-3-2018

Little bit of energy moving SE out of the northern Plains on Wednesday combined with a cold front moving through the upper Midwest should provide enough lift in the atmosphere to produce a brief period of snow for some of us.

Source:  https://weathermodels.com

12z European Ensemble Model (EPS) 12-3-2018

It’ll be a cool week in the Northland, although not terribly cold until later this week when we get a brief shot of arctic air, Thursday-Friday time frame.

Source:  https://weathermodels.com

12z European Ensemble Model (EPS) 12-3-2018

A pattern change is still expected next week which looks to bring a more persistent thaw to the Northland, but for how long? These warmer temperatures may only stick around for a couple days before we cool off again, or it could have more staying power thru most of the rest of this month.  Stay tuned!

Temperature forecast for the Northland

Lows tonight in the single digits and teens.  Highs Tuesday in the 20s.

An area of high pressure will remain to our SW thru Tuesday.  Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected tonight and Tuesday.  Few light snow showers and flurries around the area for Tuesday.

Note:  The cold weather had a real good run from most of October into November.  Hibbing had its 4th coldest Fall in station history, Ashland 6th coldest Fall in station history, International Falls ties for its 9th coldest Fall in station history, while Brainerd had their 14th coldest Fall in station history.  There is no doubt that much warmer temperatures are coming for next week, and this could mark the beginning where the temperature pattern actually fits a more classic El Nino with frequent thaws for the northern Plains and upper Midwest, but will other factors come into play like they have been the last few months to keep these thaws brief, while cold air outbreaks are more frequent and have more staying power? I don’t know the answer to that as I could see this going either way.  Will just have to wait and see.

Duluth, Minnesota Climate Normals for December 4

High:  26
Low:   12

Sunrise Tuesday:  7:37 AM CST
Sunset Tuesday:   4:21 PM CST

Tim

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